What is the current msp , can u give me details

I am also new in long term I have read some books but still not sure how to start.As u said you were loss before now you doing good. Can you recommend me something how do I start though I have earned some money through but still not confident enough.If you can just tell me what to do how to start long term any strategies that would be helpful…

In the last two camphor cycles, prices of camphor usually followed prices of gum turpentine – a strong year for gum turpentine has lead to inventory gains for camphor companies.

Right now, people like Oriental have spoken about more camphor supply that has come in. After speaking to a couple of unlisted players in camphor, it looked like supply and demand for camphor in the country was balanced despite the new supply coming in.

My understanding is that the major demand season for camphor happens in the festive seasons of Q2 / Q3. Right now, the RM prices have run up, but camphor prices are soft because we’re not in this window. My plan is to wait and see if prices pick up in September / October.

The clearest way to play this cycle is Privi. They have long term contracts for both RM and FG. So they’re buying RM at much lower prices right now despite the shortage, but consequently, their FG prices are also lower than the spot market. However, a quarter of their sales are in the spot market where they should make a killing. This said, Privi is the most expensive in the space.

Hi Satyajit, I don’t own Valiant.

Let me first introduce my Philosophy in investment, as my user name and the title of this Topic suggest to always look the other side, these could be making bets on things that are overlooked by the market, this could also include things that are less heard and can be invested into to gain massive and especially look for opportunities in sector that are moving while a single stock is not moving due to just market pricing into few small issue that can be recovered.

Now my Philosophy is over that is my primary goal to invest like that but still as a normal person also invest in MF, some blue chip, and market trendy stocks but also look for some opportunities so it is not my only view but always a majority.

Now we can see the Return to date, I have tracked the XIRR from May 2021 and till now have around 30% XIRR (I will say majorly markets are like that as XIRR in Nifty is pegged would be around 18% too) , will also say would not like to show total numbers but will say Percentage would be something that I personally think would do the deal.

My Current Stock Portfolio consists of US Equity and Indian Equity too in a ratio of 25-75 respectively and with the percentage of stock in the portfolio and with their Tiny thesis below ( have data in my Excel sheet so would).

BAJFINANCE – 7.73%
CDSL – 2.21%
DIVISLAB – 7.72%
EQUITASBNK – 6.03%
HDFCBANK – 7.48%
INDIAMART – 6.19%
ITC – 1.82%
JUBLFOOD – 5.12%
LAURUSLABS – 5.33%
MID150BEES – 4.35%
SBICARD – 4.62%
TATAMOTORS – 8.79%
TECHM – 1.94%
MSFT – 4.05%
PATH – 2.32%
GOOGL – 3.54%
AMZN – 4.06%
PANW – 3.50%
SMCI – 2.90%
TSLA – 0.69%
BABA – 1.70%
METV – 2.22%( ETF for Metaverse is more broad in nature).

Have Only held a low percentage in ITC and CDSL because to gain long-term capital gains were held these for a long time ie 3 years + and sold most but what I recently bought will get sold by the end of this year else would need to give 30% tax (I fall in that bracket).

Will Bunch a few stocks together buy in a group and place bets.

HDFC , Bajaj Finance and SBI card mainly a contra bet on Finance and PVT bank sector and major companies that I like and also see valuation as good with great track record, and for SBI cards it’s too cheap to ignore in my opinion.

Laurus Labs and Divis labs mainly Pharma Bets are great players in beaten CDMO business and some chemicals play to it.

Navin Flourine mainly chemical play would have done amines too but after analysis, these 2 and pharma are quite linked together so other great chemistry + CDMO in Navin flourine.

Indiamart and Equitas Bank a pure MSME and SME play and bet both on the online and Finance side.

Tata Motors is a company in EV + vehicle going well and one of the most performing stocks here holding since 2020 around.

Jubilant a beaten-down QSR that is good, tasty, and big, looks good value to me.

Google , Microsoft and Amazon a holistic and more Broad Cloud play top 3 + added business that I understand I am in tech so.

UI path most risk and full bet a pure play RPA(Robot Process Automation + AI play).

Pawn ie Palo Alto network will say not doing well but a cyber security firm that I like better valuation and many other headwinds that I don’t think will be a downgrade but the market is cashing in.

SMCI is cheaper than NVIDIA and I gained more than Nvidia like around 300%+ in the last few months though have cashed out but just rose to make it look big and might sell soon.

Tesla and Metv major in valuation and tech that I want to see so betting on it see as small satellite bets only

Graph

Well if you are only considering far out of the money option selling, I don’t do that. As you said, there are liquidity issues and risk reward given the margin I have to give for few rs premium, does not make it worth it. I don’t go far out.

But you have to accept these challenges. I am not saying I am completely protected in case of fat finger trade but this is something that is beyond my control.