How the per bottle realisation is 4000 when in market it is selling around 3000?(
Posts tagged Value Pickr
Piccadily Agro Industries Ltd (20-05-2024)
(post deleted by author)
Avanti Feeds (20-05-2024)
I don’t have a good answer. I run a very diversified portfolio and I’m very comfortable to hold a company like Avanti. i try to increase allocation when I feel this offers more value vs other ideas.
But yes, last 3-5 years have been a drag. Since last 2 years I have been expecting things to change for the industry to happen but that is not playing out…but with more time I feel that my respect for the underlying business/leadership of Avanti have only increased.
Iris Business Services – Emerging SAAS Microcap (20-05-2024)
Good results from the company:
- Company increase their YoY revenue by 40% compared to their 20% guidance which always looked likely.
- Create segment:
- Finally the growth has picked up a little bit QoQ growth 14% in Q4 compared to 11% in Q3
- Also, we’re starting to see operating leverage kick-in. Margins in Q4 were 28% compared to just 16% in Q3. Looks like all the marketing and partnerships expenses are paying off now
- YoY revenue growth is 21% which is my only peeve with the results. This is the segment which is expected to lead us to promised land and I would like to see rapid growth here so that company can capture market share which can convert into annually recurring revenue (ARR)
- Collect segment:
- Unexpected levels of growth here, sales up ~70% YoY and even margins improved by 100 basis points
Missed the con-call unfortunately, so if someone can post the notes here, that would be great
Akshay’s portfolio (20-05-2024)
Protean has an amazing execution track record. Good corporate governance and reasonable valuation. I see good future prospects for the sector as government pushes for digital transformation of governance.
I am an actuary and a full stack developer. I have been in market for close to 6 years.
Sanghvi Movers (20-05-2024)
I am quite surprised by Sanghvi Movers’ gross yield guidance of 2-2.2%. Tarachand Infra reported average gross yields of 2.85% in FY24. Tarachand has no presence in wind sector yet (They are entering in FY25) whereas about 50% of Sanghvi’s business comes from wind and wind is supposed to have very good yields across industries.
Also, while I buy their rationale of increasing management commission in a good year to compensate for bad years where management remuneration did not go up, the same could be said about dividends? From FY18-FY21 there were zero dividends. So why are they over-compensating the promoter shareholders while ignoring the minority shareholders?
This and the overall defensive tone of the call was surprising and disappointing to an extent.
Disclaimer: Invested in Tarachand. Tried a results trade in Sanghvi expecting a good set, hit my SL and exited. No reco.
Sirca Paints India Limited (20-05-2024)
Sirca paints march 2024 results
Sirca paints PPT : –
Corporate Fraud/Misdemeanor – Public Domain – India lessons (20-05-2024)
Adding another example to the list.
Eco Hotels and Resorts Ltd
Acquired by Suchit Punnose (Redribbon …).
Previously manipulated Modulex Construction Technologies Ltd using the same model.
Sahil’s Portfolio (20-05-2024)
Very well articulated. Thanks.
Piccadily Agro Industries Ltd (20-05-2024)
Rough maths based on YT videos
Total Casks | 40,000 |
---|---|
Allocation for Indri | 50% |
Total Casks for Indri | 20,000 |
Litres / Cask | 200 |
Total Volume (litres) | 40,00,000 |
Typical Bottle Size (litre) | 0.75 |
# of Bottles | 53,33,333 |
Per Bottle Realisation (INR) | 4,000 |
Total Potential Revenue (INR crores) | 2,133 |
EBITDA % on Indri | 28% |
EBITDA (INR Crores) | 597 |
So annual EBITDA can be easily 250 crores assuming all of this capacity will get sold out in 2 years – same time when a lot of existing casks would be reused for fresh batches and… and 6-10 months prior to when the new capacity can get on steam.
You can easily alter numbers here depending on your thoughts and arrive at the revenue / ebitda numbers… all in all, Indri seems to be headed for a bumper run over next 4-5 years