great job, beating the index consistently would be the key. thanks for sharing.
Posts tagged Value Pickr
Quant Investing (03-01-2024)
@Ascendant The period of rebalance essentially depends on the strategy. As you have already pointed out there are pros and cons in any period you choose.
One thing that people forget when they talk about quant or algos is that a strategy is an extension of the beliefs of the creator of the strategy. For example, I am, at the core, a long-term trend-following investor. I will always prefer strategies that are slightly on the longer timeframe unless I specifically want to exploit a shorter timeframe anomaly or opportunity.
This is why I typically prefer monthly or even quarterly timeframes. In my experience, the shorter the timeframe, the more statistical (technical-based) info becomes important. If you stretch your time horizon to months, quarters or even years (like the Magic Formula has a yearly rebalance), you move to the fundamental side more. The reason for this again is that there are more fundamental data points in longer timeframes.
Kilpest India Ltd (03-01-2024)
Do we have an understanding of the price set for this AMR test by 3B BlackBio? Since they will sell the product to diagnostic labs and hospitals, i am curious what price they would be quoting
Hitesh portfolio (03-01-2024)
…Investing might not be easy, but your humor makes it a hilarious ride…Always a delight to read your flowing writing skills. Your tales of Covid crash antics and executing plans are a reminder that even wizards have a bit of magic difficulty.
And the spouse analogy! Bahaha… I might have to cover it with a sweetened capsule like, “coming from a highly renowned wizardry doc,” when I discuss investments at home. Otherwise, you know the debate would crash way before the market ever does!
Cheers!
ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Company (03-01-2024)
Jot down my thoughts on ICICI Pru
MapMyIndia – The Map Company (03-01-2024)
Today on CNBCTV18 they answered how they will use the 500Crs which they are raising.
They are planning to enter International and Drone as service
Is China investible? (03-01-2024)
Tesla Loses Ground to Chinese Rival BYD
BYD sells hyrbrid too which is different from Tesla.
Ambika Cotton Mills (03-01-2024)
Disclosure: Not invested
https://www.screener.in/company/AMBIKCO/#chart
@Jose ,
Thank you for clarifying the data and analyzing the Inventory/Finished goods ratio.
The company demonstrates a comprehensive understanding of the cotton/finished goods cycle and the temporal parameters governing its operations. This comprehension facilitates heightened profitability during periods of elevated cotton prices, leading to an augmented operating profit margin (OPM) and an appreciable surge in the market share price. Conversely, a decline in OPM during the low cotton price phase of the cycle results in a market derating.
It is evident that the informed retail shareholder should align their investment strategy with the same cyclical pattern, adopting a time horizon spanning 3 to 4 years. Drawing parallels to financial instruments, the company, based on historical performance, can be likened to a 2-year fixed deposit.
Capturing that exact low and selling at that exact high may be possible for the raw cotton price enthusiast :).
Before finalizing our algorithms, it is noteworthy, as per @Jose ‘s discerning observation, that the inventory/finished goods ratio is notably high. Additionally, @praveen_potnuru highlighted that a significant portion of exports is directed towards Bangladesh. The recent upheavals, such as violent protests, have adversely impacted the garment industry, attracting attention and likely affecting Ambika.
One could suppose that this problem is deeply embedded and had an impact on Ambika prior to the bursting of the boil. Pure speculation on my part.
Even so, these problems will eventually be solved, and Ambika should be back to its regularly scheduled cycle.
A more substantial concern that the Cotton/Finished Good ratio raises, albeit with a lower probability, is the prospect of Ambika facing heightened competition and a consequent erosion of customer loyalty. Such a scenario could exert considerable influence on the OPM, thereby diminishing returns for the retail shareholder.
thank you @Jose and @praveen_potnuru for the insight.
RACL Geartech Limited (03-01-2024)
I also found another news more interesting and provide more insight into management thinking. They have hired Mr. Arora as HR head who has experience of 20 years in this field. He should help in talent hunt and building leadership pipeline in the company to take it to the next level.