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Posts in category Value Pickr
Solar Industries Ltd (06-01-2024)
If Solar Industries will be rallied between 2-6%, then I might get included in MSCI standard Index.
MSCI will make the official announcement on February 13, with adjustments set to take place on February 29.
Campus Activewear – betting on the India Consumption Theme (06-01-2024)
Attained concall, recalling from that memory,
o2o is online to offline. Many retailer purchases campus products from U and A. This 2 company consolidated (Some layoff also happened) their businesses and exit platform business of o2o.
MOLD TEK PACKAGING—dividend plus growth (06-01-2024)
If things start falling into place as the management has guided then we are slated to see a period of high growth for the company.
- Paints division to be benefited from the high competition among the paint companies as volumes will increase materially for the industry
- Food and FMCG is witnessing increasing demand trend towards IBM & IML and will continue to see increasing growth
- With the pharma plant coming up ebitda/kg should see a upwards blip with ebitda/kg for pharma materially higher than paints business
Even on conservative estimates I see upwards of 25-30% growth for the company for next few years
Jindal saw – Another beneficiary of India’s growth story (06-01-2024)
@Mohit_baid How you see the recent QIP.
Is it good or Bad for shareholders/company
Sugar Cycles: 7-8 years of losses followed by 2-3 years of super gains! (06-01-2024)
Hi @Aarti Ma’am & @Donald Sir,
The conversation in this thread is really enlightening. Entered sugar (Dhampur Bio & Dalmia) at 165 & 430 levels. Just wanted to know why do you say that UP based sugar mills would have good year in 2024? Is it because of higher recovery and no dependance of ethanol from cane juice?
Really looking forward for the answers.
Maharashtra seamless-a value plus cyclical play (06-01-2024)
Capital intensive nature of the industry coupled with challenging operating environment has erected steep entry barriers in SS pipes & tube sector, handing incumbents a definite advantage (Venus Pipe DRHP)
Leadership position in the domestic seamless pipes sector, further strengthened by successful turnaround of USTPL’s operations – MSL is the leading domestic manufacturer of seamless pipes with an estimated production capacity of 4,50,000 tonnes per annum (tpa) with a strong presence in the high value-added, large-diameter seamless pipes segment (outer diameter or OD >10 inch), which sees relatively lower competition. In the seamless pipes segment, MSL primarily caters to companies in the oil and gas sector, where it is a registered vendor for major domestic oil producers and refiners. In addition, it caters to other sectors, including power plants, boilers, general engineering, etc., and undertakes exports as well. MSL’s capacity share in the domestic seamless pipe market got enhanced further with the acquisition of USTPL (having an installed production capacity of 2,00,000 TPA) in FY2019, and its successful turnaround by MSL post commissioning of operations in October 2020. At present, the company is estimated to have a market share of more than 50% in the domestic seamless pipes industry (including USTPL). (ICRA Report dated 12Sep2022)
Promoter Stake Increasing
The rising trend in promoter stake is consistently observable, as indicated in the latest second-quarter fiscal year 2024 conference call.
On December 11, 2023, ICRA updated the rating from stable to positive.
Sector Tailwind PPT 01November 2023
The part I am missing is Valuation. Is stock at right valuation or not.
@Donald Sir, If you can guide us on that, We will be very grateful
Smallcap momentum portfolio (06-01-2024)
Apar is not going anywhere since September, I know it’s a great company, but not sure why is still a part of the momentum portfolio.
Railtel: Tracking the potential (06-01-2024)
Company Overview
- A “Miniratna” PSE of the GOI – Established in 2000, RailTel is the largest neutral telecom infrastructure provider and a reliable IT & ICT service provider in India.
- Key partner in Indian Railways’ Digital Transformation – Its mission is to modernize train control operations, enhance safety systems for Indian Railways, and offer nationwide broadband and VPN services
-
Empowering Public Sector Enterprises – RailTel holds exclusive seamless Right of Way (ROW) along 67,956 KM of railway tracks, passing through 7325 stations, for laying optical fiber cable (OFC).
From connectivity service provider to system integration project executor and cloud and security service provider, RailTel offers a full suite of products for public sector enterprises - Profitable, Dividend-paying & Debt-free – The company’s orderbook is robust, amounting to Rs 5000+ crores, which bodes well for the expansion of its telecom services and project business
Opportunities
- Increase in Digital initiative: Government’s focus on a digitally empowered economy benefits sectors, doubling GDPs of core digital fields to $355-435B by 2025. RailTel’s initiatives encompass CCTV deployment, smart cities, and smart metering solutions
- Railway modernisation in Signalling and ICT areas
- 5G Prospects: Fiberized towers crucial for 5G rollout; RailTel’s 1000+ towers and extensive rail-based fiber network present opportunities.
