What’s happening in Ddev? Maybe it is due to a single-digit margin?
Posts in category Value Pickr
Phillips Carbon Black (14-08-2024)
Why is this a downside, its a growing company, OCF is +ve which is being used to invest along with debt. Too much of unutilised cash will not help in compounding.
DHP India Ltd – Regulators and Fittings (14-08-2024)
Disc: Not invested
I suggest we read LN’s note below.
Like so many companies recently, the mgmt seems more interested in the easy profits available in the bull market.
It does not share information about itself and it’s plans. It’s annual report is threadbare of any information other than what is required of it from a regulation point of view.
I had hoped the transfer of ownership from one generation to the next would create more openness and bring a vibrancy to the company. Alas it has been for naught.
Ugro Capital – Opportunity To Invest in a Fintech-like Company Below Book Value (14-08-2024)
Budget announcement can be interpreted in a slightly different way as well:
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Improved credit assessment model to be developed and used by bank: What UC has been already making/maturing and using since last 5yrs, PSUs are going to make now. It’s like asking PSU to make a data analytics driven consumer lending model similar to Bajaj finance. Possible but very challenging as vintage of such models plays a crucial role for accuracy.
Solution could be PSUs are tying up with UC as a co-lending partner, which they are already doing and ramping up in a phased manner.
Even if PSUs are able to make the assessment model, the market is enormous and under penetrated. Despite so many commercial banks, MFIs, NBFCs, SFBs, the credit penetration is so little in India. Market is huge and there is a level playing field for 20 more UCs and banks to come. -
Co-lending is the new way of lending, regulated by RBI and supported by Gov. As per the report shared by UC, it will grow exponentially from here atleast by 30-40% in the years to come. Co-lending is a win win situation for banks and NBFS. NBFS get fee income and lend off-balance sheet and banks have better control on the asset quality. It may replace significantly bank direct lending to NBFCs.
Only caveat is, if all of sudden RBI deprecate co-lending. Highly unlikely in my opinion as this was established to demotivate banks direct lending to small NBFCs, which sometimes get busted. At the same providing credit to deserving NBFCs. -
Agree, these are the question, i also want management to answer in detail.
Disc: Invested
EPL – Essential Packaging Company (14-08-2024)
Limited view: Would not be fixated on whether EPL should command a premium valuation or not like FMCG companies. The company seems to be focused on long term sustainable growth and capacity expansion (e.g. Brazil operations). Its a healthy dividend paying company which is helpful in my case
Operationally their profits continue to grow. Their ability to pay back borrowings would be to watch out for along with commodity price pressures
Aptus Value Housing : Is valuation justified or just another HFC? (14-08-2024)
Hi just started tracking Aptus. Quick question to those who are invested. Is there a risk to capital raising especially from NHB refinancing. The management mentioned there is an audit that is done by the NHB team every year to determine how much capital can be provided to Aptus.
Also Westbridge capital (promoter) has been offloading its stake. Is that a concern?
Thanks much
EPL – Essential Packaging Company (14-08-2024)
Few possibilities for growth
- Existing large customers continue to grow healthy. Good possibility of happening
- A few small players grow big and start becoming key volume drivers – it will take time could happen
- The market eliminates small players who can not invite themself to the recyclable packaging – a long way to tell less chance as most of the players have found some solution.
Ugro Capital – Opportunity To Invest in a Fintech-like Company Below Book Value (14-08-2024)
I got a response from the UGRO senior management and they have flagged their IR team. They said the analyst meet was there, but it was a physical meeting this time.