US Fed rate cut cycle to begin from today. How it may impact prices of shares you own (18-09-2024)
US Fed Rate Cut: While a majority of Wall Street traders anticipate a 50 basis point rate cut today and a total of 100 basis points reduction by the end of the year, it’s important to remember that the market’s predictions about the Federal Open Market Committee’s decisions have been inaccurate in the past.
Board of SBI Cards & Payment Services approves NCD issuance of Rs 5000 cr (18-09-2024)
At meeting held on 18 September 2024
Ranvir’s Portfolio (18-09-2024)
SULA Vineyards –
Q1 FY 25 results and concall highlights –
Sales – 129 vs 118 cr, up 9 pc ( extreme heat wave and general elections were strong headwinds )
Gross margins – 76 vs 74 cr
EBITDA – 35 vs 32 cr, up 9 pc ( margins @ 27 vs 27 pc )
PAT – 15 vs 14 cr, up 6 pc
Revenue split –
Own brands – 115 cr , up 12 pc
Within own brands – Elite and Premium categories contributed to 71 pc of sales ( @ 82 cr ) vs 74 pc in Q1 FY 24. This portfolio grew by 8 pc – led by price growth. Volume growth was (-) 1 pc
Sale of Economy and Popular brands jumped by 24 pc to 33 cr. It has happened after >2 yrs that economy and popular portfolio has grown faster than elite and premium segments
Wine tourism – 11 cr, down 2 pc. New tasting room and restaurant operationalised near Nahsik Airport
Sale of imported brands – 4 cr
Two exiting projects under construction –
Launching new tasting room and wine shop ( 3500 Sq Ft ) at ND Wines ( acquired in Apr 24 ) – near Gujarat Border
Expansion of Wine Tourism facilities at ‘Domaine Sula’ – near Bengaluru
Expecting both these initiatives to go commercial before the festive season
Company’s key brands –
RASA – Elite brand
The SOURCE – Elite brand
SULA – Premium brand
DINDORI – Premium brand
MADERA – Economy brand
DIA – Economy brand
YORK – Popular brand
ARROS – Popular brand
Company has installed 3 MW solar power capacity at its manufacturing sites catering to 50+ of their energy needs
There were very heavy restrictions on the movement of alcoholic beverages during the General Elections – which had an adverse impact on company’s Q1 performance. This also led to distributor level de-stocking
CSD sales grew by 50 pc in Q1
THE SOURCE – brand grew by 20 pc in Q1
Economy and Popular brand sales have been outsourced to third party players ( in Karnataka, Telangana, Maharashtra ). Company wants to focus on Elite and Premium segments. This outsourcing is also yielding good results – evident from the growth in economy and popular segments in Q1
Their Wine Tourism resort occupancy has started to improve nicely in July – Aug vs Q1
A new resort is going to come up in FY 26 – expanding the company’s resort capacity by 30 pc. This facility will also have a conference room ( was absent in their existing resort )
WIPS outstanding balance ( subsidy from Maharashtra govt ) on 31 Mar was 73 cr after receiving 89 cr from Maharashtra govt in Q4. Another 21 cr have accrued in Q1, taking the total balance to 94 cr as on 30 Jun. Now the company has received another 10 cr from the Maharashtra Govt, reducing the WIPS balance to 84 cr
30 pc company’s sales come from HORECA segment ( which company calls on trade sales ). 70 pc come from normal sales from Wine Shops
Pernod Ricard is in talks to sell off their Wines business to Accolade Wines UK by end of FY 25. This is going to be a very positive development for Sula. This is because, Pernod Ricard used to bundle the sales of their Wines – Jacob’s Creek ( no 2 in India ) with their Whisky brands. Sula always used to find it difficult to compete with such a strategy
Will monitor / look out for sales pick up before adding to my positions
Disc: hold a small tracking position, not SEBI registered, biased, not a buy/sell recommendation
Ranvir’s Portfolio (18-09-2024)
SULA Vineyards –
Q1 FY 25 results and concall highlights –
