Theoretically, if emerging economies do not follow interest rate cuts by Fed, their currencies will start appreciating against US dollar, and thus hurting their exports demand.
To stop currency appreciation, Central Bank will have to keep selling rupees (buying dollars) in forex market, leading to higher debt levels in the economy.
Posts in category Value Pickr
Question on Interest Rate cut (20-10-2024)
Is China investible? (20-10-2024)
Adding to it, I found investing in the ETFs listed in the US market to be better in terms of more choices (Large CAP ETF, CSI 300 ETF , Small cap ETFs, Tech focused ETF etc). Also 5% TCS is applicable only on remittances above 7 Lakh in a financial year.
Poor guys small portfolio (20-10-2024)
In the past bought and sold some positions as well. If u guys want to know about that will be happy to share that also
Poor guys small portfolio (20-10-2024)
Beginnings: I started investing in the year 2019 with 3 lakh capital. In the beginning invested in companies like yes bank, dhfl n many more(didnt loose much)(but learned alot about the market).
After this horrible start started reading books on investments (read peter lynch/warren buffet/books by saurabh mukharjee n many more) saw many videos on youtube (mohnish pabrai/warren buffet lectures/rakesh jhunjhunwala n more) and begin by 2nd phase
Second phase: invested in the likes of
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HDFC bank: (still holding it till now) First invested during the covid phase around 750 and kept averaging it. Today almost 14% of the portfolio with avg price around 1300(approx). Rational at that time was best bank of india, conservative, good management(and the line from aditya puri which got me to invest was when you see other banks are without clothes we will be the one with the shirt)(something like that)
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KOTAK Bank: read a book on kotak bank by R gopalakrishnana(early 2021) n bh the time i finished had a small position in the bank. Over the years got to know a few things about the bank and past valuations n was available at life time low valuations added more over the years(now almost 18%) of the portfolio. Havent done much in the last 3 years(hopefully will do better in the future)
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MOTILAL OSWAL: invested when stock was around 750-800(pre-split 1:4) kept averaging it still 600 odd levels. Rational at that time(after hearing some mohnish pabrai videos) was market cap 6500 cr cash in books was 5000cr(investments) so the company was available at 1500cr. Todays is my largest holding(almost 35-40% of the portfolio).
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MANKIND PHARMA: invested in the IPO got the allotment still holding it till today. Rational was the only pharma company whos products i could understand n was using(pun intended). Got my conviction from a podcast i saw on youtube(beer-biceps one) n liked the promoter.
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Small positions:
a. NESCO: started buying around 800 odd levels n company very quickly went past 950 odd level. Found the company at reasonable valuation (had cash n no debt).
b. Restaurant brands asia: bought some at 96-97 odd levels n within few days went above 110 now at 104-105 will start buying again. Rational was whole company was available at 5000 cr mar cap was cheap compared to sapphire/devyani/westlife/jubilant.
c. Other small investments: Royal orchid hotel/ HDFC life/ Radiant CMS/ Tarsons/ Stovecraft
I think in a bit heavy on financial. But i cannot find anyother non-financial companies at reasonable valuation that i can understand.
What are you thought? Anything will be of great help.
Thankyou guys in advance(hope somebody will ready)
THE END
Green Hydrogen as a Fuel – Indian Companies leading the Green Revolution (20-10-2024)
Karnataka Introduced draft regulations for Roof TOP Wind mills
Roof Top Solar gives energy only during day time when there is sun light… But during evening or during cloudy days , Roof top solar does not function. That is when Roof Top wind mill comes to rescue.
well, we can have a hybrid version with both Roof top Solar and Roof top wind mill…
Karnataka perhaps is the first state to come out with a draft regulations with installation of roof top wind turbines and hybrid models and other states could follow such an initiative for green energy.
As a logical sequence ,the ultimate step could be to produce green hydrogen from roof top , would not be very far away…green hydrogen can be used as a fuel in place of Natural gas / LPG.
So we as investors would find some opportunity in this roof top wind turbines segments ??? Answer is yes and no.
Roof top wind mills 300W to 3 KW are already being manufactured by a good number of MSME as listed in India Mart websites
As of today , there is no reputed listed firms making these micro wind mills. Let us keep an watch on Suzlon and Inox if they venture in to the segments in a massive scale ?
However , smaller size wind turbines are easy and simple to make and there is no entry barrier…
Today Roof Solar more or less has been commoditized- with too many players in the market, there is no brand identity as such . So small wind turbines may also follow similar fate in couse of time.
Smallcap momentum portfolio (20-10-2024)
Update for entry on 21st October 2024 (lookback dates: 20/10/2023 and 19/04/2024)
50EMA (18,061) > 200EMA (16,280); hence, we can continue without any change.
Based on ranking:
- GET&D
- ANANTRAJ
- BASF
- MOTILALOFS
- GLENMARK
- MCX
- SUVENPHAR
- JUBLPHARMA
- TECHNOE
- INOXWIND
- HSCL
- GODFRYPHLP
- CHOLAHLDNG
- PPLPHARMA
- DOMS
- NETWEB
- ABREL
- PCBL
- BIKAJI
- KAYNES
Based on A → Z for easy tracking:
- ABREL*
- ANANTRAJ
- BASF
- BIKAJI*
- CHOLAHLDNG*
- DOMS*
- GET&D
- GLENMARK
- GODFRYPHLP
- HSCL
- INOXWIND
- JUBLPHARMA
- KAYNES
- MCX
- MOTILALOFS
- NETWEB
- PCBL
- PPLPHARMA
- SUVENPHAR
- TECHNOE
Exits:
BLUESTARCO and SIGNATURE make an exit.
ERIS and NEWGEN stay within the top 25 and hence remain.
Entries:
CHOLAHLDNG and DOMS make an entry.
ABREL and BIKAJI cannot enter as there is no vacancy.
Note: TV18BRDCST has been removed from the index and replaced by AKUMS from 16th October 2024.
Question on Interest Rate cut (20-10-2024)
Hello Everyone,
recently there was a interest rate cut by US fed. So, I know that interest rate cut is very much positive our equity market will get a huge inflows and loans will also increase. But my question is what will happen if we don’t follow interest rate cut by FED US. There will be any negative impact on our Economy in macro levels ?
Microcap momentum portfolio (20-10-2024)
@VeeraBrahmam Yes, it is a good suggestion. But, as I said previously also, we typically allow many stocks to continue even if they fall out of the top 25 (until they fall below 30). So, the system would calculate returns for the top ranked 25 stocks from every week. However, we may not hold some of them if they had not entered as there was no vacancy.
So, each one’s returns could be different.