Hitesh jee
Good evning.
Do u track new rising sector renewable energy stocks KPI green , waree renewable( power generating), and
Solar panel manufacturing companies like websol, borosil renewable… these companie go up one day cm down othr day some time circut to circut
Posts in category Value Pickr
Hitesh portfolio (15-05-2024)
Buy Unlisted Shares (15-05-2024)
How can buy NSE share if want to
KPI Green- Turning Sunshine Into Cashflows (15-05-2024)
1 mw epc cost is 3 to 5 cr as per reference and 5ooo modules included in per mw as per rough calculations from tata power
as per 1.2 gw is pending of which 868 is cpp it means 868*4 = 3472cr revenue per mw potential in cpp and in ipp is how much any idea
Mudit’s Portfolio (Stage Analysis + Relative Strength) (15-05-2024)
Sources say, government is reportedly planning a new PLI scheme for the power sector, aiming to expand the underground cable network aggressively.
Atirek portfolio (15-05-2024)
Sold Syngene
I sold the Syngene after the Q4FY24 quarterly results. I know the business of custom synthesis should not be judged QoQ but I was already planning to exit the Syngene because I think I can not understand enough in deep to predict its sales or profits. Not so good quarterly results causes the stock to go down and as I wanted to exit the stock, I thought it was a good time to exit.
Others reasons as mentioned here
I sold near to 700, my average buy price was at 550. I mostly added near to 50 percent each in 2023 and 2022.
Sold Indigo
I also sold the Indigo as could not got hold of their business with few percentage point profit.
Reason was my theory of margin not sustaining but it seems that at even the current elevated flight prices, the Air India is operating is loss, so maybe the margin expansion is here to stay.
Also top mutual funds have added Indigo in March and April.
Neuland concall question
I asked a question in recent Neuland concall.
I could not get the answer that I was looking. I later realised, maybe because my question seemed forward looking.
The better way to ask this question would have been,
Will it be fair to assume that our commercialised API and intermediates count will not decrease QoQ?
or
I could have simply asked, how to understand the decrease in commercialised intermediates count in recent quarters.
Something different that I tried
I tried one strategy for trading and I was able to predict a lot things but could not predict the people response and has to book near to 5% loss over 3.5% of my net worth.
It was difficult to book loss when the loss comes in just few days but we should maintain discipline.
Also the loss is permanent which makes it little difficult.
Fine Organics – Niche Player in Specialty Chemical (15-05-2024)
So this is my take on the results. I am adopting an extremely simplistic view here so feel free to challenge this as I am NO expert whatsoever. The margins are more or less stable (didn’t deteriorate as some feared). QoQ, the improvement is visible across sales, margin and PAT. Given the overall headwinds, I believe the results are not bad. Given their cash on books, no or very little debt, able management and forward looking capex plan to double down on exports, I would assume it can only go up form here. Many risks seem factored into the current price. And another thing that I have started to look at, since recently, is this (I think i read this in some book of Minervini’s), if you cant make up your mind on how the results actually are, given it a few days and the market will reflect it in the price action. Again, this could be a very naive way of looking at things, but I do think it makes sense since the bigger platers are usually smarter than us when it comes to reading the results. So, from that perspective too, I believe the results didn’t spell doom.
Radico khaitan: alcoholic child (15-05-2024)
While the premium segment continued to see strong positive traction, demand trends in the regular category remained below expectations owing to a general up-trending by certain consumers and a slowdown at the lower end. Given our
premiumization focus, our Prestige & Above category brands today account for 46% of our IMFL sales volume and 69% of IMFL sales value. In this context, it is heartening to note that the Magic Moments brand family has achieved 6.3 million case sales and crossed the milestone of Rs. 1000 Crore in sales value, growing at 25% over last year.
During FY2024, while the prices of certain packaging materials have been stable, the cost of grain, ENA, and glass has been volatile. This has led to significant pressure on our gross margins. However, with our premium product mix and price increases, we have been able to offset the pressure of raw material prices. With the expectations of a normal monsoon and better crop yield, we are seeing early signs of softening grain prices. We believe that the worst of the input cost increases is
behind us, and we expect to benefit from any tailwinds in raw material prices in FY2025
ADF FOOD LTD – FMCG Company for Next Decade (15-05-2024)
Good results by ADF foods. Some selected excerpts from the concall. Overall the business is growing steadily and management seems confident about the future backed by financial numbers
Best ever quarter in terms of revenue as well as profitability matrix on a standalone and consolidated basis led by increasing volumes and better product mix.
Revenues surpassed the 500 crore milestone in financial year 24 on a consolidated basis.
Consolidated EBITDA margin was at 20.2%, which is well above our target of high teens.
Consolidated revenues increased by 24.8% to 153.6 crores on a year on year basis back of demand backed by demand let growth.
We are seeing a marked improvement in this growth, hence expect it to be sustainable in the future as well.
We continue to witness strong demand across all our brands. Our flagship brand, Ashoka saw continued addition of new products and launched in new markets as well as increase penetration in existing markets.
Our India focused brand Soul has seen an initial good response. We are finalizing new product launches and we expect to launch Soul in the modern trade in the last quarter Financial year 25. We’ve committed an investment of 13 crores for Soul in financial year 25.
We are aspiring to achieve 100 crore revenue within the next three to four years in the domestic business.
Our truly Indian brand has been launched in the US and we’ve seen a good response by by way of listings in various supermarkets. This brand too is currently in an investment mode.
We have a new team in the US and will be investing in this brand to target the mainstream audience.
Our agency distribution business has not grown the way I would have liked. However, I would like to state that the same is not due to any demand issues. Rather, it has been tampered by supply chain issues. Our principles are working hard to sort the supply chain issues and we are optimistic that these issues will be sorted out, resulting in a good growth in financial year 25.
We continue to be bullish in terms of our outlook for 25 and expect revenue growth to be upwards of 20%.
Margins at high teen margins on a consolidated basis.
Broken ground in our Surat Greenfield projects and have committed 75 crores for phase one expansion. (Expansion will cater to both new as well as existing lines for our frozen foods.)
got listed in two more chains in the US which will give us for the truly Indian brand
spending of almost 75 crores in the Surat Greenfield Project It will give us almost a top line of 250 to 275 crores. So that’s our expected top line.
continue to increase our advertising and marketing spend, in fact, so we are very committed in growing our brands, which is why even on truly Indian and soul, we are making investments in the brand.
Truly Indian is for the mainstream market now. The mainstream market like in the US for us is new. So we’ve got a huge runway there. It’s a much larger audience that you’re catering to. Indian food overall is getting more and more popular in, in the United States
Ujjivan Financial – Small Finance Bank (15-05-2024)
Dolly khanna holding in ujjivan fin was around 17.9 lakh shares and after conversion it became approx 2.07 cr shares of bank…its not a new purchase
As per my understanding New shares of bank should reflect in our holdings by next week.