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Posts in category Value Pickr
Investing Basics – Feel free to ask the most basic questions (07-09-2023)
You cannon calculate the exact working capital unless you have segment wise current assets and liabilities, but you can certainly make some assumptions to determine a logical value. For e.g. distribute the WC by revenue of various segments. If there are more companies in the same business, use the WC to revenue ratio of such companies to determine the WC of the Segment.
Essentially such calculations may not always be possible from the data at hand but a close approximation can certainly be calculated based on some deeper analysis.
Kama Holdings Limited (07-09-2023)
same, I got out too before this jump 
Ranvir’s Portfolio (07-09-2023)
Your observation is bang on. Let’s say the West is witnessing a slowing construction mkt
Carysil can still grow in two possible scenarios –
Fresh construction may be slowing, renovations may be rising
Or …
Mkt share gains at the expense of competitors in an otherwise slowing construction mkt
The proof of the pudding is in the eating ie results in case of Carysil. So… I would say, lets wait for Q2 results
I hope I am right. If not, I ll sell
Hitesh portfolio (07-09-2023)
We have had a stellar rally ( and still continue to see) in small and midcaps in Indian markets and as of now there are no signs of letting up. But as you say, at some point of time in the future, inevitably this rally will take a pause , or reverse completely.
My aim usually is to make the most of such strong bull markets, so that when correction happens, giving up part of gains is not too painful. For that to happen, I have to ride the rally to the best of my ability in the strongest stocks in strongest sectors, with proper allocations.
While we must be watchful with respect to signs of correction, it’s often difficult to make a strategy beforehand as to how to deal with a correction in the future. Market corrections take different shapes and sizes. If these are routine bull market corrections, then it makes sense to be on the lookout for next sector building up momentum. But if its the actual real deal and big reversal on the cards, it makes sense to sit on the sidelines allow the dust to settle and get a clearer picture. So at the current juncture its difficult to formulate plans of a future correction.
Raw material price based short term investing (07-09-2023)
@sahil_vi @Worldlywiseinvestors @hitesh2710 @nirvana_laha @Chins
Request you to solicit your responses as I extremely value your voices. Thanks in anticipation 
Raw material price based short term investing (07-09-2023)
Does anyone practice active short term investing based on the movement in underlying raw material prices? Do we have any back-tested data on this? A simple example would the significant rise in H2O2 prices having a direct impact on National Peroxide’s share price recently. I do not know if this works, but looking for everyone’s valuable opinions here. Additionally, i can only see the prices of a few raw materials and not all. Where can we source such information holistically at one place?
Hitesh portfolio (07-09-2023)
Textile stocks are as you say showing signs of reversal from their downtrends. In these kind of cyclical sectors, charts usually indicate reversal much before any fundamental triggers are visible.
Signs of reversal will indicate only that a bottom formation has happened. Stocks can consolidate a long time even once bottoms are formed, before making big moves. Something similar is happening in some chemical sector stocks I see. But I am not too sure if and when the real big moves will happen or these will be dead cat bounces.
Hitesh portfolio (07-09-2023)
RSI can remain at elevated levels for long periods of time… Many a times when a stock reaches extreme overbought levels on RSI, it can do either of two things… First is go into sideways mode, consolidating within a range without giving up too much. Other is correct . When company in question is experiencing strong tailwinds and markets are convinced about the same, The former happens.
@hitusohi1 I don’t track titan.