Fiscal deficit in Apr-Aug at 27% of full-year target (30-09-2024)
The Centre’s fiscal deficit at the end of the first five months of the current fiscal touched 27 per cent of the full-year target, government data showed on Monday. In absolute terms, the fiscal deficit — the gap between expenditure and revenue — was at Rs 4,35,176 crore as of August-end, according to data released by the Controller General of Accounts (CGA). The deficit stood at 36 per cent of the Budget Estimates (BE) in the corresponding period of 2023-24.
Ranvir’s Portfolio (30-09-2024)
Laurus Labs –
Q1 FY 25 results and concall updates –
Revenues – 1195 vs 1182 cr
Gross margins @ 55.1 vs 50.6 pc – a key indicator of health of the business
EBITDA – 171 vs 168 cr ( margins @ 14.3 vs 14.2 pc )
PAT – 13 vs 25 pc
Revenues led by strong demand in Oncology APIs, ARVs. Delivery schedule in CDMO business in Q1 was tepid
Gross margins @ 55 pc – is a key indicator of business profitability. As the capacity utilisation of company’s assets improves, profitability can potentially show a major improvement
Spends on new initiatives – Cell and Gene therapy + Animal Health were at 15 cr
Segment wise revenues –
CDMO – 214 vs 250 cr, down 14 pc – CDMO deliveries are scheduled for key late phase NCE projects in Q4. Witnessing significant interest from new customers, momentum in RFPs continued from big Pharma and key Biotechs. Total active CDMO projects ( including intermediates @ 70 !!! ). Out of these, 10 projects are in commercial stages. 20 projects are in Animal health + Crop protection spaces. Have started supplying commercial validation batches of the Animal Health, Crop health projects
APIs – 664 vs 597 cr, up 11 pc – led by strong growth in Onco APIs ( up 120 pc YoY ). Segment wise breakup of API sales –
Onco APIs – 18 vs 9 pc YoY
ARV APIs – 60 vs 68 pc YoY
Other APIs – 22 vs 23 pc YoY ( could have grown stronger but the sales were deferred by shipment delays )
FDFs – 274 vs 285 cr, down 4 pc – fall in ARV FDF volumes ( down 20 pc ) compensated by good growth in developed market exports ( up 25 pc )
Bio – 43 vs 50 cr, down 14 pc – stable Qtr with healthy traction in bio CDMO services. Initiated discussions with several strategic customers for long term CDMO collaboration. Commercial fermentation facility build up on track in Vizag
Company’s manufacturing footprint –
Vishakhapatnam –
Unit – 1 @ Parawada – 1279 KL – APIs + CDMO
Unit -2 @ Atchutapuram – 89KL, 10 billion units – APIs + FDFs
Unit -3 @ Parawada – 2318 KL – APIs + R&D
Unit – 4 @ Atchutapuram – 1959 KL – APIs + CDMO
Unit – 5 @ Parawada – 161 KL – CDMO
Unit – 6 @ Atchutapuram – 1479 KL – APIs
LSPL – 1 @ Parawada – 139 KL – APIs + CDMO
LSPL – 2 @ Atchutapuram – 283 KL – CDMO
Hyderabad –
Sriam – 81 KL – APIs
Kilolab – 4.5 KL – APIs + CDMO + R&D
New R&D center – under development
Bengaluru –
R1 – 15 KL – Bio synthesis + R&D
R2 – 225 KL – Bio synthesis
Kanpur –
Gene Therapy – R&D
Marketing offices –
Winchester – UK
Hamburg – Germany
New Jersey – US
Company has spent very aggressively ( @ 2600 cr ) on Capex in last 3 yrs. Hence, most of its manufacturing facilities are under-utilised. As their capacity utilisation improves, so shall company’s profitability
Company has signed a new long term CMO contract for FDFs with a new customer. Customer is also funding CAPEX for the subject supplies that are expected to begin in FY 27
Company has also spent a lot of money ( @ 470 cr ) on cell and gene therapy + Bio catalaysis. Company is working on 10+ Bio Catalaysis projects with various customers
Animal health products – manufacturing facility is undergoing early ramp-up phase, commercial validation have started
Crop Protection products – manufacturing facility’s inspection and qualification is expected by end of FY 25
Company has formed a 49:51 JV with a Slovenian healthcare company – KRKA ( in Feb 24 ) to manufacture and market formulations in India and non EU mkts
