Hi Sir ,
Ambika has now reached till 1535 does it still be assumed to may will be lingering around range or has it crosses 40 WEMA levels
Pl guide …
Posts in category Value Pickr
StageInvesting +Elliot Waves (22-08-2023)
How to build a concentrated PF (22-08-2023)
Having kinda been where you are over the last few years and still developing my knowledge on this subject I can only share my experience in this journey so far.
I’ve come to the conclusion that I can only hold as many stocks as I can track often, or the ones who’s fundamentals and story is good enough for the next 6 months to 2 years or so, but still keeping updating with their reports and other news related to them.
If I was in your place I will go through all the current AR/QR/Concalls of the companies im holding and only then take a decision on which companies i’m willing to continue holding a stake in and which ones I wont. Maybe even in your loss makers you might just find a turnaround story.
In the meantime read some books by the masters, deepen your knowledge on how to find good value picks and evaluate companies.
StageInvesting +Elliot Waves (22-08-2023)
Btw the answer was wrong, my friend . In any ABCDE correction – size of A, B,C,D,E matters and that is not visible on the chart.
As far as JBM auto is concerned , we don’t track the same. We try to stay away from the stocks where there is lot of noise in social media by the reatil -investors/traders.
StageInvesting +Elliot Waves (22-08-2023)
Absolutely! Got my answer. Thank you!
Have you also checked JBM Auto?
Shivalik Bimetal Controls Ltd (SBCL) (22-08-2023)
I am definitely not an expert but there can be several reasons for promoter/promoters for selling.
- They need money for personal use
- They think the company is overvalued
- Institutions wanted an entry and didn’t want to buy from open market as the prices would have gone higher
- Future fund raising, i.e. with institutions getting in , the company might find it easier to raise funds in the future
I don’t think the company will give any stupendous return from here on, but expectations of 20-22% growth still remain based on the business performance and projections given.
Promoter selling is a concern but can not be a deal breaker/maker imo or else I would have been loading up on Adani and Patanjali stocks instead.
News update : https://youtu.be/C7UD6xmJPh4
Shivalik Bimetal Controls Ltd (SBCL) (21-08-2023)
If everything is so good, why the management itself is not confident of their future business plans? Hope our senior members have a opinion on this.
Omkar’s Portfolio Analysis and Discussion (21-08-2023)
Chemical Sector
I tried to read multiple reports, few conference calls and also gone through few spaces but unfortunately I dont think I will ever understand any “chemistry” even if I read and reread the available material on the topic
Having said that when sector going through down cycle, there are lot more nuances I am learning – lot more easily as compared to times when going was good.
I am willing to replicate the same approach I followed in pharma where even without granular knowledge on the core subject by just focusing on broader strategy, qualitative aspects and sticking to the simplest segment – i could build descent allocation.
Vinati Organics –
Even without knowing “chemistry”, I believe Vinati Organics is tested enough by market to prove its a ‘niche’ or a ‘speciality’ chemical play. The historic data maturity to give quality signal is high and I believe data maturity will further increase over next year or two as industry navigates through a slowdown. This I believe can improve decision quality for an investor who does not have expertise in the subject. Once I settled on my limitation then the biggest stumbling block in the process of wealth creation remains – handling FOMO.
There are higher odds that other names like – Gujrat Fluoro will do well in future but the question I will keep reminding myself – Do I deserve those returns if even after reading multiple times – I don’t have grip over subject? This questioning helped me a lot to manage Laurus Lab FOMO
Coming back to Vinati, earlier i rejected Vinati’s management because I thought vinati saraf has tendency to over promise. But I am willing to put more work on management to gain comfort and more conviction so that i can able to hold investment across cycles in future
Thank you
P.E. Analytics Ltd (PROPEQUITY) – Another Data Analytics Platform for Real Estate Players (21-08-2023)
I went through the AR. I hardly found any valuable insight from it from what is already known about the company.
Without management interaction it’s difficult to predict what the future growth might look like.
I was curious to know from the AR why sales have remained stagnated over the last 3 years despite Indian retail sector doing reasonably well. Didn’t find any insights at all. I would appreciate if anyone in this forum can shed some light.
Affordable Robotic & Automation Ltd – Niche business (21-08-2023)
https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/43ca0764-e6a7-4db6-9772-bae42da1fa39.pdf
Company is guiding 50 X growth in topline in 5 years!!! thats huge!!