Hitesh portfolio

Hi
In my personal view ,

1. One should check the overall mid term mkt trend (Nifty/ Mid /Small cap in our case) and an eye on mid term macros/ Demand supply scenerios/ Smart money flow

2. Then one should check the mid term trend of the sector in which particular stock falls and sector demand/supply macro

3. Then One should 1st identify the mid term trend of individual stock charts on a very longer duration in all time frames (monthly, Weekly, Daily in that order) and a basic understanding of Headwinds / Tailwinds of stock of interest

4. All 3 above should be observed in view of Dow Theory
   Mid term uptrend : HH HL
   Mid term downtrend : LH LL

5. Then decide is it actually a mid term trend reversal or just a LH formation due to RSI divergence / xyz indication

6. Then decide ur stock commitment accirdingly

• Very short term trade of 1~2 days
• Swing trade of few days/ week for 15~25% return
• Positional trade of few months for 50~100% return
• Mid term trade for 1~1.5 year for multibagger return

Now coming to the points of ur stocks, mostly they exhibit short term spikes for making LH as the major mid term trend is still down.
Timing them and actually executing them is very difficult bec now overall mkt is in sideways/bear trajactory.
If you r not fast enough to encash bear rally (LH) , you will definetly get stuck as risk reward is not good. All depends on ur individual timing/ fast execution.

As a thumb rule, personally i avoid bear rally (LH) in a mid term down trend of a stock.

My approach is just reverse, to try to enter at (HL) in a mid term uptrend and then try to do pyramid with strict SL in case mid term trend changes/chart become bad due to overall mkt / macro condition.

Overall thought process should be to protect capital when overall mkt / sector does not support and be aggressive when the tide turn favourable (again by looking at longer duration charts of major mkt index/sectorial index on weekly/monthly chart).

Hope this help.