On a lighter note…
You bought the book at very high PE
Posts tagged Value Pickr
Atirek portfolio (18-02-2024)
Atirek portfolio (18-02-2024)
On a lighter note…
You bought the book at very high PE
Atirek portfolio (18-02-2024)
Not a lot of case studies or stats to support his view points which makes it hard to digest the theory. Though, I have just started reading it and things might change as I read more.
Also, I had huge expectation from the book considering it was written by unseen value and that is why I ordered it on first day. Maybe if I would have kept my expectations muted, I might have liked it.
Atirek portfolio (18-02-2024)
Not a lot of case studies or stats to support his view points which makes it hard to digest the theory. Though, I have just started reading it and things might change as I read more.
Also, I had huge expectation from the book considering it was written by unseen value and that is why I ordered it on first day. Maybe if I would have kept my expectations muted, I might have liked it.
BKasal’s Portfolio (18-02-2024)
Thanks Mudit for showing interest. I would try to revive soon…
BKasal’s Portfolio (18-02-2024)
Thanks Mudit for showing interest. I would try to revive soon…
Atirek portfolio (18-02-2024)
Curious to know what you find not good in Unseen value?..As I was thinking of ordering it?
Atirek portfolio (18-02-2024)
Thanks Prateek,
I totally agree with your points.
I like kama holdings especially considering its dividend giving potential. I have made it near to 4 percent of my net worth.
Every month, I like to document my ideas and thoughts and hence I discussed about it.
I am documenting my thoughts about adding new stocks and topping up so that I can improve over it after going through it in the future.
Disclosure: Added Kama Holdings in last one month.
Forensics and the art of triangulation (18-02-2024)
Adding to the curious case of Nibe Limited .
What got me excited to even research on this company was the fact that it was in the Defense Sector and as with the case with any micro cap companies in the space it is a black box but I strongly believed that the markets know something which I do not considering its astronomical rise in the market price…
My intention of writing this post is to post the facts which I have collected on this is micro – cap company
Background
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2005 – Incorporated as Kavita Fabrics Private Limited in the business of textiles
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2012 – IPO of the Company ( DRHP ) . Promoters Mr. Harish Chandak, Mr. Shailesh Chandak, Mrs. Sarika Chandak
and Mrs. Sudha Chandak . As per the DRHP company was owning 36 jacquard power
looms back in 2012 -
2012- 2019 : Revenues recorded a peak of maximum 11 cr in 2015 and dropped to 2cr in 2018-19 as per Screener . Share price languished between Rs.13 to Rs.6 in the same period . Mr Ganesh Nibe acquired approx 22% in the company from the open markets during the period
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2019 : Mr Ganesh Nibe along with wife Mrs. Manjusha Nibe acquired the entire promoter stake in the erstwhile company Kavita Textiles from the Promoter Group.
Refer Link
Networth of Mr Ganesh Nibe as of March 2019: Rs.17.54 Cr
Networth of Mrs Manusha Nibe as of March 2019 : Rs.5.21 Cr
- 2020 : Company renamed to Nibe Limited . Nibe Limited transformed itself into a proclaimed business of Precision Fabrication for Defence Production, Electrical Vehicles and BVM RC&F , The share price continued to increase from 2021 till date with corresponding increase in the Revenues but CFO still being negative
**The thing which looked too good to believe was that how did a company which was just shifting itself from Textiles and now transitioning to Defense industry was so quick to gain into the Defense space which is one of the most dificult industries to break into **
- 2022 The company share price rose from Rs. 6 in 2019 to Rs. 300 per share but unfortunately the Mr. Ganesh Nibe and his family members are defaulting on loans and their properties are being attached by the Union Bank . Refer Business Standard article dtd 12th Dec 2022 .
The ironical thing is the apartment 402 Violet Dream Citi, Nashik referenced in 2019 link where Mr Ganesh Nibe & Mrs. Manjusha Nibe are living is also attached in the E-Auction of the property. It is extremely surprising that a promoter whose business was flourishing has his residential house auctioned along with multiple other properties.
- 2023
Jan : Preferential Issue at Rs. 365
September: Preferential Issue at Rs. 510
August : Resignation of Mrs Manjusha Nibe from WTD ( Ironically Resignation letter still references the Violet Dream Citi Apartment as her address )
August : Resignation of Statutory Auditors ( Appointed in 2022 for a term of 5 years ending 2027. Resigned in 2023 )
Oct : Resignation of Senior Management ( Mr. Vishnoo K Prathap Chief Innovation Officer
/ Mrs. Jasleen Kaur Arora Head SCM )
Oct : Resignation of CEO ( Mr. Sachin Raosaheb Shinde ) . New CEO Mr. Balakrishnan Swamy in the appointment letter states as a person with rich background in aerospace with experience at Boeing, USA, and as a Founder in defense systems manufacturing . Refer Linkedin bio
Nov : Anshuni Commercials Limited into gems & jwellery acquired by Mr Ganesh Nibe , Mrs Manjusha Nibe & Nibe Limited. ( Whether they would follow the same fate as Kavitha Textiles ? )
Dec : Resignation of Company Secretary Priya Pandey
Additional Fun Fact
Nibe Defense and Aerospace Office in Defense Tech Park in Bangalore from Google Images . Look at the the logo
Things which do not align with the rest of the story
Rishikesh Doijode as CTO of Nibe Defense and Aerospace
Knowledge Partner of Maharashtra MSME Expo for 2024 . Money and politcal connections can buy anything
Hitesh portfolio (18-02-2024)
Hello sir, I am following your writeup for the past 2 to 3 years. It is a commendable job you are doing for new comers.
What is your view on Kitex… It was a well discussed company in the platform. Later the promoter entry into politics and few corporate issues punished the company.
Last 2 years kitex story seems to be an interesting for me and if you have any opinion on the below observation it would a new area of thoughts for me.
My studies says in a longer period company share will go up based on earnings growth.
So How to identify a company whose business and profit will double in next 3 years, simply observe new capex and look for its feasibility and expansion in the area. And buy those company only when it’s sure is valued at reasonable price.
I see kitex could be a value plus growth and a turnaround over 3 to 5 years.
Coming to kitex it is based in my state and manufacture infant dress with PAT of 100 crore top line of 700crore within no debt. Kitex is 2nd world largest kids wear manufacturer in the world with a day production of 5 Lakhs units.
What interested me they had a plan to expand their business in Kerala. But decided to invest in Telegana and put out 2 plant in telegane and they will be exporting 25 lakhs kids wear from telegane (almost 4x expansion). More interested telegana govt provided lot of incentives and one among the many is 75% interest subsidy for next 10 years. MD says they will get 75% subsidies over a period 5 to 10 years.
Kitex new manufacturing unit will be the world largest manufacturing unit.
Company market cap was 5000 crore few years back and currently valued at 1000 crore. And last year share has doubled from 140 to 280 range.
If new unit make profit can the market value go up? and PE could go for a re rating ?
Expecting your opinion on my understanding and evaluation.
Thanks in advance.