I am not fully clear of the question. Can you please reword it?
Posts in category Value Pickr
Smallcap momentum portfolio (26-12-2023)
Hello @Rajneesh_Vashisht You are right. I could have changed the allocation differently for the top 5 or bottom 5, but this requires some back testing to check the efficacy. Therefore, I decided to go ahead with equal weighting when I started. For someone who is starting now with the list, I would recommend to start with equal weighting of 5% for each of stock.
Now, since I have let the winners run (without trimming them back to 5%), my weighting is very different to when I started. Every week, the value of entry is equal (more or less) to the value of exit.
Smallcap momentum portfolio (26-12-2023)
you know what? i checked the ranking of total returns for last 12/6months and PF constituents will be same as if we rank basis Z scores. (barring ±1 constituents), Ranking offcourse changes…
So what’s the fun of doing all the pain for finding z score if that information is not being loaded/added into final PF construction
Smallcap momentum portfolio (26-12-2023)
thanks for your reply. appreciate it. So, we are getting kind of aligned:)
i haven’t delved much into log returns part, and how that is important, but trust you to be on top of what you’re doing.
but then, wouldn’t it make sense to add more qualifiers to what is recommended by Momentum index, as you’ve put so much of efforts for replicating it realtime.
eg, let’s say should we not think of adding more allocation to top rankers (btw you’ve done that by keeping them run up if they don’t go lower than rank 25). would u mind sharing how is allocation for each of PF constituents?
Smallcap momentum portfolio (26-12-2023)
@BalaKishore_Nukala I will rebalance my pf every week. The universe is rebalanced twice a year why NSE does the index change.
Praveg Ltd: Play on Indian Tourism Industry! (26-12-2023)
December 26, 2023: Praveg Limited, India’s leading eco-responsible
luxury resorts company, announced receiving the work order for Operation, Maintenance and Management of Jalandhar House, Diu and Damanganga Circuit House, Silvassa. The work order for both properties is for a period of Seven (7) years that could be extended up to another Three (3) years.
Jalandhar House and Damanganga projects are spanning across a sprawling 15,000 and 12,000 square meters respectively. These expansive properties represent an exciting addition to Praveg’s portfolio, aimed at delivering an elevated and premium guest experience, further enriching our commitment to
exceptional hospitality.
With the addition of these properties, Praveg will now have 9 properties in operation and 12 under development. Company aims to further add more eco-responsible luxury resorts across India.
Maithan Alloys Ltd (26-12-2023)
One more equity investment. Now its National stock exchange… NSE
I have written to them about why they are doing direct equity investments and why they think its a better capital allocation strategy wrt to Dividends or Buybacks. Yet to hear from them!!!
Smallcap momentum portfolio (26-12-2023)
Hello @Rajneesh_Vashisht 6m and 12m have ranking based on momentum ratios only. I have used them to give me a feel of which stocks are doing what over 6m and 12m look back period.
Actually, ranking for me is based on Normalised Z scores only.
You are right; I have used the inputs from 200Momentum30 to create my sheet. As you know, 200Momentum30 is based on Nifty 200 index. I have used the Small250 universe to create my pf.
Suraj Estate Developers- high margin niche developer (26-12-2023)
Looks like an interesting opportunity. The sum of companies future PAT over next 7-8 years = current market cap. They operate in the niche redevelopment market with high margins (~40%+). The company has 13 ongoing projects, 16 planned projects and about 10,000 sq.mtrs of land reserves for future projects.
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They are expecting a surplus of 850 crores from the 13 ongoing projects (please see this interview around 8:30- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1a5543wEgDE),
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16 ongoing projects have 7.5 lakh Sq.ft saleable carpet area. Given the location of these projects, can expect a minimum realisation of 40,000/sq.ft. and hence EBITDA margin of ~16,000 sq.ft. (as margins are 40%+). Potential EBITDA from these 16 projects is 1200 crores
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Additional land reserves can be conservatively valued at 250 crores as on date