Q2 is a monsoon quarter and hence not comparable to Q1
Posts in category Value Pickr
Arrow Greentech (Old name: Arrow Coated Products) – Anybody tracking (09-11-2024)
As attractive as it may seem, I don’t trust the promoter group at all. Will stay away due to their history.
Zen technologies – A micro cap in the defense space! (09-11-2024)
Key takeaways from Q2FY25 Concall:
Expect 3500 cr orders expected in H2 FY25 (2000 cr is already bid and 1500 cr yet to be bid), Simulators and anti drones may have approx 60:40 ratio.
Guidance is for 900 cr In FY25 with gross ebitda margin of 35%. Guided for 50% CAGR for next 3 years.
Surveillance and remote control driven systems are in R& D stage and expect the revenues to flow in from FY26 onwards.
Capabilities in simulators meant for army planned to be extended for navy and airforce. Currently mostly in WIP/R&D and may yield revenues from FY27 onwards.
Has plans of USA and will adopt the similar strategy what is being done in India where in 85% of manufacturing job works through SMEs. With Trump’s administration, they expect good push on make in America and good supply chain availability in USA. 50% guided CAGR excludes any possible revenues from USA. Expected capex could be around $10 mn in FY26.
QIP money of Rs 1000 cr would be utilized for possible acquisitions in companies having technical capabilities in navy /airforce simulators. 400 cr is budgeted for acquisition and 100 cr for India capex.
Overall appears to be a consistent compounder story, but rightly valued currently. Triggers would be new large orders which promoter is quite confident about (they have walked the talk largely in past). Success in efforts in R&D and diversification of products would pave the way to beat 50% guided.
Disclaimer: Remain invested
Piccadily Agro Industries Ltd (09-11-2024)
Check the costcard above…everything other than EDP goes to state government pockets…in CSD you dont have to pay all those extra charges/taxes & thats why stuff is cheaper in CSD. For manufacturers, there is no difference in the price they get, its just that because stuff is cheaper, it sell more.
E2E Networks Ltd – Listed small Cloud computing player (09-11-2024)
Thanks! I’m not a Sir though.
Of course it matters, I have substantial value in this. I’m expecting Dua to be reasonably good on the next phase but unexpected things could happen. Company has partially changed fundamental business model. They are licensing their software to be used either by corporates (L&T) and their clients in a non-exclusive deal.
Anything else will be pure speculation unless we have more info on what the specific plans are.
The potential here is quite high. It’s not even a mid-cap yet.
Yatharth Hospital & Trauma Care Services Limited (09-11-2024)
If the revenue gets around 800 as stated by crisil the net profit should be around 140cr and at 40x around 5700Cr Mcap approximately 10% higher than LTP, I dont think it will be valued more than 40times for 25% growth as big giants are also giving guidance of around 23% but at the same time revenue can cross 800cr as we are already at 430Cr and if we get around 180Cr in Q3 we can easily cross 240cr in the last quarter and get to 850cr mark making a 33% growth YoY as we did in the last FY.
Disc:- Views are obviously biased as invested!!
Pragnesh’s portfolio (09-11-2024)
Pragnesh bhai, awaiting your views on this company.
I came across Euro 7000 in Delhi NCR region when one of our operations manager mentioned that their sales team are visiting sites in Gurugram and pitching their products and schemes.
What was your thought process while you invested in Jyoti Resins?
Trent — A value unlocking story from the house of TATA (09-11-2024)
What I feel is when valuations do come to below 100, the growth and the prospects would have slowed down so much that you would not want to buy even at that valuation. Precisely what is happening with DMart since past few years.
Piccadily Agro Industries Ltd (09-11-2024)
While CSD will offtake huge volume, wouldn’t it be at significant discount? We used to get liquor at substantial discount long back although off late I don’t know the pricing structure
Tata Motors – DVR (09-11-2024)
How do you read TataMo’s results? Overall weak numbers, even below lower expectations, however management seemed positive on recovery – both in JLR (one off Aluminium supply issue easing, China may remain a drag though), PV (good festive season demand pickup). Wholesale sales reduced to manage channel inventory. Overall, they kept FY guidance intact with recovery expected in H2.
So, what’s the view from here: Is worst behind now for the stock after shap 35% correction from top? Or slower EV and continuous market share loss will continue to drag?