Balanced take from @Worldlywiseinvestors as always.
Posts in category Value Pickr
Valuepickr goes Europe (11-01-2024)
Hi Guys, I am a Strategy Consultant, having worked with KPMG Netherlands. I do professional research and would love to be part of this community.
Tata Investment Corporation: Unusual discount to NAV (11-01-2024)
Discount is very low which does not merit buying at all. Company has said nothing on liquidation.
Polycab India ~ Connection Zindagi Ka – W&C, FMEG and EPC Player (11-01-2024)
I have held Polycab for over 3 years and been selling since last few months slowly. I usually have 20-25 stocks in portfolio and several times thought of concentrating to top 10 as it looks appealing and has a certain charm in it. But today it was proved that it is dangerous for most people.
On press release by Ministry of Finance, it is bit amusing to me that they have not named ‘Polycab’ directly but referred to them as wires and cables company. I wonder why would a government department do this and just not state facts as is. Why write a press release that creates sensation like a media house? I don’t write such judgemental posts usually but could not resist making this observation.
Skipper Ltd., (Power and Water) a moat in making? (11-01-2024)
Yes, Sir Ashish Kacholia
Tata Investment Corporation: Unusual discount to NAV (11-01-2024)
Is it worth to invest now as discount shrieked close to 25 % and if they want to liquidate all holdings that may cost taxation of around 20 % , please advise .
52 week highs and all time highs strategy (11-01-2024)
Time techno Ltd. cmp 185. Stock price today gave a sharp upmove after a shakeout move yesterday wherein a low of 169.55 was posted. This caused a double bottom formation at around 169 and the high between the two double bottoms is at 187.55. If stock price crosses above 187.55 and closes above it, a double bottom confirmation target would be at 203 .
Now coming to an observation of mine related to past movements of the stock price. During Feb 2018 to Sep 2018, when stock price was at the beginning of its major decline, ( in line with sharp correction in small and midcap spaces) the range between 154 to 184 on left side of chart (marked in dotted blue lines ) acted as a consolidation range before stock price broke down. Stock price then went down and posted double bottom at 115 and bounced back to post high of 164 ( weak pullback) before it went down again in a major decline. Now this shows the area where bulls and bears had a lot of fight lasting nearly 7 months and was a sort of battle ground where range was established, breakdown happened and a pullback materialised but failed within the range.
On the way up we have been observing a lot of action in the same range where we had first a tight consolidation between 140-160 for nearly 10 weeks and then broke out posted a swing high of 194 and stock price again went into consolidation within a range of 170-188 for nearly 4 weeks. Breakout from this range will happen once stock price closes above 188. Till now on way up we have had two tight range consolidations. This is often necessary to prepare a launchpad for a strong move. ( not saying that an upmove is a given, but can happen)
This is an observation that previous consolidation zones during downtrends will act as tough areas to negotiate during subsequent upmoves. Real strength in this stock will be seen once it crosses its previous all time high of 232. ( Usually these resistances are never a definite number but a broad range within a price band)
Polycab India ~ Connection Zindagi Ka – W&C, FMEG and EPC Player (11-01-2024)
This was the official press release by the ministry of finance. 10th Jan
I am wondering why is polycab still refuting this. If they are right then the credibility of the ministry of finance is questionable.
Disc: invested, biased