Understood
A stock market can get overheated at which point unless you’re a very large fish like Mr Buffet, I think one would step aside
Another way of putting it is not finding enough value to warrant a purchase at current price.
My question was around that and models and backtests around macro economics, more out of personal interest, if you’ve found anything meaningful. I came across some models based on fundamental data like o/n RRP and it’s role on predicting interest rate movements etc, so was looking at that as a whole.
Probably my mistake in calling it backtests as it’s not really a backtest but for want of better and succinct word, I probably used that term and misled.
I gather you are probably looking at buy and hold for ever but it someone doesn’t align with your 4-quadrant analysis chart as a company in tailwind sector will eventually get into headwind sector, vice versa
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