Exits – Optiemus at 3x , management not credible, participated in AGM – they planted a few yes sir type shareholders , even CEO was not invited and peformance has been average too. Same reason for exit of Waa solar – Management comes reads voting instruction and AGM is over – cant trust such promoters. Frog missed guideline and lowered guidance – again crediblity issue exited , timescan – another laggard since the last one year exited , SEML – another laggard exited, Reliance exited full position it is 10x here in a decade with demergers and all but my goal is 100x not 10x , RIR not conviced with narrative exited, Affordable buy price was high hence may test patience exited , Coffee day trimeed exposure – debt resoluton taking time. Ind swift lab exited – doesnt seem attractive with main business gone. Bondada moves to long term portfolio. Basilic Fly new entry (management guidance of 50 to 80% CAGR for next couple of years).
Criteria to stay or exit – Management not transparent or not delivering (surprise is a big no no), Explosive growth with large TAM is a must to have 10x terminal value at least in 5 years, High ROCE,
Long term 75% of portfolio – As long as thesis remains intact (holding since 3 years KPIT, Tejas ) others are Max India, Kore digital, Cosmic CRF, Ecoreco, Insolation energy, Aurangabad distilleries, Bondada, Basilic fly
Second high risk not more than 5% of Portfolio to review by Dec 23 and if hypothesis is wrong then exit – Coffee day (trimmed), Sonalisconsumer,
Review by next Sept 20% of portfolio and if hypothesis is right then move to long term – Kamat hotels, Patel Engineering, Silicon Rental, Hazoor, SPML infra, Mercury EV
Tracking position – Shelter Pharma, Auro impex
Posts in category Value Pickr
Rajesh’s portfolio (07-01-2024)
Dreamfolks services limited( DFS) (07-01-2024)
Dreamfolks entry level card does offer Airport Lounge Access. One of my relative recently got it.
I think if Credit card companies keep doing it, revenues will get affected until people switch to the DFS card.
Smallcap momentum portfolio (07-01-2024)
Thanks for explaining. Most momentum small cases prefer Monthly timeframe, instead of a longer one.
Also given your PF is smallcap only, I believe volatility is higher, and affect of things like earnings, industry headwinds would be higher. How about taking a smaller timeframe?
Won’t recommend weekly since again volatility is there in smallcap, just simple selling by a fundhouse or retail can tank the price in short term.
MOLD TEK PACKAGING—dividend plus growth (07-01-2024)
The business still continues to be driven by Paints sector. Nifty FMCG has done really well in the past 1.5 year. But Moldtek Profits as well as market cap have moved sideways. I wouldn’t call it a FMCG play, we might find better direct opportunities there.
Certainly bullish on Pharma packaging business though, given 1st stage of production started from December onwards.
Sanghvi Movers (07-01-2024)
Sanghvi Movers is entering into EPC space, this will open large orders visibility, rightly placed with monopolistic Crane company with right fit into EPC space. Order visibility will be strong till next 5-6 years.
Simple Investing (07-01-2024)
Look at Aditya Birla Fashion and Narayana Hrudayala, looks reasonable valuation as per sector comparison.
Green Hydrogen as a Fuel – Indian Companies leading the Green Revolution (07-01-2024)
He is talking about Balu Forge
Senco Gold: Upcoming gold story! (07-01-2024)
Attached screenshot is of Kalyan Jewellers in Sagar’s post. Senco Gold cases are here: https://sencowebfiles.s3.ap-south-1.amazonaws.com/website/files/f3APXNe6mEXv7k9qjvvggwVKYNTDp5mwXqahq0wE.pdf (Page 27)
When compared with Kalyan, looks like jewellers biz have legal proceedings against them. Senco’s amount seems to be comparatively less, to it’s revenue/PAT.
Amit Singh Learning page (07-01-2024)
This attachment is of Kalyan Jewellers (https://www.kalyanjewellers.net/images/investors-new/pdf/shareholder-information/Other%20Documents/Prospectus%20Kalyan%20Jewellers%20India%20Ltd.pdf) – Page 35
Senco Gold cases are here: https://sencowebfiles.s3.ap-south-1.amazonaws.com/website/files/f3APXNe6mEXv7k9qjvvggwVKYNTDp5mwXqahq0wE.pdf – Page27
Green Hydrogen as a Fuel – Indian Companies leading the Green Revolution (07-01-2024)
Which company you are talking about?