Thanks, got it. Really helpful
Posts tagged Value Pickr
Ranvir’s Portfolio (08-03-2024)
What a smart move by the management.At one side they reduce the debt and on other side they don’t lose the hotel and their expertise to run that hotel will become Win-Win for both the party.My only ques is why a new company first buy the hotel and then give back to the same owner back on lease,is the owing group is too large that have so much money but lack expertise in that field or what is the case.?And which group bought that hotel any idea?
At last thank you so much .
Long term bonds (08-03-2024)
If markets plunge, you would realize an instant price appreciation in bonds. Bonds react positively to a market crash. The longer your duration, the larger the gain.
A market crash usually is also accompanied by an economic downturn and a drop in inflation which helps in propping bond prices as yields adjust to the possibility of a lower inflation regime. Secondly, bonds being a safe haven asset, a market crash drives capital to safer avenues again propping bonds.
So to answer your question, “yes” if market crashes you can just redeem your bond funds without a loss (infact a gain) and move to equities.
AGI Greenpac- on the cusp of growth? (08-03-2024)
How Athletic Brewing Co. Became The King Of Non-Alcoholic Beers
Non Alcoholic beer and wines in Glass bottles. Great market – should add more to the kitty. Underserved i must say.
Also, non alcoholic beers and wines have de stigmatised a lot of things.
ValuePickr Ahmedabad (08-03-2024)
Can you add my number to valuepickr ahemdabad group
IZMO- bet on new technologies in Auto retail & defence (08-03-2024)
No I meant that frog data services will be beneficial for dealer as it revenue generative for him so it will be an investment and not an ordinary sales and marketing expenditure and USA has a massive second hand car retail market and frog data services of IZMO equips him with real time data analytics that gives a dealer an edge.
Voldemort’s Portfolio (08-03-2024)
Updates Mar 23:
Exits:
Geekay – Stock was weak for sometime, Sold before the recent fall to free some funds
Polymatech – All credits to @RohitNarayanam. This company has a very rosy story painted everywhere and i was happy with it too. But there is a semiconductor projection everywhere in the company except in actual production. It might be a 10X share from here, But my jitters were bad and hence exiting.
10% of my PF hence is getting cashified and is getting into LLabs as it dips.
P.s: Selling unlisted shares is a headache.
Regards
Voldemort
Hitesh portfolio (08-03-2024)
Techno funda includes technicals as well as fundamentals. Usually in bull runs in fancied sectors (ones which last a few quarters to 2-3 years) valuations often take a backseat. The run up atleast in the early stage happens only on a narrative. At these times, its difficult to take a call based purely on TTM earnings. There has to be some extrapolation/projections.
An example where I was able to board the bus was stocks like HBL, Usha etc. But in stocks like railway stocks, most defence stocks, the technical picture was quite encouraging, but fundamental picture was not clear and hence I was not able to participate in the upmoves.
I try to take big bets where I can visualise the business growth in good technical set ups. Sometimes it works the other way round too…
Ranvir’s Portfolio (08-03-2024)
This exceptional item relates to a sale of Hotel by the company
The company has sold one of its Hotel property to reduce its debt levels. The company has taken over the same hotel on lease from the new owner
Ranvir’s Portfolio (08-03-2024)
Marathon NextGen Realty –
Q3 and 9M FY 24 results and concall highlights –
Company profile –
52 yrs + of experience
100 + delivered projects
Portfolio includes – Luxury residential, Commercial, Affordable housing and Retail
Ongoing projects at –
Bhandup ( Neo Homes )
Byculla ( Monte South )
Panvel ( Nexzone )
Mulund ( Millenium )
Futurex ( Lower Parel )
Greater than 4 mn Sq Ft under development
9M results highlights –
Area sold – 4.34 lakh sq ft
Realisations – Commercial @ 19.6k / sq ft, Residential @ 12.4k / sq ft
Revenues – 549 cr
EBITDA – 242 cr
PAT – 128 cr
Q3 financial highlights –
Area sold – 1.71 lakh sq ft
Avg realisation ( commercial + residential ) @ 15k / sq ft
Revenues – 210 vs 278 cr
EBITDA – 96 vs 143 cr ( margins @ 43 vs 49 pc )
PAT – 51 vs 80 cr
Debt on books- 733 vs 840 cr on 31 Mar 23
Estimated sales that can be realised from projects under development @ 2600 cr
Year wise estimated sales from ongoing projects ( unsold area ) –
2024 – 632 cr
2025 – 439 cr
2026 – 323 cr
2027 – 915 cr
Upcoming projects –
Monte South phase 3 – Byculla
Nexzone phase 3 – Panvel
Neopark phase 3 – Bhandup
Current land bank –
Panvel > 100 acres
Thane > 100 acres
Bhandup > 100 acres
Dombivali > 50 acres
Assuming FSI of 2.0 for the above mentioned land bank, the company can potentially do a sales of 30,000 cr ( assuming a selling price of Rs 10k/sq ft ) over say – next 10 yrs. However, this is just a rough calculation done by me
Most of the land bank is held by the parent company ( of the Marathon group ). They get into an agreement with Marathon Nextgen to develop and sell in return for 12.5 pc of the topline of the project sold. This is a low capital intensity model and should work out well for the company
Confident of hitting 15-20 pc CAGR in revenues in years to come
Company makes an EBITDA margin band of 35-45 pc for most projects. In some commercial projects, EBITDA margins go to as high as 50 pc
Company has no plans to go beyond MMR region as of now. Company is likely to go for re-development projects in future. These are high RoI projects as the company doesn’t have to buy land
Aim to reduce debt by 20 pc every year. Aim to be at minimal debt levels in 3-4 yrs
Disc: holding, added recently, biased, not SEBI registered