NO OF EQUITY SHARES | 2.89 | ||
---|---|---|---|
FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | |
REVENUE | 1290 | 1754 | 2404 |
EBITDA | 154.8 | 211 | 288 |
PAT | 90.3 | 123 | 168 |
EPS | 31 | 42 | 58 |
CURRENT P/E MULTIPLE | 29 | ||
CURRENT SHARE PRICE | 565 | ||
FORWARD MULTIPLE | 13 | 10 |
This is a very basic estimate of the company’s forward earnings that I have created. I have taken the following assumptions in the table:
- I am assuming the fact that they will double their topline from FY23 in FY24, as the had mentioned.
- I am assuming the Ebitda margins to be their average ebitda margins of 12% and their pat margins of 7%.
- I have assumed that to have a top line of 2400 Crs by FY26, they will have to grow by anywhere between 35-38% in next two years (keeping in mind all the factors like capex and market size and growth and their capacity utilisation).
Fundamental things that I understand will play a role in their growth story are as follows:
Backward integration: Since they are backward integrated, they have stability in their raw material prices, which promises a stable margin if not better.
Sectoral growth: Consumption is in their favour, overall market is growing and is very unlikely to go down in the medium term.
Operating leverage: Operating leverage is going to play out for them in the next quarters.
What I can not understand is the antethesis in the comnpany’s core operations and corporate governance and the things that can go wrong for them. I want to understand that more deeply. If anybody who’s tracking thgis closely can throw some light on this.
It will really help new investors to get a deeper understanding.
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