Sales – 129 vs 118 cr, up 9 pc ( extreme heat wave and general elections were strong headwinds )
Gross margins – 76 vs 74 cr
EBITDA – 35 vs 32 cr, up 9 pc ( margins @ 27 vs 27 pc )
PAT – 15 vs 14 cr, up 6 pc
Revenue split –
Own brands – 115 cr , up 12 pc
Within own brands – Elite and Premium categories contributed to 71 pc of sales ( @ 82 cr ) vs 74 pc in Q1 FY 24. This portfolio grew by 8 pc – led by price growth. Volume growth was (-) 1 pc
Sale of Economy and Popular brands jumped by 24 pc to 33 cr. It has happened after >2 yrs that economy and popular portfolio has grown faster than elite and premium segments
Wine tourism – 11 cr, down 2 pc. New tasting room and restaurant operationalised near Nahsik Airport
Sale of imported brands – 4 cr
Two exiting projects under construction –
Launching new tasting room and wine shop ( 3500 Sq Ft ) at ND Wines ( acquired in Apr 24 ) – near Gujarat Border
Expansion of Wine Tourism facilities at ‘Domaine Sula’ – near Bengaluru
Expecting both these initiatives to go commercial before the festive season
Company’s key brands –
RASA – Elite brand
The SOURCE – Elite brand
SULA – Premium brand
DINDORI – Premium brand
MADERA – Economy brand
DIA – Economy brand
YORK – Popular brand
ARROS – Popular brand
Company has installed 3 MW solar power capacity at its manufacturing sites catering to 50+ of their energy needs
There were very heavy restrictions on the movement of alcoholic beverages during the General Elections – which had an adverse impact on company’s Q1 performance. This also led to distributor level de-stocking
CSD sales grew by 50 pc in Q1
THE SOURCE – brand grew by 20 pc in Q1
Economy and Popular brand sales have been outsourced to third party players ( in Karnataka, Telangana, Maharashtra ). Company wants to focus on Elite and Premium segments. This outsourcing is also yielding good results – evident from the growth in economy and popular segments in Q1
Their Wine Tourism resort occupancy has started to improve nicely in July – Aug vs Q1
A new resort is going to come up in FY 26 – expanding the company’s resort capacity by 30 pc. This facility will also have a conference room ( was absent in their existing resort )
WIPS outstanding balance ( subsidy from Maharashtra govt ) on 31 Mar was 73 cr after receiving 89 cr from Maharashtra govt in Q4. Another 21 cr have accrued in Q1, taking the total balance to 94 cr as on 30 Jun. Now the company has received another 10 cr from the Maharashtra Govt, reducing the WIPS balance to 84 cr
30 pc company’s sales come from HORECA segment ( which company calls on trade sales ). 70 pc come from normal sales from Wine Shops
Pernod Ricard is in talks to sell off their Wines business to Accolade Wines UK by end of FY 25. This is going to be a very positive development for Sula. This is because, Pernod Ricard used to bundle the sales of their Wines – Jacob’s Creek ( no 2 in India ) with their Whisky brands. Sula always used to find it difficult to compete with such a strategy
Will monitor / look out for sales pick up before adding to my positions
Disc: hold a small tracking position, not SEBI registered, biased, not a buy/sell recommendation
Mphasis shares drop 6.17% as Sensex falls (18-09-2024)
The stock quoted a 52-week high of Rs 3186.95 and a 52-week low of Rs 2068.45.
Share price of LTIMindtree falls as Nifty weakens (18-09-2024)
A total of 9,292 shares changed hands on the counter till 02:04PM (IST).
Auto stocks to benefit from pickup in discretionary spending: Sandip Sabharwal (18-09-2024)
The good thing is that they have at least let the liquidity build up, which has built up as the government started to spend after the elections, which reduces some risk for the economy.
Tata Power Renewable Energy secures LoA for 400 MW wind-solar hybrid project in Maharashtra (18-09-2024)
From Maharashtra State Electricity Distribution Company