Given the new equity raise approved for injection into Idea, does Indus get any of their unpaid receivables paid through this year?
Posts tagged Value Pickr
Apollo Hospital : The one stop healthcare service (01-03-2024)
Also, whats the potential impact on Narayana as they mostly do specilised treatments/surgeries? Current fall in NH share on the back of this development offers good margin of safety, given the company is consistently growing at 20% EPS and valuation (EV/EBITDA) appears reasonable vs peers.
Any thoughts?
Companies with 20%+ growth guidance for next few years (01-03-2024)
Dear Jimmy, This is gold dust! Many thanks for selfless sharing. Good starting point to study these business. Thanks again.
Priyank’s Portfolio (01-03-2024)
Haven’t been able to maintain my PF excel (more on this later) lately so providing a summary below:
After PPFAS, my top 5 holdings are: Godrej agrovet, Triveni, ami, sansera and exide.
a) Added some AMI and Sansera over the last few weeks.
b) In terms of exits, BCL Industries (~40%), M.K Ventures (approx 20% up), Cosmo First (this was 15 or 20 % down as far as I can remember).
c) Exited Helios and removed it from my watchlist. Deployed funds in Kenneth’s fund during the FPO (currently ~3.5% PF).
What I am looking at:
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Chemicals.
a) At 1600/1700 market cap, Astec seemed very interesting so I took an entry and added. This conflicts with Godrej Agrovet so I will need to review things here once I get brainstorming time.
b) Reviewing other opportunities here. -
Consumers and others:
a) VIP Ind, Tasty Bite, V Guard, Indigo, and Creative Newtech are on my watchlist.
b) Have taken a very small position in Creative but I am not sure if I will be able to take a large position here.
c) Something similar happened in VIP industries where I added and exited within the same week. But it seems very interesting.
These are some of the major changes I can think of. There were some other transactions too but I will need some time to maintain everything in my excel again and then update here.
As of now, I am burdened with a few things in my personal life which should last for a year or two. Luckily, I saw it coming earlier and was able to make most bets accordingly. I think I’ll be able to update properly after June or else September/October this year but too soon to confirm so let’s see.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered advisor or analyst. This is my personal view and not a recommendation. I am often wrong and do change my views without being able to inform anyone.
Hitesh portfolio (01-03-2024)
For my core portfolio stocks I usually don’t wait till stock hits 52 week lows. Usually two lines in the sand for me are the 30 week exponential moving average and below that 200 dema.
One stock which I gave a long long rope to in recent past has been Usha martin. It briefly went below 200 dema intraday, but did not close much below that level. Two things helped. First is the fundamental conviction. Especially after listening to concall. And second thing was understanding the reason for pressure on the stock. Which was constant selling by the Prashant Jhawar group and entities.
Hitesh portfolio (01-03-2024)
I usually look at weekly charts for positional medium to long term buys. If there is any visible bullish formation, I try to go one period lower, i.e daily chart and look at it. With these kind of workings, I have a list of around 30-40 stocks which remain in my watchlist. (this is based on charts and fundamentals. )
For investment purpose, I have around 8-10 stocks in my portfolio and remaining 25-30 remain in watchlist. If something from the watchlist appears better and if the picture and investment merits are much more clearer, then I often replace something from my portfolio or add it as an additional stock.
I do not have any formula based approach to portfolio allocation. It depends upon the conviction levels and market mood.
About booking partial profits and taking money out, I usually do not do it except in some cases to pay taxes. Usually I keep the full portfolio running and try to enjoy the benefits of compounding. It has worked well till now over all these years.
Companies with 20%+ growth guidance for next few years (01-03-2024)
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Bondada engineering : 150% growth in recently posted 9MFY23 document. Official result is not published but available in document submitted by company. management claims to have similar growth rate ahead, with regular order wins one need to watch execution
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Kore Digital : Q3FY24 result exceeded whole of FY23 numbers. guiding for 400 cr in FY25 and 1000 cr in FY 26. Source: investor presentation
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insolation energy : annual report 23 have detailed plan uptill FY26 with revenue and PAT projections. 2026 guiding for 2000 cr revenue with PAT of 110 cr
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Annapurna Swadisht : guidance for 2x growth YOY.
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Srivari Spices : recently they did a concall where monthly revenue reached 8 cr. There FY23 revenue was 36 cr. And H1FY24 revenue was almost 31 cr
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AllE Tech : recent results were good and geography expansions can lead to further margin expansions. for detailed study one can refer to finstorameya on X (Twitter)
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Techknowgreen : management conducted a private meet with HNIs where they are guiding 3x sales growth in 3 years. meet was conducted by Kirin advisors, one can contact them for recording or transcript
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Digikore and 9. Basilic : overall VFX industry is growing at fast pace. they aim to grow minimum 50-70%. recent results of Phantom were also good hence one can have positive bias, there H1Fy24 results were also decent. risk is they are mostly Hollywood players
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Cellecor gadgets : they have detailed investor presentation with revenue guidance for next 5 years. Aiming for around 100% CAGR. New launches in new categories.
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SJ Logistics : still studying this one, not much info other than Twitter threads. Result was very good. did almost FY23 in Q3Fy24 and there best quarter is Q4 as per management.
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PNGS : aiming for >100% growth, new store guidance and new launches in 14 karat gold. aim 100 cr topline by FY25. source latest concall
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Nirman Agri genetics : management have guided for minimum 50-60% growth for next 5 years. source youtube video meet during ipo launch time. post that 2 results have been good
Yatharth Hospital & Trauma Care Services Limited (01-03-2024)
As article points out, Kotak estimates very low probability of applying this type of law.
Nomura says if middle ground is taken, it can be implemented on non complex procedures. However, this reminds of regulatory risk and it may overhang on all hospital stocks.
D: Invested
Natural Capsules – Pharma play with solid fundamentals (01-03-2024)
I have exited the most of the allocation as uptick in revenues and profit is seems to be impossible in the FY25 itself.
Something wrong with capsules business also, earlier they were telling sluggish demand due to pharma companies are with excess inventory. Now all pharma company numbers are good still they are not able to see jump in numbers, this could be due to price erosion and excess supply from competitors also.
I will revisit once API segment make some +ve EBITDA