I would like to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the current state of my portfolio as of today. The following details the allocation of my portfolio holdings:
Posts tagged Value Pickr
Ravi’s Portfolio – Seeking Feedback (14-01-2024)
Can you elaborate on ur thesis for LTTS ?
Ranvir’s Portfolio (14-01-2024)
Sumitomo Chemicals India Ltd –
A leading agrochemicals company in India
Current number of manufacturing facilities @ 05 in Maharashtra, Gujarat
Manufacturing 15 Active Ingredients, 200 + brands. Company has 15000 + direct distributors and 60 Depots. Employee strength at 1600 + over 1500 + field development officers ( contractual )
R&D team comprises of 75+ dedicated engineers, 10 + Phd’s with experience > 15 yrs
Product wise revenue break up –
Insecticides – 40 pc
Herbicides – 30 pc
Plant growth regulators – 10 pc
Fungicides – 7 pc
Metal Phosphides ( used as fumigants against insects and rodents in stored grains ) – 7 pc
Animal nutrition – 6 pc
Geography wise revenue break up –
India – 89 pc
Exports – 11 pc
Breakdown of domestic sales –
Branded – 82 pc
Bulk – 18 pc
Breakdown of export sales –
Branded – 39 pc
Bulk – 61 pc
Future capex plans –
Regular maintenance capex @ 70-75 cr / yr
Additional capex of Rs 120 cr over 2 yrs for 05 new products ( Active Ingredients / Technicals ). These AIs shall be supplied to the parent SCC, Japan. These products have a revenue potential of 200-250 cr / yr at present. These products are also reporting healthy growth rates across the world
Company is focussing on manufacture of additional off patent products for India, LATAM, Africa and Asia pacific. This will entail additional capex and the same is under consideration
Last 5 yrs –
Revenue CAGR @ 13 pc
EBITDA CAGR @ 25 pc
PAT CAGR @ 28 pc
Company enjoys great parentage. Has access to parent’s global supply chain, R&D
Q2, FY 24 highlights –
Weaker monsoon in June, Aug affected the demand for agrochemicals. El-Nino also played a spoilsport
Revenues – 903 vs 1122 cr
EBITDA – 188 vs 278 cr, Margins @ 21 vs 25 pc – margin drop primarily led by operating de-leverage. High cost inventory also had an impact
Net Profit – 144 vs 202 cr
Export sales adversely affected due to channel overstocking due aggressive dumping of generic products by Chinese players in preceding 6-9 months
Company has consumed all the high cost inventory and is now back to normal. This should help profitability in q3, q4
Working capital cycle shrunk to 70 days from 91 days in Q2 FY 23. Company has seen improved collections vs previous years thus maintaining better sale hygiene
Launched 06 new products in Q1, Q2
Company’s new launches ( in speciality segment ) in last 1-2 yrs have been received very well in the Mkt. Consumers response has been overwhelming. Its just that due to the unfavourable mkt conditions this yr, the same could not translate into better sales / financial outcomes
Due to exhaustion of high cost inventory and general drop in RM prices, margins are expected to see some recovery wef Q3
Global demand scenario for agrochemicals Industry looks better for H2 vs H1
Long term Capex guidance @ 15 pc of EBITDA / yr
Company’s animal nutrition business is in nascent stages right now. Is growth fast on a small base. Can be a significant growth driver going forward
Business de-growth in H1 has been 15 pc. 3 pc has been due to price, rest due to volumes de-growth
Don’t see high channel inventory related problems in Q3, Q4 wrt Domestic Mkts. However, the situation is still not normal in the International Mkts. Normalcy in global mkts may resume only after Q4 / Q1 FY 25
There is no problem wrt demand for agrochemicals in the export Mkts. The whole issue is about overstocking in the channel and steep cuts in the prices of the inventories held. Its across the board / across companies kind of phenomenon
Company is virtually debt free. Cash on books > 1400 cr. Looking out for small / bolt on kind of acquisitions
Company expected to spend 200-300 cr towards fresh capex at Dehej wef FY 25 , for next 2-3 yrs
Have launched a new plant growth regulator for Apple in India. Rapidly gaining market share
Avg margin losses due high cost inventory in Q1 was around 12 pc and around 5-6 pc in Q2. In Q3, the margin loss is expected to be around 1-2 pc
Disc: not holding, may buy in future, not SEBI registered
Landmark Cars – Listed premium Car dealership in India (14-01-2024)
Hi. How is this heavy promoter selling?
Can you share in percentage terms how many shares have been sold by the employees and promoters? In absolute terms the amount seems small.
And also all of the selling in the screenshot has been done by employees and not promoters. Your thoughts?
Phantom Digital Effects Limited (14-01-2024)
I did watch it on Friday. Overall occupancy was around 20%(morning show). It was released without much publicity compared to other big tamil( captain miller) and telugu( gunturu kaaram) movies released on the same day for Sankranthi. First half was impressive but second half turns out to be average. Overall I think it is getting getting good word of mouth publicity reflecting in better occupancy over weekend. If we look at the no of ticket sold it is at par with other tamil movie like captain miller.
Phantom has done good work with VFX effects in the movie.
Looks like movie will be released in Hindi in near future.
