Posts in category Value Pickr
Electrosteel Casting – Ductile Pipe King (08-09-2024)
Yes, why it’s P/E is 15.0 while Industry P/E is at 37.4 (source: screener.in) is a puzzle. The irony is we worry a lot when something is available at an unreasonable evaluation, not only at higher end but also at lower end. One thing I noticed in the share holding pattern is DII have continuously decreased their holding from 3% to 0.44%. FII holding went up from 11.22% to 21.16% during this time (promoters to FII). Is it a concern if FII decide to exit for some reason? Has the revenue growth peaked at current levels? At the current trading volumes market must be right in deciding its current P/E? Or will I stare at it when its P/E reaches 60 an year from now? Only time will tell…
Disclosure: Not invested yet but exploring further.
E2E Networks Ltd – Listed small Cloud computing player (08-09-2024)
I assume Ameya’s tweet would be more applicable on NETWEB . Pls correct if my views are misplaced
Can Someone Please Guide Newbie’s Like Me (08-09-2024)
Can anyone help me? How to activate new user onboarding tips?
IDFC First Bank Limited (08-09-2024)
I can see how you got the numbers. Please take what I say with a grain of salt.
a) A 22% growth in loan book implies they will double their loan book in about 3.2 years. Is there a chance they might not be able to grow at 22%? Maybe less than 22% or maybe more than 22%. How have you accounted for that? (and this leads me to my second point)
b) I learned this pretty late after making mistakes (meaning losing money). “Intrinsic Value” (especially looking into the future) is not a specific number, it is a range. When I was learning from my investing heroes, I heard many times that future intrinsic value is a range, but I did not understand what it really meant. It was (I believe) Bill Ackman who made me realise that the value of the business in the future can only be estimated as a range because the future is unknown. I’ll leave you with one thought “Do you think your valuation would be better off if you estimated the future value of the business as a range of outcomes?”
*You could run a mote carlo simulation – but that would be a bit too much (for anyone).
I hope you find this useful.
Regards
M
Sundaram Finance Holding – Like a mutual fund of top notch TVS group auto ancilliary companies (08-09-2024)
What’s the holding company discount ?
MTAR Technologies – A wager on innovation meeting economies of scale (08-09-2024)
Check this times EPS that will tell promoter integrity. If he screws up again then it is time to reduce allocation. But the issue here is that why is the stock not going rock bottom in technicals? So definitely there is some merit to what he says , maybe he is exaggerating.
Investment in the ancillaries, or ancillaries of ancillaries-vendors of famous companies (08-09-2024)
My selling advice would be to focus on macro first. Then sector macro. Because it is very difficult for any stock to beat it’s sector perception. Share price follows EPS growth in long term most of the times but for short term it really is perception. I am going to sell during December end this year and pay off my debts. Then from next year May I will fill portfolio with Gold and Silver ETFs.
Disclosure: I am not Sebi registered investment advisor.
I am very young and have taken debt to invest do not follow my example.
Bansal roofing products – Pre-engineered for growth (08-09-2024)
Bansal Roofing – Detailed Stock Analysis | Smart Sync Services #investing #stockmarket
This video explains Bansal roofing business including risks. Like it hence sharing.
Disc: no investment in bansal roofing. No link with video creator