1500 tons of capacity for pharma – assuming realisations of 500/kg – 75 crs at peak capacity utilisation – so roughly 1.6-1.7x as total investment is 45 crs, but i think subsequent brownfield capex would be at significantly lower cost so future capex asset turn should be 2-2.5x
Posts in category Value Pickr
Wonderla Holidays (08-01-2024)
How exactly are you calculating the ROCE? Return ratios for the business have always been meh because of the asset heavy nature of the business. Even the management says they don’t look at return ratios because of that. IIRC, they said they would be happy with 12-14%.
(Presumably, the work on new parks will begin immediately after Orissa & Chennai parks open. So, they will still be in investment phase for a long time. Chennai & Orissa parks will take time for operations to stabilize. Even the mature parks are getting new rides at significant cost. So, ROCE to be considered should be 3 or 5 year average)
GTL Infra – Convincing turnaround? (08-01-2024)
Fixed asset block is also declining YoY… They could be dismantling a few non operational sites as no tenants?
Ambika Cotton Mills (08-01-2024)
which management commentary, can you share?
Wonderla Holidays (08-01-2024)
Wonderla was always a high ROCE business you should look at the unit economics of a park. ROCE was 40 % when parks were out of the investment phase and were buying expensive lands in Kochi, Bangalore, and HYD. now it will get even better if land which is 50% of capex is given free.
IZMO- bet on new technologies in Auto retail & defence (08-01-2024)
Is the arms making bit coming along? I haven’t heard any mention of it in the last two calls. Still have to go through the annual reports and understand what the intangible assets are.
One thing that’s good is that the pace is growth of these intangible assets has slowed down compared to the growth in sales. My speculation is that most of them do be licenses and patents etc for Frog. It’s a software product company of sorts, so revenues and profits come later, capabilities come first.
If anyone already knows the details, please do share.
Wonderla Holidays (08-01-2024)
Fairly priced is based on an estimate that profit will grow at 12 % then multiple can be 24 times earnings ( 2 times growth rate ). So now if your profits grow 15 % for 5 years and multiple (price to earning or better price to cash per share ) stays the same in 5 years market cap will double and your stock price is expected to follow it. However, this is maths but in reality, your return can be higher or lower based on the mood of the people who are buying and what they think will happen in the future.
Ambika Cotton Mills (08-01-2024)
Relevant news. It seems the slump is not over yet. Management commentary said otherwise. Let’s wait and watch.
Dollar Industries ltd – Fit Hai Boss (08-01-2024)
Let me illustrate how page industries differs here from rest of the players…
I am apparel retailer / wholesalers and i sell both Jockey, Dixcy, Macho and previously used to sell Dollar as well.
In Cas of Jockey, they have standard software which is supplied by the company to the distributor. This software simultaneously provides all the invoice data to Page and thus they have direct knowledge of last mile. Also, if we want to avail, any seasonal benefit scheme by the company, that billing has to be done through software only. Then only credit note get issued by the company.
While in case of other brands like Rupa, Dixcy and Macho, distributor uses local software like tally or retailware and thus often sell products under low margin disrupting entire market.
But even after this, Jockey distributors routinely undercuts each other by simultaneously opening another sister firm, selling products to that firm from company software platform and then selling products to retailers through sister concern at low prices.
So, even Jockey hasn’t got it perfectly, even after so many years.
How Dollar can overcome this?
FIEM industries : auto ancillary player (08-01-2024)
Board Meeting on 15th Jan to consider Bonus Shares
Fiem Bonus Announcement.pdf (607.7 KB)