But ROE remain concerning, maybe causing lower valuation
can anyone explain
Posts in category Value Pickr
Ugro Capital – Opportunity To Invest in a Fintech-like Company Below Book Value (27-06-2024)
DIY Momentum QnA and Discussion (27-06-2024)
The points mentioned and links given are well thought out, please refer them to get deeper into strategy knowledge. The use of stop-loss orders in a momentum strategy is debated among investors. Here are two perspectives:
Pro-Stop Loss:
- Risk Management: Stop-loss orders can help manage risk by limiting potential losses when a stock’s price reverses unexpectedly.
- Capital Preservation: They ensure that significant losses are avoided, preserving capital for future investments.
- Discipline: Implementing stop-loss orders enforces a disciplined approach to selling underperforming stocks, preventing emotional decision-making [❞].
Anti-Stop Loss:
- Volatility Sensitivity: Momentum stocks can be volatile, and stop-loss orders might trigger during normal price fluctuations, leading to unnecessary sales.
- Trend Continuation: Selling too soon due to a stop-loss might cause investors to miss out on a stock’s subsequent recovery and continued upward trend.
- Strategy Purity: Some argue that momentum investing should focus purely on price trends without interference from stop-loss mechanisms, relying on the strategy’s inherent rebalancing to manage risk [❞] [❞].
Conclusion
Both approaches have valid points. Using stop-loss orders can enhance risk management but may lead to missed opportunities in volatile markets. Investors need to choose based on their risk tolerance and investment style.
DIY Momentum QnA and Discussion (27-06-2024)
The fundamentals of a momentum strategy are:
- Price Trends: Focus on stocks that have shown strong recent price movements, as they tend to continue performing well.
- Relative Strength: Select stocks that outperform their peers.
- Holding Period: Hold positions for short to medium terms, typically a few months.
- Rebalancing: Regularly update the portfolio to include the strongest momentum stocks.
- Risk Management: Use stop-loss orders, diversify, and control position sizes to manage risks.
Archean Chemical – Specialty Chemical Leader (27-06-2024)
10%+ shares changed hands in the block deal today done at average 658/-. Sellers were India Resurgence Fund and Piramal Natural Resources Pvt Ltd. Buyers included Goldman Sachs and Nistha Investment
DIY Momentum QnA and Discussion (27-06-2024)
But if we follow fundamentals also and applying stop losses also, then it wont be pure quantitative momentum…There will be too many things to track and stick to…Momentum special quantitative is all about price movement
CreditAccess Grameen: Traditional MFI model, efficiently operating at scale (27-06-2024)
Maharashtra Farm Loan Waiver demand
Uddhav Thackeray, Shiv Sena (UBT) chief and former Chief Minister of Maharashtra, has demanded a complete farm loan waiver from the Eknath Shinde government. His demand comes ahead of the state’s annual budget presentation, with expectations of financial aids for farmers.
If implemented, this could create credit behaviour indiscipline among borrowers. Would like to see how the situation evolves and impacts the MFI industry in general and CreditAccess, which has a large book in Maharasthra.
Disc: no holding, no transactions. tracking the space.
52 week highs and all time highs strategy (27-06-2024)
Cup and Handle breakout on the daily chart for Garware Hi-Tech.
Fundamentally, company has guided revenues of ₹2600 crores by FY27. Margins are stable at ~20%. FY27 PAT could be around 320 crores and EPS could be around ₹135.
Cup and Handle breakout target comes to ₹2850-2876.
Volumes are also picking up.
Concord Control Systems – An SME railway stock (27-06-2024)
Hi all.
Concord Control System (Screener Link: Concord Control Systems Ltd share price | About Concord Control | Key Insights – Screener ) is an electrical machinery manufacturer, which includes clientele like Indian Railway, Larsen & Toubro, Tata Projects, Sterling and Wilson among others.
Their product range includes railway electrification components, battery chargers, control panels, distribution panels, and other railway-related equipment.
Currently the company has two manufacturing units situated at Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh with total size measuring to over 1880 sq. mtrs with a well-equipped laboratory & modern technology along with R&D units. Its has been incorporated since 2011.
Strengths:
• Diversified range of products.
• Quality Assurance (ISO: 9001:2015 certified organization by TUV- SUD South Asia Pvt. Ltd)
• Long Standing Relationship with customers, since 2011.
• Vast Industrial Presence in both Public and Private Sectors
• Huge demand for Domestic services
• Avail of Low-cost, Skilled Human Resources.
• Proactive government continued thrust on reforms.
Risks:
My main concern with this company is there not being much information being available online. (no concalls)
The company is exposed to risks associated with fluctuation in metal prices or shortages in supply of electric components
From their Annual Report:
Competitive forces could prevent the Company from achieving its
goal on account of declining revenues or margins.
Mitigation: The Company focuses on superior quality
service and affordability. The Company knows its
competitors and its customers and with differentiated
services and marketing strategies mitigates this risk
to a greater extent.
My take on this stock.
With the current push on railways and infra, I think this company could benefit immensely and grow well.
I’m seeing it as a good momentum hold till the time the government favors development in rail.
The reason im sharing this here is so that more experienced forum members here could also have a look and share their thoughts.
Financial: Market Cap ₹ 698 Cr.
CMP ₹ 1,167
P/E 53.6
The company has good numbers financially with an ROCE of 74% and 79.0% CAGR over last 5 years.
Disc: Invested. Might add more on correction.