Company has – till date filed 41 ANDAs in US mkts and has obtained 21 final approvals, 14 tentative approvals. Their current formulations R&D has 62 products in the pipeline
R&D spends in Q1 were at 5.4 pc of topline ( healthy levels ) – up 35 pc YoY
Company is in the process of setting up a Bio – Fermentation manufacturing facility in Vishakhapatnam. Likely to be commissioned by June 26. Total capex requirement for this facility should be around 200 cr
Company passed 02 USFDA inspections in Q1 – at their large API manufacturing sites – Parawada -1 & 3 – without major observations – a key positive
Net Debt stands @ 2633 cr
Company also hosted / has undergone 14 customer audits by CDMO customers in Q1 ( that’s a large number ). Company is definitely seeing greater interest from customers from West for their facilities for potential award of late stage CDMO contracts
Company has increased its count of scientists working on CDMO division from 200 in 2019 to 800 scientists currently. That’s a huge jump and this also costs a lot of money ( operational expenses ). This should bear fruit as the CDMO division’s revenues pick up
ARV API + ARV Formulations sales for Q1 stand @ 552 cr ( out of a total topline of 1195 cr )
As their animal health and other important CDMO contracts pick up wef H2 this year and their crop protection product deliveries start next year, the percentage of business coming from ARVs should start to fall meaningfully – that would be a key positive for the company as ARV part of the business is unlikely to grow in future
Company is guiding for a consolidated EBITDA margin of 20 pc for full FY 25
Capex guidance for next 2 yrs @ 1800 – 2000 cr !!! ( majority of that for CDMO business )
The pickup in CDMO business in H2 that company is talking about is supply of materials for product registrations post Phase-3. Hence, logically – a lot of commercial scale manufacturing should come their way in FY 26
Disc : initiated a tracking position, intent is to hold on for next 6-9 months and look out for business improvement, not SEBI registered, not a buy/sell recommendation
Tata Steel ceases operations at Port Talbot in UK (30-09-2024)
Tata Steel has stopped steel production at Port Talbot in the UK, closing the blast furnace and related plants. The company plans to invest £1.25 billion in an electric arc furnace, with government support. This transition will resume production by 2027-2028, ensuring a greener future and sustaining over 5,000 jobs while cutting 2,800 positions.
Sebi board gives approval for new asset class, MF Lite regulations (30-09-2024)
Doesn’t discuss charges against Buch, takes up staff protest
Dishman Carbogen Amcis Ltd (30-09-2024)
Why is goodwill increasing on books, a lot of capex i can see, it is generating a lot of operating profit as well but its debt keeps pn climbing higher and higher, unable yo get my head around these facts. I respect mukul agarwal a lot, he might be lnowing something which we don’t, his holding is increasing day by day. Let’s see how it unfolds, but for the time being i better remain a spectator.
Sebi bars Seacoast Shipping promoters, orders impounding of Rs 84 cr (30-09-2024)
The market regulator has directed Shah and six others to impound the illegal gains amounting to over Rs 84 crore and barred Seacoast from raising any money from the public
Sebi board approves MF Lite framework for passive schemes (30-09-2024)
Sebi has approved the introduction of the Mutual Funds Lite (MF Lite) framework for passively managed schemes. This framework reduces eligibility criteria for sponsors and compliance requirements. Existing AMCs can manage active and passive schemes separately. The new regulations aim to encourage new players, enhance market liquidity, and foster innovation in the mutual fund sector.