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Posts tagged Value Pickr
Solex Energy – Undervalued Solar PV Manufacturer or Microcap Value Trap? (21-10-2024)
Above article is more informative and talks about short to medium term plan of Solex Energy.
Midcap Momentum Portfolio (21-10-2024)
thanks Visu. will appreciate if you can share the rebalance each fortnight. my email is sandeepmehta67@gmail.com in case you dont want to broadcast it widely.
regards, Sandeep.
Your equity portfolio, you can control risk and returns (21-10-2024)
Thanks I will put up , how to measure in next 1 day.
Thanks
Aurion Pro : Yet another IP product company? (21-10-2024)
Wasn’t the result supposed to be declared today? How come it hasn’t come yet?
Avenue Supermart: a compounding machine? (21-10-2024)
There are two stocks that are worth revisiting, two stocks which one can identify with and both are down because earnings have disappointed. One is Reliance and second is D-Mart. You track both of them very closely.
Deepak Shenoy: I have not seen D-Mart as closely, but I saw it recently because of all the news about them losing out to quick commerce. I do not think that is quite the case. But of course, at some level, the quick commerce discounting mechanisms and their concentration in the urban markets where D-Mart is popular, will, of course, hurt D-Mart a little bit more than perhaps Reliance Retail, which has a more broad-based presence and also a portfolio.
So, in general, the retail ecosystem has changed or is changing in India and that is a good thing. We are getting price pressure, which is also a good thing, because that means that the consumers are able to get something at a cheaper price. But such things do not last too long. At some point, we are going to have issues, especially when some of these are foreign-owned companies and have quasi-inventory issues because they own inventory on their books through some kind of a side deal mechanism with some other companies and such things effectively catch an ED notice and then, there will be some kind of action that will come in on the quick commerce setup. All the quick commerce setups have something like this going on, where they are mostly owned by foreign players. But even though they cannot own inventory, they have got their own dark stores in a way and that is not really going to fly well. So, in the short term, we are going to have trouble in retail, long term not much.
NPST – Technology Provider for UPI Tech (21-10-2024)
joined the call. Didn’t get a chance to raise the 2 questions i had noted.
- My question is with regard to evok/ppas segment. Kindly explain in layman terms, how the revenue flows to NPST for this segment. Like who pays to NPST, and one level up the chain, who pays to the ‘payer to NPST’ and so on. This question comes from concerns around 2 topics. a. Govt. reducing incentives for digital payments ( are we a big beneficiary of that?) b. Reports around merchants not willing to pay MDR to for upi payments.
- My understanding so far is, the evok transaction volume are a subset of cosmos payee PSP nos. and mgmt. had also hinted the same in earlier calls. But we see that comsos payee PSP nos. as reported by NPCI website have seen a sharp decline in last 2 months. In fact cosmos has gone from being in Top 10 to out of Top 15 rankings in psp volumes. But as of Q225 we don’t see this impact evok nos. significantly. Has anything changed on ground which investors should worry about? How would you define the relation between cosmos payee PSP nos. vs evok transaction volume.
Call recording is already available on youtube. Apart from normal updates around product development, one significant update is, Mgmt spoke about on-boarding 2 more sponsor banks in addition to cosmos. Could this be already in action and hence we see the impact on cosmos nos. ?
Solar Industry AMA Deep Dive: Ask me Anything (21-10-2024)
Quick & Dirty Reference Material to enable us to put up more relevant questions
- Installation trends
- As of March 31, 2024, about 68.2 GW of utility-scale solar capacity in India has been commissioned, while another 65.6 GW is under pipeline (where auctions are completed).
- As of March 31, 2024, Rajasthan has maximum installed solar capacity of 19.9 GW followed by Gujarat (10.6 GW) and Karnataka (9.2 GW).
- In FY2024, about 11.7 GW of utility-scale solar capacity and another 3 GW of rooftop solar capacity were added in India.
- In FY2024, the top three states with maximum installed solar capacity were Gujarat (4.8 GW), Rajasthan (3.4 GW), and Madhya Pradesh (0.8 GW).
- For next year i.e. FY2025, about 16.9 GW of new utility-scale solar projects and 4 GW of rooftop/ onsite solar projects are expected to be commissioned.
Annual Market shares- FY2024
- Modules: Jinko, Longi, and Trina were the top three module suppliers in India in FY2024. The Chinese/ International players’ module shipment capacity is anticipated to dip in the next quarter because of the imposition of the ALMM order for solar PV modules effective from April 1, 2024.
- Module Export: In FY2024, the top 3 players, Waaree, Adani, and Vikram Solar, have contributed solar modules exports of about 50-70% of their total production in FY2024.
- Inverters: Sungrow, FIMER and Sineng were the top three inverter suppliers in India in FY2024.
- Project Developers: Adani, ReNew and O2 Power were the top three project developers with maximum solar projects commissioned in India in FY2024.
- Utility-Scale EPC Contractors: Jakson Green, Sterling & Wilson and Vikram Solar were the leading third-party EPC contractors for utility-scale solar projects in India in FY2024.
- Rooftop/Onsite model: Tata Power Solar, Havells and Orb Energy were the leading players that have setup maximum rooftop/ onsite projects in FY2024.
Source(s):
Solar Capacity in India: Annual India Solar Report Card FY2024
ARC 2023 (jmkresearch.com)
Detailed Reference Material for Deep-Dives
2. IEA: Global Renewables 2024 Report Analysis & Forecast till 2030
3. Vikram Solar: Indian Solar Power Market Sep 2024
4. Green Rhino Energy : Solar Power Technologies
5. Oaklane Capital Proprietary: Solar_Master_Note_Oct 2024
In order to extract the most of the opportunity, requesting those interested – Please refer above Reference materials & the Solar Master Note, do some homework of our own, and upload relevant questions to this AMA Solar Industry Fri Oct 25 questions for Kuntal Shah/Oaklane Capital shared googledoc
Red Tape Ltd. – The next fashion giant? (21-10-2024)
One key takeaway from AGM is that the company is expanding its SKUs with performance shoes category for various sports activities.
Northern Arc – Long term play (21-10-2024)
The microfinance industry is currently experiencing tailwinds, but sustained growth at present levels remains favorable. After approximately six to eight months of subdued performance, we anticipate this trend could continue for another twelve months. Companies like Credit Access Grameen are facing challenges.
A notable risk is the recent action by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), which has directed four Non-Banking Financial Companies to cease new loan sanctions and disbursements. According to a report by Morgan Stanley, more lending companies may face similar scrutiny. However, this situation presents an opportunity for companies that steer clear of such practices; growth potential may shift towards Northern Arc as a result.