Thank you… Always good to know your point of view and stocks you are investing
Posts in category Value Pickr
Praveg Ltd: Play on Indian Tourism Industry! (16-02-2024)
Risks:
- Its asset light model, with tourism flourishing, it won’t be surprised if we see other companies emerging with same model.
- It’s hard to justify the company at current valuation, even forward looking valuation seems to be high with the recent run up.
- Its cyclical industry, no one knows when it will reverse.
Advantage:
- Current Govt is trying to boost tourism a lot which gives a huge upside for the industry.
- With affluent class growing more, tourism likely to improve. Simple example can be of Lakshwadeep, the UT itself is getting better connectivity n improving. Goa thrives on tourism, so can Lakshwadeep in future.
Phantom Digital Effects Limited (16-02-2024)
While I still have deep convictions regarding Phantom and its quality of earnings, especially after the recent performance numbers, I can’t help but fathom the absolute carnage that is bound to come their way due to text-to-clip innovations. Some of those disruptors are among the most hyped startups of our age (see https://openai.com/sora).
While I stand by my opinions on Generative AI being a rather distant threat, the quality of the outputs presented by OpenAI (especially with respect to minute-long videos) are both impressive and potentially threatening to companies like Phantom and Basilic. To say the least, they have shown that merely text-to-video models are enough to generate a 95%-studio-quality clip. Assuming you could finetune these models by incorporating existing camera shots into the prompts (which I’m sure people are already working on), you could potentially get a 99%-studio-quality clip. At that point, most film-makers would simply switch to these lightning fast and cheap generative models, instead of having to wait for an expensive human designer to do the touch-up.
Given that an average, uninterrupted movie shot is about a minute long, I think a lot of the touch up work on movie sequences at the very least is going away from VFX studios towards GenAI startups. Obviously, a full-on movie contract would still be handled by large studios, but there are certainly signs of potential damage here.
Disc: Recently sold out (position size in previous post).
Praveg Ltd: Play on Indian Tourism Industry! (15-02-2024)
Someone asked a very good question in concall. With 1000 rooms at 50% occupancy and 10k ARR the revenues would be 180 cr and not 300 cr. I hope the management does a reality check.
Shalimar Paints Ltd. — Worth a Serious Look — Significant Rerating Triggers Inplace (15-02-2024)
Why is the company making losses since the last 10 years?
Marksans Pharma- Can it be the next Pharma Biggie? (15-02-2024)
100%. Management has been walking the talk the last 3-4 years.
Companies with 20%+ growth guidance for next few years (15-02-2024)
Now they are dumping.
Rain Industries – An oversold de-leveraging play (15-02-2024)
Just went through the report thoroughly seems bit positive for Rain industries as allocation has increased in general + SEZ is permitted to import Rpc for export use. What are your thoughts on it?
1- Positive
2- Big Positive
3- Neutral (expected)
4- Negative
5- Big Negative
Dreamfolks services limited( DFS) (15-02-2024)
While Adani Lounges may pose competition, their model differs significantly. Unlike Adani, DreamFolks is an aggregator with strong banking affiliations, giving them a unique advantage. Additionally, I believe Adani is unlikely to enter the aggregator business. Even If they want to, a potential takeover of DreamFolks could actually benefit the investors