Thank you for your well thought out response @NewInvestor
This was the bit that I found perplexing, with the company reporting better results, achieving significant revenue milestones, but the stock price falling.
I agree with this as well. If you simply refer to the steel per capita consumption of steel in China versus India that I mentioned earlier, there is a huge upside opportunity.
So to summarize, I intend to hold Surya Roshni for at least another quarter (with a stop loss in place) for the following reasons:
- Immense upside when simply comparing the steel consumption per capita of China versus India
- Migration to higher value products in the steel pipes and strips business
- What I see as an unfair valuation differential between the company and APL Apollo Tubes
- The potential for the demerger of the non-steel businesses
- Lowering levels of net debt
Additionally, the company released an Annual Report for the last FY, and it’s a much better drafted document when compared to the FY21 report. Though anecdotal, when the investor relations output of a company gets measurably better (Annual Reports, Press Releases, etc.), it’s a leading indicator of the potential of a big jump in the stock price (since better messaging attracts more investors). And Surya Roshni did recently jump 20% in a single day.
Let’s see how the next few months go.
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