Posts in category All News
Trent — A value unlocking story from the house of TATA (08-11-2024)
The stock reaction reminds me of the song “Ye to hona hi tha”
Sooner or later that was meant to happen because of various factors like human psychology, inertia, tendency to extrapolate etc. etc. The expectation & estimates were very high so even an excellent result resulted in drawdowns…guess most of the momentum investors quickly left the ship.
Looking little closely at the numbers, EBITA was closer to expectation but net profit was not because of reduction in other income and increase in depreciation cost. Maybe people with strong accounting background comment on depreciation costs for retail companies and see if this was expected and within healthy limits. Is this a result of too many store opening and we must expect this cost to bump up later as stores grow older? Don’t know much here…
Long story short – The exuberance has to end or consolidate at some point of time or other. Although very painful, especially for those who have large portfolio percent invested in the concerned company, but can be healthy over long term.
Personally, I trust the promoters, management, business and the new growth paths that they keep creating for themselves – I would not read too much into them like Star’s growth, Beauty, international etc. as they are very small now but intention & direction is right. I was mentally prepared for this crash and even more correction, although my largest holding & very painful, so needed a numbness pre-medication. At some point of time, I would be a repeat buyer again to add.
Disc: Largest holding so very biased. Not a buy/sell recommendation. Not eligible for any advice. Views only for learning and I can be wrong in all my assessments
KDDL (Ethos Watches) – Scalable business model at an inflection point? (08-11-2024)
Attended the call today. Few of the pointers and honestly a mixed takeaway:
Most of the questions were asked about proposed GST structure and impact on sale.
Next set of questions primarily focused on margins taking a hit and they were aptly answered that due to new store openings, forex fluctuations, they had taken a hit.
Few questions that I would’ve loved to ask but will write to them anyways –
The business growth in Metro vs non Metro and how’s it looking.
CPO business growth– there’s not a huge delta between the growth in CPO and overall growth. A lot of exuberance was there about it a year back and now in the garb of expansion, it is not getting the same importance atleast in calls.
The repeat business and rising ASPs– If it’s fair to assume that their customer segment is now stabilised and we can see stable ASP growth or will it start to plateau now. The ASPs have grown upwards of 2 lakhs now.
Confused about– The management stated that they’ll now do half yearly calls. Now Pranav Saboo has been spearheading the last few calls and it’s okay that they want to focus on long term strategy but still don’t understand why this call has been taken all of a sudden when next 2 years are all about store expansion and lot of new initiatives are being taken.
All in all, still very bullish on the theme but I invested here initially because of Yashovardhan Saboo and while the leadership transition has possibly happened but seems like his focus is more towards KDDL.Will see now how business progresses. The valuation is anyways steep.
Disclaimer- A very big holding and have added in last few weeks as well post GST news when the stock corrected.
Haldiram Bhujiwala raises Rs 235 crore (08-11-2024)
Snacks maker Haldiram Bhujiwala on Thursday said it has raised Rs 235 crore from Pantomath’s Bharat Value Fund (BVF) in lieu of a minority stake through private placement.
Sahyadri Industries standalone net profit declines 49.08% in the September 2024 quarter (08-11-2024)
Sales decline 14.00% to Rs 103.22 crore
Vishnu Prakash R Punglia standalone net profit rises 11.67% in the September 2024 quarter (08-11-2024)
Sales rise 12.96% to Rs 334.87 crore
Alembic consolidated net profit rises 33.46% in the September 2024 quarter (08-11-2024)
Sales rise 63.91% to Rs 52.91 crore
Hindustan Organic Chemicals reports consolidated net loss of Rs 13.64 crore in the September 2024 quarter (08-11-2024)
Sales decline 7.42% to Rs 174.72 crore
Neo Infracon reports consolidated net loss of Rs 0.32 crore in the September 2024 quarter (08-11-2024)
Sales rise 460.87% to Rs 1.29 crore