Disclosure: Invested
Investment journey of a late starter (14-01-2024)
Happy New Year to you too …
Most of the recent buys are in the previous post …
Amara Raja,HLE glasscoat , Sona Comstar are good companies trading at lower valuations than they usually did .Good businesses with upcoming revenue boost due to capex or aquistions soon.
MSTC … read the article by fundoo professor . The first auction thingy is reason enough .
Other than those bought …
Wockhardt … read its threads in VP . Seemed good times are ahead.1% of portfolio …so not much to lose anyway .Thinking of increasing but it has run up a bit since I bought .
Danlaw Tech … Makes TCU’s .Verified creds in linkedin and by articles in tata elxsi site . Good results in past 4 quarters .Again. 1.2% only.
Valiant Communication … very small company but with good hi tech product for network security and grid security . Already sales to US and european gov organizations and is the only approved vendor for Power grid security in India. 1% allocation.
These three are risky but hoping for high rewards if it works out .
Almost all are trading higher than where I bought except HLE .I am not a scuttlebutt guy so there might be bad things I missed or ignored about these .Please do not curse me later if you buy any of these and lose money .
Priyank’s Portfolio (14-01-2024)
I started buying ~120-130 in smaller chunks. But suddenly went upto ~220, so not adding now. I’ll wait for this to correct for fresh buy. This is by long term micro cap bet, no path to profitability atleast for next 3-4 years until all capex is done. All my other investments are in stable ones, so ok to take this bet. I dont have good stock picking skills , so doing direct investments either during heavy correction or fmcg/companies having business that any layman can understand.
Screener.in: The destination for Intelligent Screening & Reporting in India (14-01-2024)
Yes you first need to create your particular screen and save it. It will appear in your profile under ‘custom ratios’. Once that’s done you can go to watchlist view and click on edit columns (it will be under user ratios) to insert your screen that you just saved.
Tara Chand Infralogistic Solutions Ltd (14-01-2024)
Tarachand infra logistics CMP-175 ( 14/jan / 24) MKT CAP – 248 crore P/E -21 Promoter holding – 73.3%
It serves India’s infrastructural & industrial
needs through Warehousing,
Transportation, Equipment Rental, &
Turnkey Infra-Project Execution. With 35+
years’ experience, we’re a top Steel
Warehousing & Transport entity, handling
10M+ tons of Steel annually.
Our fleet of 300
Machines includes Heavy Cranes (up to
800MT), Hydraulic Piling Rigs, Steel
Processing, & Concrete Equipment. We’ve
contributed significantly to High-Speed
Bullet Train & Metro Line projects across
cities like Ahmedabad, Delhi, Mumbai,&
more
Our team of experts & modern
equipment serve sectors like Power, Oil &
Gas, Renewable Energy, & Urban & Rural
Infrastructure. We cater to 52 diverse
customers, spanning PSUs to Indian
multinationals, operating in 21 states &
even internationally in Mauritius.
Our capable team of 627 members, plus 300 contract workers, manage operations across 50+ cities Sectoral service offering Railway infrastructure Oil & gas Power Road & highway Cement.
Growth strategy
Focus on acquisition of large tonnage cranes & higher capacity pillingrigs & aerial platform,cont capacity addition, cont pursuing opportunities to take up EPC projects, civil & mechanical construction of building
Birds eye views insight One of the largest steel logistics services provider in the country with handling of 9.45 million tonness fy 22-23, Introduce first of its kind ZOOMLION ZCC5800(500MT),crwaler crane with highest configuration of 84+84 with superlift Derrick
Expanded steel logistics vertical with addition of nagpur stockyard under 7 year contract with rashtriya ispat nigam ltd
expanded operations to the j&k, Assam ,Kerala Odisha
Highest ever dispatch of 121 rakes steel by rail from central dispatch yard of vizag steel in march23( you can get idea also how steel demand is)
Leadership Mr Ajay Kumar is whole time director of tarachand, since inception,varoius client relationship & manages finance in his 30 years of experience, Himanshu Agrawal is excutive director &also currently chief financial officer,associated with company since 2017
Mr vinay kumar managing director,he also associated with company since inception ,he is pioneer in getting a number of innovative features implemented in material handling equipment,he is real driver behind the company for think new act now
You can watch video of this giant https://youtu.be/1ryXQKm26lg?si=ZrFUCLfaYXblegXf… Another video of tarachand delivery https://youtube.com/watch?v=CFpnHeFdC1A&feature=shared…
Profit & loss
OPM margin is v good
EPS growth is fantastic
Recently company gives presentation at alpha ideas sme 2023
2023 Alpha Ideas SME Stars -Tara Chand Infralogistic Solutions Ltd
Financial highlight and esteemed customer
Running project, client,& city, fleet size , geographical presence.
Industry outlook
Segment wise revenue mix
Financial highlight with B/S
Cash flow Is continuously increasing
Recently bag order from SAIL for 4.5 Years of 20 crore
Peer comparison
!Sanghvi mover is available at good valuation , good OPM ,
ACE construction
Thesis If you bullish on infra capex than this type proxy can good play, heavy investment & construction , it’s at present fairly valued, first’ time concall
Anti thesis
Demand of industrial production if someone down cycle comes it’s become heavy affected, other also some very good brands than tarachand can able to get to capture higher market share leading to loss, client concentrate L&T
Disc I m not sebi registered
Pl consultant your financial advisor before investing,
No buy & sell reco,
Invested & biased
first investment at dec 23
no transcation last 15 days