Results WPIL
Stock Split also announced.
I fail to understand why OYO valuations are falling. Travel and hospitality sectors are doing extremely well with strong pricing power and better margins. OYO itself has turned around in FY24. As per some reports Q4 PAT was 100cr and with the existing FCY loans being refinanced at 500 bps lower, there is a interest saving of 100-120cr each year. If the company continues this momentum assisted by tailwinds in the sector, FY25 will be even more spectacular. However valuations seem to be going in the other direction. I personally feel its a good time to accumulate. Delay in IPO should be seen as good news by pre IPO investors wanting to accumulate more during this fall. OYO with better earnings will eventually command better valuations when it comes to the market. Unless there is some hidden issue or fraud that only a few with insider information are privy to, really cant fathom the drop in valuations. At times markets do temporarily misprice an asset, hope its that case and eventually earnings will drive valuations!
TTM P/E shall be seen after considering the spend for advertising and promotion, which is an expense for maintaining the future growth. This adjustment will drop the PE to ~37. PEG of ~3 and not attractive for an active investor.
At current valuations, annual dividend yield is ~1.8%. Considering the nature of its products and India’s demographics, future earnings growths CAGR could be similar to historical amounts of 10% over the next 5 yrs. That shall lead to capital yield (price cagr) of similar amount although may not be in a linear fashion. Hence, an overall return of 10~12% seems likely at CMP. Above all, businesses like these provide stability for a portfolio in times of extreme pessimism such as COVID and peaceful sleep to the owner even if one bets a significant amount of their net worth.I think a passive investor would do better than FDs without taking risks inherent in the equities.
Summarised PDS here . Also raised some concerns we should look forward going ahead
Disclaimer - Have a small tracking position
Meanwhile just the guidance for FY25 has come and it’s strong with margin guidance of 18% & topline guidance of 20%
But Management can’t be trusted on their guidance .
It will be a shot in the dark unless we don’t see a quarter or two with good numbers to consider it worth building position.
@anna thanks for the detailed analysis. How much PE should be attributed to such a company? Do you think it’s selling at fair price? I think it’s a tad expensive. 10,000cr could be fair price. What’s your opinion on this?
Hi Nipun,
Great effort and interesting. If you are interested in Beta testers, I am interested. Looking forward to your reply.
Regards,
Anindya
EvoLve theme by Theme4Press • Powered by WordPress & Rakesh Jhunjhunwala Latest Stock Market News
The Most Valuable Commodity Is Information!