Here are some notes from their last concall…

1. Here Devansh Jain talks about significalt scale up next FY.

2. Here Mr. Devansh Jain says that next fy should be very very profitable year, ROE/ ROCE to be at 20% & company should be net debt free in 12- 15 months.

3. Here, company says that if it is going to be 10 GW market ( IN THE NEXT 18-24 MONTHS ), then we need many big players to execute this projects. And he also says that “In the peak days in past, all players used to be very profitable”

So, Inox wind is talking about next 18-24 months in concall and frankly speaking I dont think any management can give guidance beyond 2 years.

It all depends on how much of that “10 GW / year” order is given by new goverment of 2024 in the future period.

Disc: Invested, biased views

IT raid at company’s premises. Company notified exchanges for the same.

Q2 FY24
OPENING REMARKS:

Volume Growth:
Core lubricant volume for the quarter was 34ml,
AdBlue volume was 30ml,
contributing to a total volume of 64ml for the quarter.
Segment Growth:
Double-digit growth was observed across various segments, including OEM franchise workshops, B2B, and infrastructure.
Distribution:
Distribution showed a double-digit increase in both urban and rural areas.
Partnerships:
A strategic partnership with Kia for franchise workshops.
Margin:
Gross margins improved by nearly 1.8% (41%)
Ebitda margin improved by 3% (13%)
Financial Performance:
Sales 802 cr 11.5% y-y growth
Ebitda 100 cr 25% y-y growth
Pat 74cr 41% y-y growth
cash on the balance sheet 720 CR gross cash as on 30th September

Q&A SESSION:

Core lubricants saw a 6.3% increase, reaching 34ml.
Ad blue, showed significant growth of almost 40%, reaching 30ml .
The combined total volume for the quarter was 64ml.

Historical margins of around 17%, the current margin has decreased to 13% due to escalating input costs from past few years.

Base oil is a raw material of lubricant.
Base oil costs are stable; manageable as long as crude oil prices stay within $75 to $85 per barrel.
Base oil comes in different grades (8 to 10), each with its spread to crude oil prices, determining a specific spread is challenging due to the variety of base oil grades.
Base oil is correlated with crude oil prices, but short-term fluctuations in crude prices take one to two months to impact base oil prices.

Holds a 7% plus market share in personal mobility
in CV the market share is 9% plus.
Second position in the private sector, with a 7% estimated market share.

The company has consistently been growing at 2 to 3 times the market rate for over a decade.
In the previous financial year,15% growth in volumes.

OEM business includes various segments, such as factory fill, franchise workshops, dealerships, and aftermarket relationships.
The company has strong partnerships with over 35-40 OEMs.
OEM partnerships vary across different segments, making it challenging to provide precise numbers.

Clarified that rumors about Gulf Oil Lubricants entering the defense business pertain to another entity, Gulf Corporation Limited, which is a separate listed company.

Growth in the lubricant market, projecting a 3% volume and 6% value growth over the next 8 to 9 years, even with the increasing penetration of electric vehicles (EVs).
Objective to achieve 2x to 3x volume growth and outperform market growth rate.
Aiming for an EBITDA margin band of 12% to 14% over time.

Growth trigger for the future:
Acquisition of a 51% shareholding in Tirex Transmission.
Which specializes in DC fast charger manufacturing.
Currently holds 8-10% market share with over 500 installations across India.
Total consideration for the acquisition is INR 103 crores.
Expected completion of the transaction within October.
The opportunity for fast chargers in India is projected to be nearly $1 billion to $1.4 billion by 2030.
Company had a turnover of around 13cr in FY23 & 8cr in FY22.
Customer segments include bus OEMs, PSUs, and retail segments like shopping malls or offices.
expected to have a business of 500 crores plus in five years.
Tirex faces competition both from domestic players and imported charging stations.
Operates on an outright sale model.
Looking for overseas expansion pending necessary certifications.
Specializes in manufacturing high-value fast DC chargers, ranging from 3 lac to 13 lac, utilizing complex technology, limited competition. Indra Renewables (AC slow chargers)

Advertising expenditure for the quarter was around 3.5% of total spending.
The gross working capital has increased from around 105 days to approximately 110 to 112 days due to increase in inventory levels of base oil and finished goods.
Battery revenue for the quarter amounted to approximately 20 crores.
Presently, the company boasts an impressive annual sales volume of around 13.5 lakh batteries.
Battery Buz for revenue target of INR 200 crore in 4-5 years.

AD Blue is described as a supplementary product to the core business of lubricants.
AD Blue is used as an emission control fluid.
ADD Blue has single-digit margins.

Not to disclose specific realization figures for AD Blue and Core Lubricant.
Close to 95% to 100% capacity utilization in both the plants in this quarter.

Personal Mobility (motorcycles and cars) contribute 23% of the company’s total revenue in this Q.
Commercial vehicles contribute 38% of the company’s total revenue in this Q.
The share of commercial vehicles stayed in the range of 38% to 42%.
The share of Personal Mobility stayed in the range of 21% to 23%.

One of the primary reasons for the increase in other expenses in the Q is higher freight costs.
The rise in AdBlue volumes leading to increased freight expenses.
As the company scales up AdBlue volumes, the associated freight costs also increase.
Another significant factor to the increase in other expenses is higher advertisement costs.

Gulf Oil’s factory fill business, constituting less than 10% of total volume, is indirectly linked to new vehicle sales.
Stronger quarters are Q3 and Q4, with increased activity post-monsoon and during festival seasons.

thanks so much Abhik.