I have a simple hypothesis, and I could be totally wrong here.
GoI allowed Tata’s to use BSNL as a playground by infusing truckload of public money for 4G/5G upgrade.
Why?
BSNL will potentially get a new life, India sort of becomes self-sufficient on telecom tech, and Tata gets a massive case study which they can use to market around the globe. Win-win situation for all.
Here is the thing though. Top line may look huge in coming quarters but it is unlikely that they would make a huge margin. If I am sitting on the GoI side negotiating and giving Tata group an opportunity of lifetime, I would squeeze every penny I spend. Imagine without BSNL, how hard it would have been for Tata group to get an order of this scale.
BSNL if successful will leapfrog Tejas, and that’s what make it a great future investment. BSNL implementation is just a stepping stone, and not a major money making deal.
Disc: Invested for long term in mind.
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