Do you sense the pricing pressure could lead to muted margins? On the hand I can see that isopropyl prices going down and maybe other raw material cost has softened too.
Posts in category Value Pickr
Sugar Cycles: 7-8 years of losses followed by 2-3 years of super gains! (21-06-2024)
MSP increase will not be as high as industry expectation of Rs. 40 plus. At best it will be Rs37/38 – mkt prices are higher than this. However, it is very positive step as companies will be assured that they will not face losses.
Hitesh portfolio (21-06-2024)
I assume that your question is ” Can investors do short term (or medium term) trading without the use of technical charts?”
I know a lot of fellow investors who do not use charts, (or are not well versed in charts) but are clued in to the goings on in the companies they track. They have clear cut focus on how to play the situation and are aware of the near term triggers that could affect short term price movements.
These kind of investors track stuff like the raw material prices, finished product prices, exports data, scuttlebutt, and some of them are very well networked. They are good at playing quarterly results, or a turnaround situation etc.
I met a few investors who used to play on a situation that is not so common in markets. They used to track selling in a specific company by big funds, HNIs, FII/DIIs, etc and when the selling reached the fag end, they played for the rally that ensues once the selling pressure abates.
Yet another set of investors tend to buy into stocks that are being bought by fancy names (investors) and try to coattail them.
Some value investors determine the replacement cost of a company and end up buying the stock at a discount to that value that sometimes markets offer and play for the resulting bounce.
There are various ways a pure fundamental investor can play the game of short tem trading. But by nature I have seen that the vast majority of fundamental investors take a medium to long term call.
All said and done, there is no harm in having a look at price chart of the company you want to involve yourself with, even though you do not know too much of charts. A brief look atleast provides a rough idea about the trend in the stock, whether its up, down , or sideways.
The Anti-Portfolio (21-06-2024)
@Abhi_Patel I have very little clue about this one. Messaging didn’t seem a very high growth area so now valuation looks at fair value. More and more non SMS routes are being used where competing can be difficult.
Disc: unqualified to advise, hence please do your own research.
Investing Basics – Feel free to ask the most basic questions (21-06-2024)
Financial modelling would help better than anything in future predictions.
DCF relies on accurate forecasts and assumptions, so it’s one of several methods used for valuation. Other methods include Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratios, Price-to-Book (P/B) ratios, and comparing with industry peers.
Investing Basics – Feel free to ask the most basic questions (21-06-2024)
The discrepancy could be due to the difference between the actual closing value and the adjusted closing value. The actual closing value is the last traded price. The adjusted closing value may include factors like dividends or stock splits. Different platforms might update their data at slightly different times. Checking the NSE website can provide the most accurate closing value.
Piccadily Agro Industries Ltd (21-06-2024)
In a bull market, everything tends to be valued with higher expectations. It’s important not to compare an IPO price, which is decided by management and merchant bankers, with the stock price, which is determined by the market. If Piccadilly can maintain a growth rate that meets market expectations, it is not richly valued. However, if the growth rate declines, it may be overvalued.
Pratik’s Portfolio – Review (21-06-2024)
Some members reached out to me in DM on WPIL and Shakti Pumps.
“Seems new govt will focus on rural recovery… So, why have you sold wpil, was just curious to know…
Also Shakti Pumps going to benefit from solar focus and rural recovery but valuations are high…
Please share your rationale…”
My response: I like WPIL and it’s promoter. No problem as such in holding it. I exited WPIL because there were better opportunities like Shakti pumps where I thought returns would be quicker and more. I entered into Shakti pumps around 2100 level and added more up to 2600 level. Regarding your question on shakti pumps overvaluation, I don’t think it is overvalued although it has ran up a lot. If you look at last quarter, they did 90 cr in PAT. If you annualise it, they are still available at a PE of less than 20. I estimate them to post 750 cr revenue this qtr and for them to beat last qtr numbers. Screener PE might seem high but forward PE isn’t in my judgement.
Above response is just on the valuations of Shakti pumps but there is a lot more on Shakti pumps that I would want to pen down and share with other members. I will try to do that later today.
Great articles to read on the web (21-06-2024)
Siddhartha Bhaiya on Cracking the Multibagger Code. He explained easiest way to find multibagger.
Siddhartha Bhaiya on Cracking the Multibagger Code |Aequitas| CFA Society India |Investment strategy