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Posts tagged Value Pickr
IDFC First Bank Limited (18-04-2024)
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Zen technologies – A micro cap in the defense space! (18-04-2024)
I think the may metric to keep track off is the order book. Currently they have 1400CR order book so this guarantees the turnover for the next 18 months. I think the main issue in this business is that the time lag between the tender process, award process etc can cause major uncertainty. The one point I dont fully understand is why it takes so long for them to execute the order book when capacity is supposedly never a constraint.
Edelweiss Financial Services (18-04-2024)
I guess you have not even had a look at presentation or any one con call of the company… If you watch above video you will get quite an insight about this business, and if your seriously thinking to invest then irrespective of your question you must watch the video.
Zen technologies – A micro cap in the defense space! (18-04-2024)
He says “cumulative in the next 2-3 years”. But even that is way off the mark. Cumulatively from FY17 to FY19 Zen achieved about 190 Cr in revenue. In fact, cumulatively from FY17 to FY22 Zen did a total of about 450 Cr in revenues. So you are right, the CEO is way off the mark.
Lancer Containers (18-04-2024)
I have Gone Through why Quant MF Might Have Bought ?
Container Jumped to 18400 TEU and on before 14000 TEU company was Roughly Doing Rs 750 Cr -850 Cr Business on 60% Capacity Utilization ,Now Badly Topline Impacted due to Freight Rates Decline ( Last 4 Con call Read and Tired of Hearing This) if Freight Rates Improves whenever and with Increasing Container Topline May Cross Rs 1000 Cr Easily.
Company will have Negligible Debt after Bond turned into Equity by FCCB which will Increase the Profitability As Hardly any Finance cost will impact.
Company Able to Maintain OPM% due to some Booking Slot Advance Strategy (Still Could not Understand, But Example given by A.K Chatiwala about Rs100 -Rs 80 = 20% ) due to Better Service . so able to maintained PAT despite Fall in Topline.
Container Market Expected to Grow at CAGR of 7.5% FY22-27 due to Rising imported Goods, Flourishing E-commerce etc
Used Bond Money To Form Subsidiary in Dubai Lancia LLC To enter into new region will increase incremental share and will help to maintain opm% and in next 2 years Will Increase
Negative Working Capital due to no Credit Business so not working capital required so no impact on cash flow.
If Company double the capacity the cost may increase just 2%-5% of the sales but profit will jump many fold up (Operating Leverage )
Buying Vessel which will handle 600-800 Container and help to discover new Region and Customer.
Lancia subsidiary will start contributing from oct 2024 ( Hope So…Always Delayed)
Looking for Liquid Container operation in near term ( i do not know why ,should focus on 1 thing First)
Expecting 35% Growth in Gross margin once vessel becomes Operational
30000 TEUs will be added in next 2 years for this QIP Rs 300 Cr ( That means Topline Must 3X from Here once done and able to do what they are Planning)
Acquired Transco Logistics 60% will increase the Freight Forwarding Contribution from 10% Of Topline to 20% in near Term
This is what i Believe Quant Might have seen Before Buying if worked stock will 2X-3X in next 18 Months
I have Spent 2 days Reading 2 annual report and 4 Con Calls : I am just Following No Postion Made
Edelweiss Financial Services (18-04-2024)
Before I watch 1 hour video, does it talk about valuations?
Edelweiss Financial Services (18-04-2024)
Thanks. Then it makes sense.
Zen technologies – A micro cap in the defense space! (18-04-2024)
This is the interview of CEO from 3 Dec 2015 where he says we will most likely achieve roughly 500 crore orders (since they get done around 95% successful bids typically)
revenue in next 1-2 years.
(https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-a2PXFoP4YY)
I have seen the whole interview, The guidance CEO gave was way “toooo” much because i don’t observe in sales anything remotely correlating to 500 crores spread over 2-3 years of sales.
Anyone knows why they missed the self-professed guidance targets by a mile in the past?