Notes from Schaeffler concall JFM quarter 2023 whatever I could capture (E & O E):
-
Business win from prestigious a automotive player in the EV space (passenger vehicles)
Production expected to start in H2 next year. The product is 2 in 1 e-axles (apart from usual bearings etc. which we supply anyway) -
Industrial sector witness degrowth due to wind sector impact
-
Exports – There were some headwinds, could not fulfill some export orders
-
Would love to maintain working capital at 19-20 %, which is the present level
-
Plan to remain FCF positive every quarter, achieved in Q1
-
Capex will be around 6 to 7 % of sales which is where we are in current quarter also
-
Exports
- 30 % exports to Germany (within 48 % to Europe), 40 % to Asia and 10 to 15 % to North America
- Relocations happening from Europe to India
- 30 % capex is going into that
- Customers doing inventory correction in Europe. So, there is slowdown in demand.
- Some global demand decline also but not a major factor
- Order book is strong – 1 year’s order already there so outlook is very positive
- Base is also high since last year export growth was 60 %
- Wind Sector
- Wind segment is substantial for us, 25 % of Industrial segment
- Of the wind production equipment, 80 to 85 % is exports which is put on hold
- That is causing the slowdown
- Industrial (ex-wind)
- Railways – good business wins, Vande Bharat deliveries started
- Now getting into Freight wagons segment
- Making gains into Steel, Cement sector and Construction sector also
- 2-Wheeler segment is muted but there was an uptick in March. Need to wait and see if the recovery sustains.
- Automotive aftermarket
- It is cyclical, there will be YoY growth always, but QoQ there will be a drop
- There is a spike in the last quarter every year
- We have strong order book
- e-mobility solution win
- We have strong lineage in this in Europe
- The new business win is worth 300 million EURO over the next 7 years just from this business win
- This gives us the confidence we have learnt how to crack this market
- We will initially source it from Europe but gradually make this in India entirely
- We have already qualified for the PLI scheme
- Volume growth for the quarter
- Same as value growth, there were no pricing changes
- Railways share in total revenue
- Rail is part of Industrial segment
- Rail is 8 % of industrial in the current quarter
- Margins
- Seeing no impact of lower RM prices
- We have a wide mix of RM and overall, there have been no lower costs
- Some softening is expected in the coming quarter but as of now we have not witnessed any such thing
- Industrial Segment contribution has come down from 40 % to 32 % over a period of time
- Our exports are largely Industrial
- So actually, the mix is 48 – 50 % for industrial
- Decline this quarter is due to sectors like Wind
- Localization
- Currently it is around 72 %
- We plan to reach localization to 80 % in next 2 – 3 years
- Industrial Segment
- Segment wise details = please refer to a detailed document put up on our website and then reach out to our IR cell if required
- Depreciation has not increased despite large capex
- Lot of assets have been used for longer than their life cycle
- Content per vehicle
- We are now at 45 EUR
- Schaeffler Lifetime Solutions & Mechatronics (mentioned in the Annual Report)
- Ensures Plant reliability and efficiency uptimes for the customer
- Software which analyses health of the equipment using handheld devices
- Keeps health check of the products and ensure optimum performance, improve reliability
- Industry agnostic application but used more in process industries such as steel, cement etc. and now expanding to food and beverage etc.
- Mechatronics
- We have a Mechatronics Center here with 250 engineers working on various projects
-
Seeing strong traction in Cement and Steel sector due to infra push by the government
-
Recovery in industrial sector – H2 may have better traction, especially in wind
-
Bearings to non-bearing business ratio
- Will become 50 -50 going ahead in the long run, may be in distant future
(Disc: Invested)
Subscribe To Our Free Newsletter |