It has gone under very high PE re-rating…Now that is rationalising.
Posts tagged Value Pickr
Sealmatic India Limited (18-07-2024)
Any investors presentation should be published before concall, but management of Sealmatic, firstly done a concall then one month after publish a investor presentation. In earlier concall, on corporate governance, they told that they will be among the top 5% of Indian listed companies. But in one concall they guided earning growth of 30% for fy24 and 60% for FY25. But in latest concall their memory was lost about this guidance. As a long term investor, we are invested here for your so called golden period which will starts from fy27. we don’t want short term price appreciation and short term profit growth, we want long term sustainable earning growth. we want more investment in project business even if short term profit is compromised but we don’t want excuse of low profit because of selling and distribution expenses. We are not bothered to capex like expenditure to be debited in profit and loss account. we want capital expenditure, research and development expenditure even if it is treated as revenue expenditure in profit and loss account. Because it is necessary for long term sustainable earning growth.
Disclosure:- invested.
Samhi Hotels – Turnaround with Tailwinds (18-07-2024)
Modelling Samhi Hotels – Complexities around the business
Highlighting some of the risks-
Accounting:
- You cannot go with directly PAT here, because there can be chance of again write offs. ( Only Ebitda is predictable )
Write-Offs:
- Samhi has history of write-offs
Business Model Risks:
- Samhi has sold of few hotels in 2023 why ?
Expansion Delay:
-. Samhi is having ongoing expansion of hotels which are not up in past 3 to 4 years ? Why it’s being delayed.
Caspia Pro Hotel , Bangalore expansion, Hyatt Regency etc…
ACIC Portfolio: ( Good or Bad )
One of the bad side is they have diluted lot of equity,and got the land bank in Navi Mumbai and that’s written off ( 70cr )
Good part – They have added 950+ keys.
Shares in Supply :
Lock-in of shares is also near March 21st 2025
My Top 5 Investment Basics Books, & why? (18-07-2024)
- Why stocks go up and down by William Pike
This book provides a sound understanding of the fundamentals of investing in stocks and bonds. The book explains the basics of financial statements and analysis, cash flow generation, stock price valuation, and more. It goes well beyond most introductory books. It is perfect for readers with little or no background in investing and is certain to add value for experienced investors as well.
Who should read this book? New investors who want a solid background in stock and bond fundamentals. Anyone planning to take an introductory accounting or investment course. Readers of popular investment books who encounter terms or concepts they do not understand.
2. The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine is a nonfiction book by Michael Lewis about the build-up of the United States housing bubble during the 2000s. It was released on March 15, 2010, by W. W. Norton & Company. Wikipedia
KEI Industries Ltd – A consistent performer over the last decade (18-07-2024)
KEI Correcting from 5000 levels to 4200 now, Fundamentals not changing!! what is the reason for this sharp fall? any takers please.
Sealmatic India Limited (18-07-2024)
But, on a lighter note, promoter is acting like a retail investor and we retail investor, in contrary, are behaving like what a promoter should do…
Building a Community: Rule-based objective approach to fundamental long-term investing (18-07-2024)
Thank you Hiren, really appreciate your feedback.
We are a SEBI reg. rule-based fund management firm. Our fund management process involves combining multiple investment-rules to create each investment strategy. This tool was developed to create and backtest investment rules as part of our internal system.
Since we believe rule-based investing to be the future, and since most individual investors dont have a tool to backtest their investment-rules, we attempted to provide access to our internal backtester tool. Thus, we created a platform to allow individual investors to access the same. Hope it contributes to democractizing rule-based investing.
As we get more feedback / requests, we will add the features like you suggested.
Building a Community: Rule-based objective approach to fundamental long-term investing (18-07-2024)
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EFC – Entrepreneurial Facilitation Centre (18-07-2024)
In the below tracker, I have started tracking important company goals for AWFIS (a competitor to EFC).These goals are referred to as ‘monitorables’ in the tracker.I will update this document regularly to reflect the current status of these goals.
Here’s a snapshot of what the tracker includes:
- Company Ticker: For identifying the company
- Monitorable Description: Description of the goal or metric being tracked
- Date of Announcement: When the monitorable was announced
- Deadline: Target date for achieving the monitorable
- Status: Current progress (e.g., Not Fulfilled, Pending)
- Verification Link: A link to see where we got the information about the goal.
I hope this information makes it easier to observe how well companies are progressing towards their stated goals.
Screenshot of the tracker below:
Full tracker attached below:
Tracking Company Monitorables-19.xlsx (130.9 KB)
Trent — A value unlocking story from the house of TATA (18-07-2024)
curious back in 2004 ans earlier what must have been the reasons for your buying? I wish you were in this forum early to share your insights. 20 years back if I am not wrong, Trent was not a good performing business and likes of big bazaar, Pantaloons was the talk of the town…Also was Trent a high PE stock back then also or must be in Red with no profits?
If you could share When was your first entry and how did you build your position? Was it in lumpsum one time buy & forget or a conscious gradual building of position? Also when was your last buy? It seems your average buy price is around Rs 25!
Would be good to know your thoughts as would like to learn from those who catch such multibaggers much much before their time and results arise.