How did you study all this? Can you share some resources please
Posts tagged Value Pickr
Bull therapy 101-thread for technical analysis with the fundamentals (18-07-2024)
TCS forming a nice H&S on weekly chart.
Breakout on daily chart seen
Disc: Holding, no recent transactions
StageInvesting +Elliot Waves (18-07-2024)
Bajaj Finance and Finserv follow similar chart patterns since >90% of PAT of Finserv comes from Bajaj Finance. Lot of inertia still in Bajaj Finance, mainly due to RBI regulations.
Nice VCP formed for both these scripts on a weekly chart, breakout can lead to huge gains
Difficult to find such scripts in current bull market
Waiting for quarterly results.
Disc: Not holding Finserv
Zoom webinar on stage investing (18-07-2024)
Am interested pl include me and confirm
StageInvesting +Elliot Waves (18-07-2024)
Bajaj FinServ is building franchise after franchise under its umbrella like Bajaj Finserv Health, Bajaj Finserv Marketplace, bajaj Finserv AMC etc. All of these businesses are in the scale up mode right now and has the potential to become very large franchise. Also, Bajaj housing finance will list very soon. Not to mention good consolidation.
Disc – Holding since sub 500 levels (adjusted). 6 years holding and one of the largest allocation.
Insecticides India A stock with good Opportunity size (18-07-2024)
Lot of domestic launches
EFC – Entrepreneurial Facilitation Centre (18-07-2024)
I have a question regarding acquisition of EFC(I). company could have bring a ipo directly by name of EFC Ltd . Why they acquire Amani Trading and Exports Limited and then change the name to EFC(I)?
StageInvesting +Elliot Waves (18-07-2024)
Bajaj Finserve CMP 1630
Are we starting next leg after 3 years of correction!
If yes, then it is going to be very big as per EW technical chart.
Anyone having any deep insights about the company? What can be the fundamental trigger here?
Monthly Chart ( Monthly charts teake 2-3 years to play out)
Disclaimer : Views are personal. No buy/sell recommendations. The projection is based on our technical -probability study methods and chances of success/failure depend upon various factors.
Trent — A value unlocking story from the house of TATA (18-07-2024)
For position sizing i had met some one who had a few crs of shares ( 80% ) of networth he was CFO when he retired. Stock was at 100 and came down to 20 due to debt and macro headwinds .
Inspite of being worked so closely he coudnt see it may be thats true for HDFC bank as a stock and share holder ( disclaimer a long term holding for me )
From that time my learning was nothing should be so substantial as a part of my portfolio that loosing 50% of that or stock not moving (time correction ) affect my portfolio in negative way.
Personally if a stock is a very high allocation for me i will have a hawk eye will use fundamental +technical to take a call on it .
@hardik_shah1 uniqulo is good brand and so is H&M . I feel zara segment is quite different (luxuary wear ) .
You will hardly get daily wear or casual wear in zara .
I think there still exists a gap where there is a segment above westside which is not captured which H&M very well captures .
This could also be a big opportunity if westside can capture this space with good quality and not very high price. Slowdown of westside i feel is because of trying to place product between the 2
So lower strata will not buy from.westside and affluent (rising middle class) will want to be more aspirational and go to higher brand.
Management has been very sharp lets see how they can steer the growth going forward
Trent — A value unlocking story from the house of TATA (18-07-2024)
Thanks for your comment. Actually I was a share holder of Lakme Ltd and the Brands were sold to HUL and a lump sum was distributed to the share holders. The management created Trent with remaining money from the sale proceeds. All shareholders of Lakmé were given equivalent shares in Trent I invested lumpsum received in Trent, then there were rights issue in 2005 and 2006 and I built my position then, after that there was no addition. I recovered my investment by selling some quantity during Covid. I always had faith in Mrs. Simone Naval Tata, a Swiss-born businesswoman married to the Tata family. I was fortunate to meet her in person twice. She was the main architect of successful brand Lakme. She had great vision of launching a female centric fashion retail business in India in early 2000 when nobody even thought of that. I actually thought of selling my position during 2008,but those days it was difficult to sell as the shares were not in DMAT, the procedure was cumbersome for person residing in a tier 2 town. The time was full of gloom and I stayed away from stock market for next 3 years. Fortunately for me I did not sell any of my share holdings by sheer luck. The stock was already a multibaggar & became 6x during 2003 to 2006. I am old school type and I don’t sell any of my stock as long as the business model is intact, and I am not in need of money. Only exception was during Covid, as I built a big corpus in my savings account for emergency hospitalization to take care of 4 persons responsibility. I have seen 2-3 bear markets and experienced that if a business model is good eventually, you beat NIFTY in the long run. The problem I face is of position sizing during a bull run so as to have a downward protection of gains before the cycle turns. This problem I am facing again. Like most of us, I am unable to predict, when the cycle will turn and analyst are bullish on earning growth of Trent. I keep things simple ( I have limited knowledge) and track ROCE performance in the long run and if it goes down I reasses the business model. Please share your suggestions on position sizing.