Q3FY24 Conf. Call [Link] key takeaways:
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Expected cool down in the RM (broken rice) price by Q3 did not happen even though harvest has been good due to commercial term standoff b/w FCI and millers
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Not to invest (Orissa project on hold, UP project at reduced capacity) in Ethanol Capacity till RM policies in the country are clearer (expected by Q1/Q2FY25)
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Q4FY24 and Q1FY25 margins expected in the range of 6~8%. Expect a clear policy on the RM by end of Q1/Q2FY25
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Consumer Business: Globus excels in liquid manufacturing. Will incentivize distributors to prioritize the sales.
- IMFL : Will continue investing for next couple of years. Expect similar growth in Prestige and Above. Aspirational OPM- Prestige and Above/No-Label: 30~35%
- IMIL (Value and Value Plus) expect large growth from UP and Rajasthan. Not much expectation from Haryana and WB.Aspirational OPM for Value and Value Plus: 20~25%
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Overall: Aspire that each of the categories [Mfg. and consumer business] will contribute equally. Blended margins will be 20+% [Long Term (3~4 years perspective) fair margins for Mfg.: 15% and consumer business: 20~30%]