Any disclosure/further info on Advances written back ?
Posts in category Value Pickr
Happiest Minds Technology (13-08-2024)
Terrible results. Exited. How are they going to get to 1Billion revenue in 5 years with this rate.
Britannia (Buy Commodities, Sell Brands) (13-08-2024)
Few of my takeaways from Q1 FY25 of Britannia Industries
๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐๐ญ๐ ๐๐ซ๐๐ฃ๐๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฒ:
- Revenue grew 4% year-over-year to INR 4,130 crores, with volume growth of 8%
- Operating profit increased 10% to INR 680 crores, with margins at 16.5%
- Rural markets showing signs of recovery, with rural growth outpacing urban
- Focus on driving topline growth even if it means slightly lower margins in the near-term
๐๐ญ๐ซ๐๐ญ๐๐ ๐ข๐ ๐๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐ข๐ง๐ญ:
- Continuing distribution expansion, especially in rural areas and Hindi belt states
- Implementing sales transformation project with Bain & Co to improve efficiency
- Investing in brand building and innovation, launching new products like Pure Magic Stars
- Scaling up adjacency businesses like dairy, with focus on cheese and beverages
- Expanding manufacturing footprint with new facilities coming up in UP and Bihar
๐๐๐ซ๐ค๐๐ญ ๐๐ฒ๐ง๐๐ฆ๐ข๐๐ฌ:
- Recovery in rural demand after prolonged slowdown
- Premiumization continuing across portfolio
- Focus on innovation and new product launches
- Expansion into adjacent categories like dairy and snacks
Industry Tailwinds:
- Improving rural sentiment and consumption
- Moderation in inflation compared to previous years
- Growing preference for packaged and branded food products
Industry Headwinds:
- Inflationary pressure on key commodities like flour, sugar, and cocoa
- Intense competition, especially from regional players
- Downtrading in certain markets to cheaper alternatives
๐๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ/๐๐ง๐๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐ฎ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ:
- On slower pace of distribution expansion: Management emphasized weighted distribution growth and focus on extraction from high potential outlets
- On margin pressure: Company prioritizing topline growth over margin expansion in near-term
- On dairy business profitability: Gross margins in line with overall business, but depreciation impacting net profitability
Competitive Landscape:
- Continuing to gain market share, albeit slowly
- Large gap with market leader (50% share vs Britanniaโs 18%) provides headroom for growth
- Facing competition from both large national players and regional brands
๐ ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฃ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ:
- Targeting high single-digit to double-digit volume growth
- Expect 4-5% inflation in coming months, may take some pricing actions
- Focus on driving topline growth even at slightly lower margins
๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅ ๐๐๐ฉ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฒ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ:
- Investing in manufacturing capacity expansion
- Continued investment in brand building and innovation
- Scaling up adjacency businesses like dairy
Opportunities & Risks:
Opportunities:
- Rural recovery and distribution expansion
- Growth in adjacency businesses like dairy and snacks
- Premiumization across portfolio
Risks:
- Commodity price inflation
- Intensifying competition
- Potential economic slowdown impacting discretionary spending
๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐๐ซ ๐๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ฌ๐:
- Rural demand showing signs of improvement
- Some downtrading observed in certain markets
Shankara Build Pro – Building Materials Organised Retail (13-08-2024)
Majority revenue still comes from steel trading and there is no pricing power there.
But my thesis for investment in Shankara has been –
(1) Growing Non Steel segment +
(2) Demerger value unlocking.
Both are still available. My concern is whether they can continue to grow non steel segment proftably and would their addl capacity at manufacturing can prove to be beneficial.
Let me know if anyone has any thoughts on this.
Shakti Pumps – solar shakti (power)! (13-08-2024)
The rate card is fixed. It depends on the size of the pump.
Look at this data on the MNRE website:
For Maharashtra:
For Haryana:
and as per the management commentary, what is the need for the farmer, given his area of irrigation, etc. they provide a valid rated pump:
Hope this helps.
Link: National Portal for PM-KUSUM (mnre.gov.in)
Piccadily Agro Industries Ltd (13-08-2024)
Btw – in the leanest quarter, distillery segment is delivering an EBIT of 25% or an EBITDA of around (26/27%). Make your own conclusions. The EBIT in Q4 was 30%+. As revenue for distillery segment goes up, overall blended margins would also inch closer to that of distillery segment.
DCX Systems Ltd (13-08-2024)
The management of this company keep their financial data as it is.No window dressing, no inflated sales nothing. Business model of the company is good. I will keep holding my stake in it
Aarti Industries – Integrated Diversified Player on Benzene Derivatives (13-08-2024)
I think lower margin guidance which is less than previous year, in the concall
Aarti Industries – Integrated Diversified Player on Benzene Derivatives (13-08-2024)
What happened today? Why this rout? Stock is almost 13% down in early trades.
Piccadily Agro Industries Ltd (13-08-2024)
Not sure if the stocks would flow in market in October. The capex (which is the warehouse primarily & copper still pots etc that theyโve bought) is commissioned in October, which means the barrels are kept in the warehouse.
They then take around 1 year (not sure on this? but not 3 years for sure since Indri is NAS and takes less time to mature) to mature.
You add the time to shipment etcโฆ so on and so forth.