- LTE and Kavach Project: RailTel is targeting a share of Rs 4,000-5,000 cr out of a total Rs 30,000 cr project
- Data Centers & Digitization: Engaged in diverse projects, including DRDO, SBI, Indian Coast Guard and ERNET Data Centre worth Rs. 1000+ crores. RailTel’s Pipeline – A 30 MW Data Centre in Noida & setting up 100+ Edge Data Centers poses opportunity to achieve sustained growth.
- Education & Smart Solutions: Active in education projects in Odisha, Bihar, Jharkhand, Maharashtra for Rs. 500+ crores, involving digitization, smart schools, campus connectivity, and Wi-Fi systems.
Risks
Overdependence on Govt projects – Any adverse changes in policies and budgetary allocation could affect
Limited Last mile connectivity – depends on other operators for last-mile capacity
Competition with established players in ICT industry, RailTel is late entrant in the ICT space
5000+ Cr Order Book
- State Bank of India which is one of the largest projects of providing last mile connectivity to banks on 4G LTE technology in India worth 250 crores
- Centre for Development of Advanced Computing (C-DAC) – Green field Data Centre at New Delhi and Bengaluru with Training and Support worth 280 crores
- For development of Integrated Command Control Centre for Puducherry Smart City (170cr) & Pimpri Chinchwad Smart City Pune (700 cr)
- Recent Orders Include – RVNL for r Data Centre Hosting & Application Support services (35cr), South Central Railway for comprehensive signalling and telecommunication works for provision of automatic block signalling system (120cr), N F Railway Construction for Supply,
- Installation, Testing & Commissioning of Integrated Tunnel Communication system, Emergency Call Arrangements in Tunnels & IPIS at Stations in Bhairabi- Sairang ( 76cr).
Investment Rationale –
- Beneficiary of focused investments in Digitization of Govt Entities & Indian Railways.
- Essential Partner of Indian Railways: RailTel’s extensive network of fiber optic cable & towers along railway tracks gives unique advantage in the Modernization (Signaling & Kavach) and LTE network technology transition of the Indian Railways.
- Enabling Digital Evolution: Through the execution of initiatives like the VSS, e-office, Smart City etc. RailTel is set to be a key player in propelling India’s Digital Transformation. Securing contracts from SBI and vital government projects showcases RailTel’s competence.
- Data Centre – Leveraging Tech Advancements: Surging data needs, widespread cloud adoption, enabling technologies like 5G and AI has led to persistent demand for data centers. RailTel’s involvement in critical defense network and infrastructure projects, like its partnership with DRDO labs, fosters confidence and shall open doors for many such crucial projects.
- Technological Expertise: RailTel has developed proficiency in establishing and upkeeping telecom and networking infrastructure, thus fully equipped for several potential projects of National importance.
- Facilitating 5G deployment: RailTel will serve as a catalyst for 5G service along railway corridors, especially in semi-urban and rural regions
Smallcap momentum portfolio (06-01-2024)
Update for entry on 8th Jan 2024
Based on ranking
- BSE
- BSOFT
- SUZLON
- ANGELONE
- JYOTHYLAB
- ITI
- KALYANKJIL
- KAYNES
- WELCORP
- NLCINDIA
- HINDCOPPER
- SHYAMMETL
- IRCON
- MCX
- COCHINSHIP
- NAM-INDIA
- APARINDS
- JINDALSAW
- BRIGADE
- HUDCO
Based on A → Z for easy tracking
- ANGELONE
- APARINDS
- BRIGADE*
- BSE
- BSOFT
- COCHINSHIP
- HINDCOPPER
- HUDCO*
- IRCON
- ITI
- JINDALSAW
- JYOTHYLAB
- KALYANKJIL
- KAYNES
- MCX
- NAM-INDIA*
- NLCINDIA
- SHYAMMETL*
- SUZLON
- WELCORP
Entry:
NAM-INDIA and SHYAMMETL make an entry.
BRIGADE and HUDCO cannot enter as there is no vacancy.
Exit:
SJVN and SONATSOFTW exit.
CHALET and MEDANTA stay within the top 25 and hence remain.