This helps thanks
Consolidation & turnaround story, strong parent.
Disc: Invested
Posts in category Value Pickr
Gati – Long race horse? (31-10-2023)
RACL Geartech Limited (31-10-2023)
Both @First_Principles @Worldlywiseinvestors beautifully covered all points in their very detailed post .Almost nothing left to cover .
My top of mind thoughts (I didn’t make any notes )….
1)Racl is about “specialized machining as their core competency “ (very high tech plant )hence as per me they may extend from their core of “Gear “to adjacency like “’differential gear and industrial gear”’
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Bcos of EV ,market is moving to noiseless car and hence “gear grinding “becomes key -demand is more than what they can supply -getting 3 machines on war footing (against 3 now from Japan ) -total machines in 6 sub factories is whopping 225 !!
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Man (a Volkswagen company ) shutting their machining and forging unit for ICE hence those orders may come to Racl in next 2/3 years
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My hunch RACL would start planning for next milestone of 1000 cr from next year ,hence being future ready
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the promoters have put huge skin in the game (most of their net worth invested in RACL )by investing close to 200 cr in last 3 year ,my hunch is there will be QIP in future instead of increasing further debt
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excellent culture in the organization (one needs to see to experience ) to me it’s about customer focus ,quality consciousness ,care and concern ,global outlook etc …these softer aspects is understated in investing world but makes a big difference
Discl : Hold more than 1% + of the company ,hence view may be biased ,please do your own due diligence
Power Mech Projects – Not a typical Power Infra Company (31-10-2023)
Power Mech Projects Limited has been awarded a contract worth Rs. 355.00 Crores by Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited (BHEL). This contract is related to the “Erection, Commissioning & trial operation” of certain equipment at a NTPC site in Odisha.
The scope of work includes erection, commissioning, and trial operation, which encompasses activities like applying insulation and paint (as needed), handling materials at the client’s storage yard, transporting materials to the site, and finally delivering the Boiler and its associated equipment. This work pertains to Power Cycle piping and the Steam Turbine Generator for units 1 and 2 at the 2×660 MW NTPC facility in Talcher, Odisha.
Dreamfolks services limited( DFS) (31-10-2023)
Hdfc putting restriction for lounge access & that 1 lac limit per quarter. I think, HDFC is No. 1 in terms of credit card market share.
I was inclined to buy dreamfolks but such news puts question mark about volume growth (degrowth ?).
My attic and Investing Journey (31-10-2023)
Hello Ishmohit,
In your opinion which are the few themes in India which will continue to play out in the medium term?
I am positive about these themes
- Infrastructure
- Renewable Energy
- Ethanol, Biofuel capex
- Maritime: Cargo Handling, Ports operations and Ship Building
Not sure about the below themes which have already given massive returns recently
- Railways (IMEC uncertainity in short term)
- Auto Ancillaries
- EMS (P/E has exploded in last 6 months , and earnings growth does not match that)
My attic and Investing Journey (31-10-2023)
(post deleted by author)
PVR Ltd.- Play on increasing disposable income (31-10-2023)
Not thinking ahead makes one prone to errors of judgement… lack of big ticket releases owing to the cricket world cup in the first half of Q3 and the actors strike in hollywood notwithstanding, we have salman and ranbir to shake things up from mid november… I am not too gung-ho about the 699 monthly plan as upon reading the fine print it has a lot of ifs and buts… but well tried to the company management…
As long as good content gets generated this appears to be a reliable money making machine, post merger it has higher market share and caters to the luxury, premium and now with tweaks in f&b and rationalizing of ticket prices, attempting to tap the value seeking customers as well… for me, this dip appears to be a perfect opportunity to add positions for bigger targets … I am pre-empting an INHS in the weekly charts and as always, prone to pulling the trigger before time
Rainbow Children’s Medicare – Niche player in Hospital Industry (31-10-2023)
Market expecting straight line profit growth?
NPST – Technology Provider for UPI Tech (31-10-2023)
Established in 2013 Network People Services Technologies Limited (NPST) is a Fintech Company focusing on Digital Payment Solutions like UPI, IMPS, Mobile Banking & Wallets to Banks and Payment Companies.
NPST is an authorised Merchant Payment Service Provider, approved by NPCI, providing payment solution to aggregators, merchants and users across various segments. NPST operate as “NPCI Approved Merchant PSP” digitizing Merchant acquiring space under the brand name of “TimePay”.
Currently, the company is providing its services under two verticals i.e. Technology Service Provider (TSP) and Third Party Payment Application Provider (TPAP).
