Jamna auto was one of my earliest picks in 2017 . However unlike my other pick at the time KEI industries which seems to have a pretty long runway of growth Jamna auto has already captured the market and the margins are highest they have ever been . So for me the two avenues of growth -market share growth and margin expansion seems to be behind them.
Further there isn’t much capex from them .
So I shifted my position to a company which I think has a longer runway of growth Cholamandalam .
Posts tagged Value Pickr
Sandeep’s Long Term Concentrated smallcap portfolio( Learnings and Mistakes) (05-04-2024)
Godawari Power – Any Trackers? (05-04-2024)
People are comparing GPIL and Sandur ( In the GPIL thread, both belong to same sector). Is it like comparison between two business in same sector is not allowed ? Why one prefer over another with pros and cons is not allowed ?
Sandeep’s Long Term Concentrated smallcap portfolio( Learnings and Mistakes) (05-04-2024)
Curious about your sell decision on Jamna auto. If I look at the numbers, company has shown decent growth. Price hasn’t reflected that. No PE rerating despite earnings growth.
Cafe Coffee Day – Will you Date? (05-04-2024)
Company has failed to service debt again in March as disclosed in their filing today.
Market didn’t react negatively to the news infact stock closed strong.
But this red flag has totally changed my investment rationale.
I don’t see a point of being stuck in hope investment.
I’ll keep a watch on the stock, since I am extremely interested due to valuations of the company and it could be a potential take over candidate.
But for now marking an exit, till I develop conviction.
Ps: Not a suggestion.
Sandeep’s Long Term Concentrated smallcap portfolio( Learnings and Mistakes) (05-04-2024)
I normally start out with a bigger portfolio of about 10-15 stocks which I find promising. As I research businesses more , I keep selling companies which ,I don’t understand or whose business I don’t like or who are not performing business wise . I keep adding to my best bets and In the end I end up with 2-5 companies . So as per company performance improves or my assessment of the company improves I add to my position.
1.I am not much worried about monthly fluctuations in my portfolio . As long as the underlying businesses are healthy I am not much worried. However it still stings if portfolio value drops substantially but I think that is part and parcel of investing and you get used to it.
However If companies business deteriorates I try to exit.
2. I don’t look at price trends and I don’t think I can predict where I can take maximum profit. I have sold stocks at 70% below high value. I try to look at fundamental trends only. I have no idea about technicals.
3.If the stock is not moving but underlying business is improving I’ll add to my position. There is one caveat ,the company should have a reasonable long runway of growth(5 years minimum ) and the underlying fundamental parameters or the industry prospects should be improving.
Regards
Sandeep
Godawari Power – Any Trackers? (05-04-2024)
Any posts regarding Sandur should be posted on relevant thread.
Hero Motor – Leader in two wheeler (05-04-2024)
All I can say is I would have more confidence in their Premium segment strategy than their electric segment strategy. Whether Premium segment bears fruit outside of Harley we should know in the next year.
Hero Motor – Leader in two wheeler (05-04-2024)
All I can say is I would have more confidence in their Premium segment strategy than their electric segment strategy. Whether Premium segment bears fruit outside of Harley we should know in the next year.
Is Buy and Forget a Myth? (05-04-2024)
Company like waaree energy, All defence PSU are dependent on Govt Capex program, stock price can even reflect business of future 6 years assuming market leadership, stock price may sky rocket and PE will take a back seat as analysts have some data for DCF due to 350 GW solar addition by 2030. These type of stock may remain in a long time correction as more capacities are floated in coming years and future prospects start dimming. Its like too many market participants chasing one golden egg. You will never know when time correction will start and in a longer term average return ratios will dilute drastically. See the example of Dmart, Britannia, HUL. I will cooly avoid waree energy at this moment. Solar panel is a commodity and easy to build capacities. Average justified PE can’t be more than 15.