Expect rate cut in next 1 year; 10-year bond yields to start rallying: Devang Shah, Axis MF

10-year bond yields are expected to start rallying due to inflation and weakening macroeconomic data. Rate cuts are expected to be built in over the next six months, and from RBI’s perspective, around 50 bps of rate cuts are anticipated in the next year. Interest rates are expected to move lower, causing the addition of duration to all portfolios. Long bonds will perform well initially and short-term funds when rate cuts occur. Corporate bond spreads are attractive for the three- to five-year segment.