The stock was falling because one large FII shareholder was exiting after making handsome returns

Impact of New SEBI Rules on Angel One’s Revenue Trend

Revenue Impact:
The new SEBI regulations, particularly those affecting the derivatives segment, have had a noticeable impact on Angel One’s revenue. The company estimates that these regulations could result in a revenue impact of approximately 13-14% of net income from clients related to broking activities. This includes changes such as increased contract sizes for index derivatives and rationalization of weekly index derivative products
.Revenue Trend Changes:
Despite the regulatory challenges, Angel One has continued to show strong financial performance. In Q2 FY25, the company achieved its highest ever quarterly total gross revenue, crossing the ₹15 billion mark for the first time, which represents a 7.5% quarter-on-quarter growth
However, the impact of SEBI’s true-to-label regulations, which extinguished certain transaction income from October 1, 2024, has been mitigated through strategic measures such as introducing brokerage charges on cash delivery orders and imposing interest on non-cash collateral exceeding ₹50,000
.Management’s Mitigation Strategies:
To counteract the revenue loss due to SEBI’s new rules, Angel One has implemented several strategies:

• Tariff Adjustments: The introduction of brokerage charges on cash delivery orders and interest on non-cash collateral aims to offset the revenue impact.
• Focus on Long-term Client Value: The company remains optimistic about long-term client value by enhancing customer retention through diversified product offerings.
• Product Offering Adjustments: Rationalizing interest rates on margin trading facilities to remain competitive and attract more clients.
  Overall, while SEBI’s new regulations have posed challenges, Angel One’s proactive measures and strategic initiatives are expected to help sustain growth and mitigate revenue losses in the long term.

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2. Stock is in support zone of 2017

3. Acquisition synergy may start playing out now

PS: Took some position, no reco

Q3CY24 Concall Summary

Business Updates

• Q2 and Q3 have registered lower production numbers for CV and the passenger vehicle production too seems to have slowed down and is expected to continue at a slow pace in the coming months as well
• While the export business continues to remain lower than expectations but on a yoy basis at an annualized level it still remains decent
• In terms of capex the company has invested Rs 206 crores for localization and enhancing the manufacturing base
• The cumulative capex for 9 month period of 2024 is around Rs 550 crores which is higher than last year

Participants

Avendus SPARK

Equirus Securities

Nirmal Bang

Kotak Bank

LIC Mutual Fund

AM Investments

UTI AMC

Unique PMS

QnA

• The homologation and validation process is done by customer and a number of vehicles are under testing currently with the e axle product of the company and the launch of these vehicles is expected in Q1 of CY 25
• For exports the drop was witnessed only in European region and bearings and industrial solutions business in Europe have seen challenges
• The export business continues to do well in South East Asia, China and America
• The after market business and exports bring in much better margins than the rest of the business
• The Greenfield plant in Hosur is on track and it will start production as per earlier plan. Earlier It will produce products for the transmission system and eventually new products will be added
• The festival season in October and November sees better vehicle sales but this year that does not seem to be the case, the inventory level with dealers is as high as 80 days but even with better sales number that would mean liquidation of the inventory and might not lead to production figures at automobile companies picking up
• The wind energy business, railways business, infrastructure division have done better during the quarter
• The industrial automation and power transmission sector have not done as well as was expected
• Bearings is about 60% of the business currently and non bearings are at 40% of the product mix
• The efforts continue behind localization of products in India and with the new plant at Hosur this process will continue. Since the older plant cannot add any more machinery this will be done at the new plant in Hosur
• A large part of wind equipment manufacturing happens in Europe and in spite of the wars that are continuing it seems the inventory has liquidated there and companies have found a way of executing the projects due to which demand from wind equipment and gearbox manufacturers continue to be quite good
• Chinese competitors in the wind equipment space have started to come in but are currently quite small
• Koovers was a strategic acquisition in the ecommerce space, which is quite different from the traditional business that the company has been doing. It being a startup it needs to be run differently and focus is on scaling up the operations and expanding the footprint of that business. When it was acquired it was present in two cities and now within one year it is now present in 12-13 cities
• The investments in the new plant at Hosur are to the tune of Rs 300 crores