Posts in category Value Pickr
Whirlpool of India (24-01-2024)
Hi Niraj(@niraj) – Would appreciate and love to hear your evolved views about Whirlpool, touching upon recent MD change, sales stagnancy post COVID, OPMs mean-reversion, right to win in the new categories [AC, Purifier, Dishwasher] etc.
RPSG Ventures – A proxy IT play and an emerging FMCG company (24-01-2024)
Nothing specific reason for this raise ~ 284 Cr
Coal Gasification with Carbon Capture could be a game changer for India-Shifting Coal from an Energy Commodity to a Chemical Feedstock (24-01-2024)
Cabinet nod to Coal Gasification-Rs 6000 Crore incentive to start with and 50% rebate on revenue share.
It is a Good news that the Govt walks the talk. Coal gasification is the way forward for utilising our reserves that would last 350 years, substantial reduction on carbon foot print depending upon how much carbon capture technology is deployed and reducing Coking coal imports.
Va Tech Wabag (24-01-2024)
Any update on the Mumbai Seawater desalination tender floated by BMC? If Wabag is allotted the project, that would be very big positive.
My portfolio updates and investment journey (24-01-2024)
Its all about safety on one side and reward on other side. We say large caps safe as they don’t move either way in market upturn or downturn. I can’t keep more than 15 stocks in portfolio. Never bought and kept a large cap in PF in last 4 years.
My top three bets make 50% of portfolio all the time. 50% in Mid caps (large, 5 to 20K cr). Remaining 50% is divided into 9-12 stocks maximum, market cap ranging from 200-300 cr to 5000 cr.
Jan 23 bet i took on Kalyan Jewell as 25% of portfolio which paid very well as stock up 3.5X in a year, could register a gain of almost 100%.
Still believe a concentrated approach works better ro create a large wealth
Ujjivan Financial – Small Finance Bank (24-01-2024)
It was a decent result according to me. This much stock price fall doesn’t make sense to me. What does everyone else think?
Rainbow Children’s Medicare – Niche player in Hospital Industry (24-01-2024)
Q3 FY24 results from Rainbow. Just below 10% top line growth, PAT growth 7%.
Ugro Capital – Opportunity To Invest in a Fintech-like Company Below Book Value (24-01-2024)
Don’t See Any Concerns On Asset Quality & Any Incremental Stress On The Portfolio: UGRO Capital
Ugro Capital’s management, expressing confidence in asset quality, positions the company for potential rerating and significant wealth creation.
The assertion aligns with the current growth trajectory, indicating a positive outlook for the company’s financial health. Should the management successfully execute their strategy and maintain robust asset quality, this accomplishment could pave the way for enhanced investor confidence, potentially resulting in a rerating of Ugro Capital’s valuation. Such a rerating has the potential to generate substantial wealth for investors who align with the company’s growth narrative.
However, it is essential for investors to closely monitor the company’s performance and market dynamics for a comprehensive understanding of the evolving scenario.
IDFC First Bank Limited (24-01-2024)
In a hypothetical scenario where the management successfully achieves the projected goals, with a market capitalization of ₹200,000 crore in 2029, considering average valuation say at 15 PE, the calculated Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) falls little below 20% considering current marketcap. This observation prompts a cautious consideration of potential future risks that may impact the bank’s performance.
Acknowledging the inherent uncertainties in the market and the potential for unforeseen challenges, a prudent analysis suggests that, under a mildly bearish scenario, investors might anticipate a CAGR return of 15%. In a more pessimistic or highly bearish scenario, the estimated CAGR return could be conservatively positioned at 12%.
It’s crucial to emphasize that these projections are based on hypothetical figures and assume the successful realization of the management’s guidance. Any deviation from these anticipated outcomes could impact the actual returns. Investors are advised to closely monitor the bank’s performance, market conditions, and the management’s ability to navigate potential challenges.