Posts in category Value Pickr
Gulshan Polyols(GPL) – Business by FMCG and Valuation by Commodity (12-01-2024)
Great insights.
I feel only risk is RM prices, if they can maintain the margins then everything will be good.
They should focus more on RM inventory/procurement management. Demand for ethanol would be there, no question about softening of demand.
Gulshan Polyols(GPL) – Business by FMCG and Valuation by Commodity (12-01-2024)
Now GPL is also producing ethanol through Maize & damaged food grains.
I am also invested in BCL but i feel more value is left in GPL now, FY25 could be a game changer for GPL as they get 800 KLPD on stream, this 800 KLPD can generate 2000 Cr revenue.
Dreamfolks services limited( DFS) (12-01-2024)
Dream folks commission per pax is 100-150/-.
Bank cost per domestic visit lounge is ~700-, for international lounge it would be ~1100-1200.
if it costs only 200-300/- for banks then i think banks won’t bother much about it as they can recover these expenses through MDR charges.
I think we may see significant drop in numbers of DFS due to sharp fall in pax numbers
Kothari Petrochem Ltd~ A hidden moated small-cap company? (12-01-2024)
Hey, R&D expenses has been minimal so far, however i am expecting high expenses in FY24 as newer products will most likely come online as per credit ratings.
My thesis is simple – My initial valuation multiple was similar to past 5-10 yrs however my belief was that fundamental growth is outpacing the share price growth & business is structurally in a much better positioning both from a competitive as well as growth lense.
I will keep tracking the business & add after getting more conviction on a quarterly basis.
I believe this can become a good steady compounder story , however, I have been wrong several times especially in chemicals sector…so bit more cautious this time.
Regarding EV, the company’s products are finding application in other industries like rubber, adhesive, plastic master batch which ks reducing the risks.
New TradingJournal Application enabled with Artifical Intelligence (12-01-2024)
Thanks for your valuable inputs, yeah we are going to gradually add more KPIs. Essentially it will be basic Excel, but integrating AI into it
We have some exciting features in pipeline related to Company’s concall and structured way of risk management
JTL Industries – Fast Grower at an inflexion point (12-01-2024)
Hi @pranshukh ,
Management has mentioned this in Q3FY24 earning release. The sales of VAP were declined due to scheduled maintenance activity.
Disc: Invested
Yasho Industries (12-01-2024)
Above is the Rough Sketch of how the things after incorporating MOS Pans Out
Note the company Ain’t cheap at 25x 1.5 Year Forward PE
This is After incorporating MOS
So One thing that once needs to ask management is how much value they add in chemistry this imo is just one or 2 step Process amd hence lots and lots of Unorganized Sector is in the competition
EDIT – After Putting Certain Assumptions such as → Since the margins of new products is 20% → the PF level margins will be in range of 20% the company Trades at around 15x PE → no level of Margin of safety Incorporated expecting smooth Journey
Disclaimer – Invested → Pf Size here Mann’s Portfolio – #19 by Ashar_Mann
Resonance Specialities – Worth a buy? (12-01-2024)
Hi Rahil, have you gone through the AR? Anything interesting?