JSW Energy formally announced the final closure on its hydro assets purchase from JPVL. While the original deal was announced at Rs 9,800 crore, the actual transaction happened at Rs 9,275 crore after discounting for the capacity of Karcham Wangatoo. There was a slackening in generation from the thermal projects of JSW in Q1FY15 and in July due to the planned shutdown of the Vijaynagar plant. However, the generation from the project is in full steam for last 40 days as per the data available.
In addition, the generation from the hydro assets now acquired by the company has been strong in the current year, though with only two months of hydro operations remaining, the full benefit of the hydro generation will flow to the company only in the next fiscal year.
The asset sale was made necessary due to the high interest cost for the company and losses on account of cancellation of coal blocks of its 1.3GW Nigrie project, which still continues to recover only about 38% of its fixed cost.
The company, which won the coal block is looking to sign the PPA as well as to start operations of its 1-GW Bara project before the end of this financial year.
Upgrade JSW Energy to buy with a target price R112 and retain buy on JPVL with same TP of R9.2 — we believe the stock correction over last few months provides valuation comfort for both stocks. However, the new assets are likely to be an earnings driver for JSW Energy. Downside risks remain: The sector level issues, high debt cost, and SEB finances.