EPS in Sept Quartet grew by 48% relative to last year Sept quarter. The stock is trading at 43 PE. In facts, it fits perfectly as a GARP pick.
Posts in category Value Pickr
KRN Heat Exchanger and Refrigeration Ltd (19-11-2024)
Below information is largely from their presentation, ive tried to collate on tables. >https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/45d7b08c-00ff-42be-9f6b-b82ef4f99133.pdf
Particulars | FY24 | FY23 | FY22 | FY24 % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Domestic Sales | 26285 | 21910 | 14106 | 85% |
Export Sales | 4527 | 2820 | 1494 | 15% |
Other Operating Income | 16 | 18 | 12 | 0% |
Total | 30828 | 24748 | 15611 | 100% |
Product sales | FY24 | FY23 | FY22 | FY21 | FY24 % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Evaporator Coils | 11559 | 7153 | 5144 | 1763 | 37% |
Condenser Coils | 17030 | 15227 | 9947 | 5629 | 55% |
Headers/Copper Parts | 468 | 182 | 57 | 32 | 2% |
Sheet Metal Parts | 14 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 0% |
Other Operating Revenue | 1758 | 2170 | 458 | 151 | 6% |
Total | 30828 | 24748 | 15611 | 7582 | 100% |
Export | FY24 | FY23 | FY22 | FY24 % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Asia | 2669 | 1445 | 1384 | 9% |
North America | 1066 | 754 | 14 | 3% |
Europe | 791 | 621 | 96 | 3% |
Total Export Revenue | 4527 | 2820 | 1494 | 15% |
Total | 30828 | 24748 | 15611 | 100% |
Customer | Since |
---|---|
Daikin | 2018 |
Schneider Electric IT | 2019 |
Kirloskar Chillers | 2020 |
Blue Star | 2021 |
Climaventa Climate Tech | 2021 |
As i could find very little information on KRN order book, i tried to corelate KRN with few Diakin announcement as i presume diakin is its largest customer ( i have no data to confirm this yet ).>https://www.business-standard.com/companies/news/daikin-industries-invests-rs-1-400-cr-in-india-to-boost-local-manufacturing-124092000450_1.html
Sept-24 Daiking news | |
---|---|
Diakin Expanding manufacturing in india | |
Diakin plan Doubling revenue by | 2025 |
Daikin sold units in Q1 | 7 lakh |
Indias house hold with AC | 7% |
India AC unit potential by FY25 | 300 lakh |
Diakin Increasing Production in india for export |
So i am presuming KRN might have chances to get good orders even from the domestic market for assembly by Brand owners and additional export orders of the AC components.
I might be over enthusiastic about domestic RAC. basically mooning is it at sweet spot, having middle class flush with AC money, KRN getting more orders from Daikin?
The stock is running hot, but i am dreaming and corelating it with PGEL’s run which also has RAC component attached to it.
I continue to try finding information on KRN order book.
D- Invested at dip after listing (not an advise, neither qualified etc.)
Advait Infratech: A detailed analysis (19-11-2024)
Correct me if I’m wrong, but from their alpha sme stars pitch, green hydrogen would start after a few years … 2026-2027 iirc. In the mean time ERS, optical cables and other electrical will be main. They are also adding new products in the electrical side. Also given the their subsidiaries are just starting out, wouldnt it be prudent to look at standalone numbers only. This is better YoY. Not by much but still up (11.8%)
NPST – Technology Provider for UPI Tech (19-11-2024)
Surely if mindgate has something better than that would be a great selling point for them.
These upgrades like from evok → evok 2.0 → evok 3.0 are expensive and require lot of effort on both ends. New integrations with banks also the same. Seeing the effort required its just becomes much more scrutinezed decision by the banks.
Now for all upi based systems going forward 2 challenges are there first good service in low bandwidth conditions and second handle the surge in traffic which is expected to grow a lot over upcoming decade.
Maybe right now shadow ledger is useless but if I were to choose a partner shadow ledger would seem really enticing to me. Of course if partners like if Mindgate offer similar solution then its a different story.
Evaluation paramters in decreasing importance according to me would be.
1 : Current basic requirements(All partners support them right now i guess) example Zero downtime, fault tollerence, backward compatibility and so on.
2: Future scalabilty → If I have shadow ledger and similar feature I can rest easy. Any vendor which cannot promise future scalability is easily out of race.
3: Good to haves
Again reiterating I do not have list of similar solutions to handle scale from different competitors. I have worked in fintech as a developer it’s a pain to even manage single transactions. Making these async or batched is nightmare and the ability to pull it off successfully in a highly regulated env is a feat in my view. That is why I am sceptical regarding availibility of such features with other players. This kind of feature on scale 7-8% of national upi traffic takes future insight and planning you cannot write some code or microservice to suddenly support it.
I view it as a great value add and would help them win lot of new banks and maybe help with better pricing power. But these are just my views here can be wrong.
Sanghvi Movers (19-11-2024)
Yeah i phrased it poorly. But i like that the management is proactive about the whole issue. Management guided for similar numbers in H2 from crane rental… 500 cr down from 592 cr last year … but EPC could make up a part of that hopefully.
Annapurna Swadisht Ltd – A Swadisht FMCG investment? (19-11-2024)
Any comments on September results?.
.looks like business growth has slowed down since last 1 year…
COSMIC CRF LIMITED – sme (19-11-2024)
A clarification is required here…
Cosmic EV is not a subsidiary of Cosmic CRF.
NILE Limited-Lead Supplier (19-11-2024)
@AdithiyaaTulshan Yes. But they have been mentioning this as a risk in their annual report since last 2-3 years. So, they are looking for alternate customers and also focusing on exports. In their latest result, they have also announced incorporation of wholly owned subsidiary outside India.
The impact of this news can only be tracked through quarterly numbers.
KP Energy – Lotus in muddy water (19-11-2024)
KPEL Did his first ever con call on Friday -14th Nov and it also got listed on NSE on the same day .
KPEL should do ~1000-1200cr rev with 12-14% PAT margin approx 125-150cr+ Pat in fy25 and FY 26 will be blockbuster with almost 2500 Crs topline and close 275-300 crs PAT .
Detailed analysis posted here