Technology Service Provider (TSP) (For Banks & Financial Institutes)
- Switch Products IMPS | UPI | Mobile Banking Solution (Revenue model: Licensed model)
- Super App – integrated Mobile App for Banking services (Revenue model: Pay per transaction)
- Qynx – Merchant switch (Revenue model: Subscription): Qynx is a Digital Merchant platform for banks that provides a complete suite of services and products to manage and operate Merchants of various sizes and categories. The solution provides an end-to-end product stack to digitise your merchant network and increase revenue potential through digital offerings. A must-have product for banks & fintech to create merchant stickiness to acquire new business.
- ODR
Third Party Payment Application provider (TPAP) (For Payment Aggregator and Merchants)
- EVOK – UPI (API) engine (Revenue model: Pay per transaction): TimePay Evok is an API based Payment platform empowering business with flexibility of real-time UPI transactions and innovative payment channel integrated with reconciliation module. Delivering UPI payment solution being one of the approved TPAP.
- UPI plug-in
- Payout solution
- Merchant ODR
Notes on Timepay app: this is actually called the payee business, where we give the APIs to our merchants or payment aggregators, where the sponsor bank is Cosmos. As part of this ecosystem, it is mandatory that we have a PSP application in the market. So, it was a mandate piece due to which we actually brought that application in market. We never promoted. We never pushed it, because our focus was always this API business, the merchant business.
API business (EVOK): when we give the API, we give it to payment aggregators and payment gateway on the bank platform. So, we play a technology API role in this particular segment. And those who are authorised to acquire merchants in market, or those who are merchants in market, those who need collection technology on UPI, or they need collection API, where they can collect funds for the services and the goods they sell in market. Or, re-sell those things, like payment aggregators and payment gateways.
So, these are the guys who take services from us. In order to do that, in order to manage the platform, right from the compliance, the reconsideration, the technology fees, the infrastructure, and the support system, the operations, there is a whole gamut of business that has to be built around it. And there is a cost around it. So, for that, we charge our payment aggregators and merchants on a SaaS model.
And I would say that those who are in merchant aggregation business, there are 30 odd accounts that we have in this particular segment, including something like PayG, EaseBuzz, or we are already in the final stage with Cashfree. So, these are the guys who would be using our services.
They have processed 4200 crore volume via their API in this quarter. It is only 0.1% of the total API business.
How NPST helps banks as TSP? We provide the interoperability switch between NPCI and bank. Okay, so every bank who wants to be on the UPI ecosystem, they need a partner like us. Because this is not the engine which is part of their core banking. This is a separate engine altogether which connects the bank’s core banking with the NPCI ecosystem and only then they participate in the UPI applications such as you transacting on a Canara Bank account on a Google Pay app. So, you need a processing engine in Canara Bank to connect to NPCI, only then Canara Bank will be in Google Pay app.
Revenue Split: Two third portion is from Evok business and one-third is from other business.
New area of growth:
- When we acquire new bank accounts for example in UPI Switch, so whenever we have a new business around UPI Switch that is where our contribution to this particular percentage you mentioned will increase so State Bank of Mauritius India Limited is one, one account around UPI Switch we have acquired.
- Qynx which is a merchant acquiring platform.
- If they can acquire e-commerce or gaming customers then their revenue may increase with API business.
Extra Notes:
- Launched 6 products in the Global Fintech Fest. Got a lot of inquiries. Going into POC stage with some customers.
- They got State Bank of Mauritius India Limited order in this quarter. It’s a big order that will have an impact across TSP as well as API business.
- Launched “Super App Canara ai1” with 100 Lakh+ User Base
- Processing 390 Lakh+ Daily UPI Transactions as TSP for Banks
Results:
Risks:
- Business is a little complicated to understand.
- HDFC and SBI already have their partners. They control the real volumes in the market.
- Government banks might be the only probable customers for their super app business.
- Technology might become obsolete with time. NPCI keeps on introducing new tech.
- Overpriced at 85 PE.
Investment Rationale:
- Technology business growing with the UPI volumes.
- They have an aspiration to achieve the top five digital transaction volumes in India in the next 5 years.
- Currently they are handling 0.1% of the API volume. They have ample room for growth.
- Management has relevant industry experience.
It would be great if people from the industry could share more insights on this API business (EVOK). As far as I can understand this is an actual area of growth for them.
Disclosure: Not invested
Current Market Cap: 1300 cr.
Jindal saw – Another beneficiary of India’s growth story (31-10-2023)
Markets finally bridging the huge valuation gap that was created after the Q2FY24 results.