Concoll notes for Q4(Taken from screener)
Scaffolding Division:
- Saw a decline in volumes due to slowdown in European market and delays in infrastructure projects in India.
- Output in October 2023 to February 2024 was at 2000 tons a month, dropped due to market conditions.
- Currently back to 3000 tons a month with increased demand from US, Middle East, Australia, and domestic markets.
- MACH ONE business saw an increase in volumes.
- Sustainable margin for Scaffolding business is about 20%.
Margin Expectations:
- For Formwork and MACH ONE business, margin is around 15%.
Export Markets:
- Majority of export for Scaffolding is to the US (75%), Europe is around 5%.
- US demand remained strong, while other markets experienced a decline.
Textile Business:
- Shifted operations from Bombay to Amravati for cost and efficiency benefits.
- Expecting improvement in garment sales and EBITDA margin in the coming year.
- Fabric business impacted by global retail segment standstill, expecting recovery post US market pickup.
- Historic negative EBITDA issue addressed by shifting operations to Amravati.
- Received capital subsidy for capex, no plans for further capex in spinning.
- Expectation of positive EBITDA to continue in upcoming financial years.
Drum Closure Business:
- Market share in Europe is around 30%.
- Dependence on chemical sector in Europe, affected by capacity shifting to China and India.
- Continuous expansion in China, running at over 90% capacity.
Aluminum Extrusion Plant:
- Capex of INR 280 crores for the plant.
- Expected to double the output of MACH ONE product with additional capacity.
- Backward integration for captive consumption, but will also contribute to additional sales.
Market Strategies:
- Focused on aggressive sales in other markets to compensate for the decline in Europe.
- Bullish outlook for Europe with certification in progress.
- New capex in Aurangabad to increase top line as per previous statements by management.
Expansion Plans:
- Trials for additional top line to start in July, fully operational by end of December.
- Production to start in phases this financial year, with full effect seen in ’25-’26.
- Incremental revenue from MACH-ONE to be around ₹450 crores in ’25-’26.
- Aurangabad plant to contribute to growth in scaffolding and formwork division.
Engineering and Design Services:
- Revenue and profitability increased by 40% last year.
- Strong demand from US, Western Europe, and UK markets.
- Margin slippage in last quarter not abnormal, demand remains strong.
- Turbulence in logistics due to Red Sea crisis, freight costs have now stabilized.
Revenue and Capex:
- Total revenue from MACH-ONE product line to be around ₹850 Cr in ’25-’26.
- Order book close to 2 lakh square meters in aluminium formwork.
- INR27-28 Cr expected from the sale of textile assets in Bombay.
Defence Business:
- Successfully developed Joule-Thomson coolers for missiles and equipment for mass moment of inertia measurement.
- Expecting growth in defence business with government spending.
- Considered as an investment for future growth opportunities.
Plastic Closures and Other Opportunities:
- Developing rapidly in plastic closures with good margins.
- Facing resistance in the US market, but growing in other markets.
- Engineering design services division expected to show double-digit growth.
- No active pursuit of new lateral opportunities, focusing on existing verticals for growth.
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