Thank you for your response… yes… you learn a lot from your mistakes and of course position sizing is an important element of being able to sleep peacefully in most days without having to open charts or other websites…
Posts tagged Value Pickr
Smallcap momentum portfolio (13-01-2024)
Update for entry on 15th Jan 2024
Based on ranking
- BSE
- SUZLON
- BSOFT
- ANGELONE
- KALYANKJIL
- JYOTHYLAB
- KAYNES
- CHALET
- IRCON
- SHYAMMETL
- ITI
- SOBHA
- BRIGADE
- NAM-INDIA
- NLCINDIA
- JINDALSAW
- COCHINSHIP
- SWANENERGY
- MRPL
- CESC
Based on A → Z for easy tracking
- ANGELONE
- BRIGADE*
- BSE
- BSOFT
- CESC*
- CHALET
- COCHINSHIP
- IRCON
- ITI
- JINDALSAW
- JYOTHYLAB
- KALYANKJIL
- KAYNES
- MRPL*
- NAM-INDIA
- NLCINDIA
- SHYAMMETL
- SOBHA*
- SUZLON
- SWANENERGY*
Entry:
BRIGADE, SOBHA and SWANENERGY make an entry.
CESC and MRPL cannot enter as there is no vacancy.
Exit:
APARINDS, HINDCOPPER and MCX exit.
MEDANTA and WELCORP stay within the top 25 and hence remain.
NCC: Extremely undervalued (13-01-2024)
Can anyone suggest how to value NCC?
-
Infra space is a cyclical sector to some extent. For NCC, business primarily depends on govt spending on infra
-
A counter to above – If BJP is in power for next two terms, there will be considerable investment in this space and thus it presents excellent business opportunities
-
NCC (EPC) has very low margins in general
-
A counter to above – New projects are coming in at slightly better margins and higher order book helps in higher absolute profits
Just based on the above, how to value NCC?
What should be a reasonable PE?
What should be a reasonable Price to Book ratio?
Man Industries (India) Limited (13-01-2024)
For Hydrogen, new pipes needs to be laid. Existing pipes are technical certified for Oil , gas and Water accordingly.
Man Industries is first Indian companies whose pipes are certified for Hydrogen handling by European labs. Lead time to get this certification is ~18 months. It gives them a short window of 6months – 12 months where they can pitch their products to Indian and European companies without any competition from other Indian companies.
Since, it is new products, their margins (~15-18%) will be a little better wrt current OIL pipes (~12-13%).
Disc: Invested
Borosil Renewables – Bright as sunlight (13-01-2024)
Again some big price volume actions. Tracking the development very closely now for the anti-dumping duty news.
Journey and Portfolio of a goal-based NEEV investor (13-01-2024)
to simplify, YES!
PE in general is the hive expectations baked into CMP. although that’s reductive in nature, however it won’t be unfair to say that PE isn’t in our hands in short/medium term – thus speculative.
CMS Info Systems Ltd (13-01-2024)
Just add on, recently CMS published this article on 3rd Jan 2024:
Key points:
- CMS Info Systems analyzed 11 consumer-facing sectors in organized retail for H1 FY24.
- Retail consumption in B2C sectors saw a robust annual increase of 9.3% in the key 11 sectors during April–September 2023.
- FMCG and e-commerce sectors experienced significant annual growth of 26.2% and 19.4%, respectively, in Q2-FY24.
- Aviation and Hospitality sectors witnessed annual growth of 29.7% and 12.8% in Q2-FY24, driven by events like the Cricket World Cup.
- The jewelry sector rebounded with an annual growth of 7.1%, recovering from a 4.6% decline in Q2-FY23, possibly due to increased spending during the wedding season.
- The large format retail sector saw an annual increase of 7.8% in Q2-FY24, influenced by rising incomes, urbanization, and changing consumer preferences.
- SURU (semi-urban and rural) outpaced metro cities in consumption growth, with the fastest growth of 9.2% YoY in H1 FY24.
- CMS Cash Index™ (CCI) is highlighted as a powerful indicator, showing a surge in retail consumption parallel to the 7.6% GDP growth in Q2-FY24.
- Expectations of stronger consumption growth in Q3-FY24, especially in FMCG, e-commerce, and aviation sectors, supported by macroeconomic indicators.
Polycab India ~ Connection Zindagi Ka – W&C, FMEG and EPC Player (13-01-2024)
This is July 29, 2019 news. Players of Cable Industry in Fake ITC Offences. Looks like evasion is on an industry level. But I am not sure if Polycab is guilty.
Disclosure: Not Invested.