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Posts in category Value Pickr
Go Fashion – Adding Color to your Portfolio (06-01-2024)
I also liked this business very much. The fact that the one category and lesser Skus should have given them a good advantage of low inventory cost but is that the case ?
Bull therapy 101-thread for technical analysis with the fundamentals (06-01-2024)
Oil has bottomed now and we are looking at oil prices recovering. That will probably bring a final rally in stocks that should last into March.
Large infrastructure expenditures that usually follow recession or hard landing will hopefully lead us into a commodity boom, this can be seen in copper and iron prices firming up as well as crude bottoming on price action and fundamentals most of which are due to underinvestment in commodities sector. New oil discovery drilling or mine development for commodities that was very commonly seen on London, Toronto and Australian mining sector has virtually been zero since Covid and that will show up shortly as shortages.
Prices of stocks such as xom have bottomed and industry leaders like Warren Buffet who is generally early on trends buying and adding into his holding of OXY
On Indian stocks companies like Hindustan copper have already doubled. Steel companies, hindalco, national aluminium, nmdc etc are well bid as everyone is expecting a rotation of funds into commodity stocks as tech and other companies would see an outflow due to impending hard landing and a froth. They were the go to assets when things got tough during the GFC in 2008. Because when a crises like hard landing and unemployment will hit, most of the government focus will be spending on infrastructure.
Indian infrastructure companies are having a good run with a good order book and that will only lead to higher shortages in commodities.
Powell has been promising soft landing and I know most Indians believe the Indian market and economy is isolated from the shocks of international markets but really can we source cheaper iron, copper and cement prices if international companies find it hard. Can we export more fabrics or implement more IT projects if the demand slows internationally. I don’t really understand the logic that our economy and stocks are isolated
Atirek portfolio (06-01-2024)
@royatirek The OPM has improved drastically to 33% last quarter due to shift towards CMS business but the question is if it is sustainable because historically they had margins in the range of 15-20%. My concern is what if mean reversion happens and margins decline again ? Although the current PE still looks reasonable but stock has already become almost 4x in the past one year and if OPM doesn’t sustain, we would see the PE ratio rising.
My portfolio updates and investment journey (06-01-2024)
I use paytm money and icicidirect… I have given more information here My portfolio updates and investment journey – #39 by joinjp2003
Investing Basics – Feel free to ask the most basic questions (06-01-2024)
hi,
Kindly share a book that explains what a financial ratio actually implies in terms of CapEx, etc. and all other things. Instead of just numbers. I think this is called ratio marrying.
Regards
Force Motors – racing ahead! (06-01-2024)
EV Traveller should be rolled out by 2nd half of 2024
My portfolio updates and investment journey (06-01-2024)
Which platform you use to scout for the lucrative opportunities in bond platform. Zerodha only offers T bills/G-secs and SDL’s.
The ART of Valuation (06-01-2024)
May I request you to please give any example for each of the valuation checklist (if possible)
Force Motors – racing ahead! (06-01-2024)
Force Motors#FORCE#FORCEMOTORS#FORCEMOT
Back in momentum
Good sales update 👌
Has been a solid December for ForceSales going above 2500 nos again after seasonally lean Oct n Nov
(Oct n Nov both had decent YoY uptick)December production at 2612 units
December sales at 2500… pic.twitter.com/L6l5Escu8k— Shreenidhi P (@nid_rockz) January 5, 2024